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license: mit
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---
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license: mit
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size_categories:
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- n>1T
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tags:
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- flare
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- space-weather
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- GOES-flare
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- binary-classification
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- forecasting
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---
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# Full-disk Solar Flare Forecasting Dataset
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## Dataset Summary
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This dataset provides labels for solar flare forecasting derived from NOAA GOES flare events from May 2010 to December 2024. Labels are constructed using a 24h rolling prediction window sampled at an hourly cadence. Each window is annotated with both **GOES class** (based on peak X-ray flux) and **cumulative flare index**.
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Two derived binary labels are included for forecasting tasks:
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- **`label_max`**: 1 if the maximum flare intensity in the window is ≥ M1.0.
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- **`label_cum`**: 1 if the cumulative flare intensity in the window is ≥ 10.
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For completeness, we also include (1) GOES class, which is determined from the peak X-ray flux of the most intense flare in the prediction window; and (2) cumulative index determined from all ≥C-class flares in the prediction window.
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---
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## Supported Tasks and Applications
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- `binary-classification`: Predict whether a time window will contain significant flaring activity.
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`ordinal-classification`: Predict flare-class of a given instance.
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- `regression`: Predict cumulative flare index of a given instance.
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---
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## Dataset Structure
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### Data Files
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- `train.csv`: Instances from Feb 15 to Dec 31 in each year between 2010–2019
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- `validation.csv`: Instances from Jan 15–28 of each year between 2010–2019
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- `test.csv`: All instances from each year between 2020–2024
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- `leaky_validation.csv`: Instances from Jan 1–14 and Jan 29–Feb 11 of each year between 2010–2019
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### Features
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Each record includes four label fields:
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- **`max_goes_class`**: Maximum GOES flare class (e.g., C5.2, M1.0, X3.2) in the prediction window, or `FQ` if no flares are present.
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- **`cumulative_index`**: Weighted sum of flare subclasses ≥C-class in the prediction window.
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- C-class contributes weight ×1, M-class ×10, X-class ×100.
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- For example, an M2.0 flare adds 20, while an X3.5 flare adds 350.
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- **`label_max`**: Binary label, 1 if `goes_class` ≥ M1.0, else 0.
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- **`label_cum`**: Binary label, 1 if `cumulative_index` ≥ 10, else 0.
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Example entry:
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```json
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{
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"timestep": "2011-02-14 03:00:00",
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"goes_class": "X2.2",
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"cumulative_index": 297.1,
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"label_max": 1,
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"label_cum": 1
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}
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## Dataset Details
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| Field | Description |
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|------------------------|---------------------------------------------|
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| **Temporal Coverage** | May 13, 2010 – Dec 31, 2024 |
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| **Data Format** | CSV (.csv), string-based schema |
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| **Data Shape** | (1, 4) per instance |
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| **Data Size** | Total 128,352 instances |
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| **Cadence** | 1 hour |
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| **Total File Size** | ~3.7MB |
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