--- license: mit tags: - flare - space-weather - GOES-flare - binary-classification - forecasting configs: - config_name: default default: true data_files: - split: train path: "train.csv" - split: validation path: "validation.csv" - split: test path: "test.csv" - split: leaky_validation path: "leaky_validation.csv" --- # Full-disk Solar Flare Forecasting Dataset ## Dataset Summary This dataset provides labels for solar flare forecasting derived from NOAA GOES flare events from May 2010 to December 2024. Labels are constructed using a 24h rolling prediction window sampled at an hourly cadence. Each window is annotated with both **max GOES class** (based on peak X-ray flux) and **cumulative flare index**. Two derived binary labels are included for forecasting tasks: - **`label_max`**: 1 if the maximum flare intensity in the window is ≥ M1.0. - **`label_cum`**: 1 if the cumulative flare intensity in the window is ≥ 10. For completeness, we also include (1) max GOES class, which is determined from the peak X-ray flux of the most intense flare in the prediction window; and (2) cumulative index determined from all ≥C-class flares in the prediction window. ## Supported Tasks and Applications - `binary-classification`: Predict whether a time window will contain significant flaring activity. `ordinal-classification`: Predict flare-class of a given instance. - `regression`: Predict cumulative flare index of a given instance. ## Dataset Structure ### Data Files - `train.csv`: Instances from Feb 15 to Dec 31 in each year between 2010–2019 - `validation.csv`: Instances from Jan 15–31 of each year between 2010–2019 - `test.csv`: All instances from each year between 2020–2024 - `leaky_validation.csv`: Instances from Jan 1–14 and Feb 1-14 of each year between 2010–2019 ### Features Each record includes four label fields: - **`max_goes_class`**: Maximum GOES flare class (e.g., C5.2, M1.0, X3.2) in the prediction window, or `FQ` if no flares are present. - **`cumulative_index`**: Weighted sum of flare subclasses ≥C-class in the prediction window. - C-class contributes weight ×1, M-class ×10, X-class ×100. - For example, an M2.0 flare adds 20, while an X3.5 flare adds 350. - **`label_max`**: Binary label, 1 if `goes_class` ≥ M1.0, else 0. - **`label_cum`**: Binary label, 1 if `cumulative_index` ≥ 10, else 0. Example entry (in JSON format): ```json { "timestamp": "2011-02-14 03:00:00", "goes_class": "X2.2", "cumulative_index": 297.1, "label_max": 1, "label_cum": 1 } ``` ## Dataset Details | Field | Description | |------------------------|---------------------------------------------| | **Temporal Coverage** | May 13, 2010 – Dec 31, 2024 | | **Data Format** | CSV (.csv), string-based schema | | **Data Shape** | (1, 4) per instance | | **Data Size** | Total 128,328 instances | | **Cadence** | 1 hour | | **Total File Size** | ~4.4MB | ## Authors - Jinsu Hong, [jhong36@gsu.edu](mailto:jhong36@gsu.edu) - Kang Yang, [kyang30@gsu.edu](mailto:kyang30@gsu.edu) - Berkay Aydin, [baydin2@gsu.edu](mailto:baydin2@gsu.edu)