instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2019-02-16
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2019-02-16
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $3,620.81
  - 60-Day Range: $3,399.47 → $4,134.44
  - 1D Return: 0.11%
  - 7D Return: -1.25%
  - 30D Return: -0.94%
  - Volatility (14d): 2.30%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 39.09
  - Drawdown from Max: -12.42%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [3696.06, 3745.95, 4134.44, 3896.54, 4014.18, 3998.98, 4078.60, 3815.49, 3857.30, 3654.83, 3923.92, 3820.41, 3865.95, 3742.70, 3843.52, 3943.41, 3836.74, 3857.72, 3845.19, 4076.63, 4025.25, 4030.85, 4035.30, 3678.92, 3687.37, 3661.30, 3552.95, 3706.05, 3630.68, 3655.01, 3678.56, 3657.84, 3728.57, 3601.01, 3576.03, 3604.58, 3585.12, 3600.87, 3599.77, 3602.46, 3583.97, 3470.45, 3448.12, 3486.18, 3457.79, 3487.95, 3521.06, 3464.01, 3459.15, 3466.36, 3413.77, 3399.47, 3666.78, 3671.20, 3690.19, 3648.43, 3653.53, 3632.07, 3616.88, 3620.81]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,318.10
  - Crude Oil Price: $55.59
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market is experiencing a period of relative calm with mild price action. Long-term, institutional adoption continues to be a key theme, with partnerships between traditional and crypto entities and the development of regulated financial products showing promise. However, regulatory hurdles and bearish predictions from major financial institutions like JPMorgan and the OECD's call for ICO regulation present headwinds. Short-term, sentiment is mixed, with some metrics suggesting Ether may be undervalued, while data breaches and isolated trading errors create minor negative noise. Institutional interest, as seen in Grayscale's investments, remains a supportive factor.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'ne25cd69f4fa6', 'title': 'Crypto Nightmare: This Brazilian Investor Just Accidentally Bought Bitcoin at $20,000', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/crypto-nightmare-brazil...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 6, 'id': 'n6a653dd5e297', 'title': 'Cowboys on the Block: Inside Wyoming’s Race for Crypto Prominence', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/cowboys-block-inside-wyoming-race-173000969...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.