instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2019-08-07
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2019-08-07
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $11,478.17
  - 60-Day Range: $7,688.08 → $13,016.23
  - 1D Return: -2.77%
  - 7D Return: 19.47%
  - 30D Return: 0.24%
  - Volatility (14d): 2.96%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 238.99
  - Drawdown from Max: -11.82%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [7954.13, 7688.08, 8000.33, 7927.71, 8145.86, 8230.92, 8693.83, 8838.38, 8994.49, 9320.35, 9081.76, 9273.52, 9527.16, 10144.56, 10701.69, 10855.37, 11011.10, 11790.92, 13016.23, 11182.81, 12407.33, 11959.37, 10817.16, 10583.13, 10801.68, 11961.27, 11215.44, 10978.46, 11208.55, 11450.85, 12285.96, 12573.81, 12156.51, 11358.66, 11815.99, 11392.38, 10256.06, 10895.09, 9477.64, 9693.80, 10666.48, 10530.73, 10767.14, 10599.11, 10343.11, 9900.77, 9811.93, 9911.84, 9870.30, 9477.68, 9552.86, 9519.15, 9607.42, 10085.63, 10399.67, 10518.17, 10821.73, 10970.18, 11805.65, 11478.17]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,507.30
  - Crude Oil Price: $51.09
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Bitcoin faced significant selling pressure, failing to hold above the crucial $12,000 resistance level and dropping sharply. This technical rejection suggests short-term bearish momentum. Meanwhile, institutional developments like TP ICAP offering CME Bitcoin futures and PwC's auditing tool point to long-term integration, while security concerns around Binance and regulatory discussions around FATF create ongoing uncertainty. The broader market showed volatility, with US stocks mixed and yields falling.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 2, 'id': 'n908ccf78bd13', 'title': 'Bitcoin Price Sees Steep Drop After Rejection Above $12K', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-price-sees-steep-drop-003030485.html', 'summ...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 16, 'id': 'n71f795041f2c', 'title': 'Donald Trump blasts Bitcoin, Facebook’s Libra in Twitter tirade', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/donald-trump-blasts-bitcoin-facebook-0056572...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.