instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-10-20
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-10-20
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $6,465.41
  - 60-Day Range: $6,225.98 → $7,361.66
  - 1D Return: -0.17%
  - 7D Return: 3.04%
  - 30D Return: 1.05%
  - Volatility (14d): 2.00%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 68.96
  - Drawdown from Max: -12.17%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [6488.76, 6376.71, 6534.88, 6719.96, 6763.19, 6707.26, 6884.64, 7096.28, 7047.16, 6978.23, 7037.58, 7193.25, 7272.72, 7260.06, 7361.66, 6792.83, 6529.17, 6467.07, 6225.98, 6300.86, 6329.70, 6321.20, 6351.80, 6517.31, 6512.71, 6543.20, 6517.18, 6281.20, 6371.30, 6398.54, 6519.67, 6734.95, 6721.98, 6710.63, 6595.41, 6446.47, 6495.00, 6676.75, 6644.13, 6601.96, 6625.56, 6589.62, 6556.10, 6502.59, 6576.69, 6622.48, 6588.31, 6602.95, 6652.23, 6642.64, 6585.53, 6256.24, 6274.58, 6285.99, 6290.93, 6596.54, 6596.11, 6544.43, 6476.71, 6465.41]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,225.30
  - Crude Oil Price: $69.12
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Bitcoin continues its downward trend, with multiple sources indicating bearish sentiment and key support levels being breached. The US Marshals' upcoming auction of seized Bitcoin adds a potential supply overhang. While long-term institutional adoption signals remain, the short-term outlook is dominated by negative price action and market sentiment.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n6403ae781111', 'title': 'Bitcoin – Bears Eye $6,400 Levels as Negative Bias Lingers', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-bears-eye-6-400-033514781.html', 'summary'...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n049aa96368df', 'title': 'Morgan Stanley is reportedly getting ready to offer clients exposure to bitcoin with a new trading product (MS)', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/ne...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.