instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-12-27
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-12-27
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $3,857.30
  - 60-Day Range: $3,236.76 → $6,530.14
  - 1D Return: 1.10%
  - 7D Return: 2.97%
  - 30D Return: 2.07%
  - Volatility (14d): 4.94%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 135.94
  - Drawdown from Max: -40.93%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [6486.39, 6332.63, 6334.27, 6317.61, 6377.78, 6388.44, 6361.26, 6376.13, 6419.66, 6461.01, 6530.14, 6453.72, 6385.62, 6409.22, 6411.27, 6371.27, 6359.49, 5738.35, 5648.03, 5575.55, 5554.33, 5623.54, 4871.49, 4451.87, 4602.17, 4365.94, 4347.11, 3880.76, 4009.97, 3779.13, 3820.72, 4257.42, 4278.85, 4017.27, 4214.67, 4139.88, 3894.13, 3956.89, 3753.99, 3521.10, 3419.94, 3476.11, 3614.23, 3502.66, 3424.59, 3486.95, 3313.68, 3242.48, 3236.76, 3252.84, 3545.86, 3696.06, 3745.95, 4134.44, 3896.54, 4014.18, 3998.98, 4078.60, 3815.49, 3857.30]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,277.30
  - Crude Oil Price: $44.61
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market remains under pressure, with Bitcoin trading flat while most altcoins experience declines. Significant layoffs at major Chinese crypto firms like Huobi and Bitmain signal industry contraction and negative sentiment. The Lightning Network shows strong growth, but this is not yet translating into price appreciation. Bitcoin is struggling to hold key support levels, and a general post-holiday downturn suggests continued bearish momentum in the short term. Long-term, institutional interest via Nasdaq futures and exchange funding offers a glimmer of optimism, but regulatory uncertainty and bearish commentary persist.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n8b8eb728967e', 'title': 'Trader: Crypto Investors Need to ‘GTFO’ if Bitcoin Price Falls Below This Level', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/trader-crypto-investors-gtfo-...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 14, 'id': 'n627965f50b89', 'title': "Bitcoin approaching its worst ever slump — here's what's driving it", 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-approaching-worst-ever-slump-her...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.