instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2019-10-17
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2019-10-17
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $8,047.53
  - 60-Day Range: $7,988.16 → $10,916.05
  - 1D Return: -1.92%
  - 7D Return: -6.38%
  - 30D Return: -21.69%
  - Volatility (14d): 2.05%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 123.67
  - Drawdown from Max: -26.28%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [10345.81, 10916.05, 10763.23, 10138.05, 10131.06, 10407.96, 10159.96, 10138.52, 10370.82, 10185.50, 9754.42, 9510.20, 9598.17, 9630.66, 9757.97, 10346.76, 10623.54, 10594.49, 10575.53, 10353.30, 10517.25, 10441.28, 10334.97, 10115.98, 10178.37, 10410.13, 10360.55, 10358.05, 10347.71, 10276.79, 10241.27, 10198.25, 10266.42, 10181.64, 10019.72, 10070.39, 9729.32, 8620.57, 8486.99, 8118.97, 8251.85, 8245.92, 8104.19, 8293.87, 8343.28, 8393.04, 8259.99, 8205.94, 8151.50, 7988.16, 8245.62, 8228.78, 8595.74, 8586.47, 8321.76, 8336.56, 8321.01, 8374.69, 8205.37, 8047.53]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,492.30
  - Crude Oil Price: $53.93
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Bitcoin's price action on October 17th shows increasing selling pressure, with technical indicators suggesting a potential test of lower support levels around $7,750. This bearish short-term outlook is compounded by ongoing regulatory scrutiny, as seen with the CFTC's action against a crypto Ponzi scheme and Telegram's dispute with the SEC. However, positive developments like the increased adoption of SegWit, the growth in OTC volumes, and the launch of new infrastructure like the Lightning authentication tool provide long-term bullish undercurrents. The milestone of 18 million Bitcoins mined also reinforces the scarcity narrative.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n2dabea808372', 'title': 'CFTC Takes Action Against Crypto Options ‘Ponzi Scheme’', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/cftc-takes-action-against-crypto-100054107.html', 'su...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 3, 'id': 'ne6bcc62fb6a1', 'title': 'tZERO-Backed Startup Seeks SEC Approval to Launch Security Token Market', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/tzero-backed-startup-seeks-sec-230055...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.