instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2021-12-31
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2021-12-31
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $47,178.12
  - 60-Day Range: $46,202.14 → $67,566.83
  - 1D Return: 1.58%
  - 7D Return: -7.10%
  - 30D Return: -17.24%
  - Volatility (14d): 2.73%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 918.09
  - Drawdown from Max: -30.18%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [61004.41, 63226.40, 62970.05, 61452.23, 61125.68, 61527.48, 63326.99, 67566.83, 66971.83, 64995.23, 64949.96, 64155.94, 64469.53, 65466.84, 63557.87, 60161.25, 60368.01, 56942.14, 58119.58, 59697.20, 58730.48, 56289.29, 57569.07, 56280.43, 57274.68, 53569.77, 54815.08, 57248.46, 57806.57, 57005.43, 57229.83, 56477.82, 53598.25, 49200.70, 49368.85, 50582.62, 50700.09, 50504.80, 47672.12, 47243.30, 49362.51, 50098.34, 46737.48, 46612.63, 48896.72, 47665.43, 46202.14, 46848.78, 46707.02, 46880.28, 48936.61, 48628.51, 50784.54, 50822.20, 50429.86, 50809.52, 50640.42, 47588.86, 46444.71, 47178.12]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,827.50
  - Crude Oil Price: $75.21
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: As 2021 concludes, the crypto market shows mixed signals. Long-term, the narrative of Bitcoin as an inflation hedge and increasing institutional adoption via ETFs remain strong bullish drivers. However, concerns about regulatory clarity and the perceived limitations of protocol upgrades like Taproot introduce some bearish undertones. In the short term, thin holiday trading volumes are expected, but positive sentiment is present with major cryptocurrencies showing gains. Institutional buying on dips and corporate accumulation by MicroStrategy provide bullish support, while news of crypto hacks and tax loopholes could influence short-term trading behavior.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'nb8bfb0961b4f', 'title': 'Global stocks close near record highs ahead of New Year, dollar and oil dip', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stocks-see-near-record-highs-0944...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'nae2bc110bebd', 'title': 'Bitcoin price flirts with all-time high as inflation threatens', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-ethereum-price-8-november-crypto-infla...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.