instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2021-08-13
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2021-08-13
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $44,428.29
  - 60-Day Range: $29,807.35 → $46,365.40
  - 1D Return: -2.56%
  - 7D Return: 8.71%
  - 30D Return: 35.86%
  - Volatility (14d): 3.53%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 1285.13
  - Drawdown from Max: -4.18%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [40218.48, 40406.27, 38347.06, 38053.50, 35787.25, 35615.87, 35698.30, 31676.69, 32505.66, 33723.03, 34662.44, 31637.78, 32186.28, 34649.64, 34434.34, 35867.78, 35040.84, 33572.12, 33897.05, 34668.55, 35287.78, 33746.00, 34235.20, 33855.33, 32877.37, 33798.01, 33520.52, 34240.19, 33155.85, 32702.03, 32822.35, 31780.73, 31421.54, 31533.07, 31796.81, 30817.83, 29807.35, 32110.69, 32313.11, 33581.55, 34292.45, 35350.19, 37337.54, 39406.94, 39995.91, 40008.42, 42235.55, 41626.20, 39974.89, 39201.95, 38152.98, 39747.50, 40869.55, 42816.50, 44555.80, 43798.12, 46365.40, 45585.03, 45593.64, 44428.29]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,775.20
  - Crude Oil Price: $68.44
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market is showing strong bullish sentiment today, with Bitcoin rebounding above $46,000 and altcoins outperforming. Key developments include positive regulatory news regarding IRS interpretations of crypto tax reporting, which is boosting market confidence. Institutional interest is also evident with JPMorgan launching a Bitcoin fund and Visa reporting increased crypto spending. Mining difficulty has spiked due to miner relocation, indicating network health. Ether is showing strength relative to Bitcoin, driven by DeFi growth and network upgrades.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'nf75f5418e7db', 'title': 'Good Gaming Joins Forces with Blockchain App Factory to Develop and Implement Marketing Initiatives for The Branding and Launch of Its MicroBuddies™ G...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 6, 'id': 'nd399fefc5124', 'title': 'Understanding Latin America’s Rising Interest in Bitcoin Adoption', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/understanding-latin-america-rising-interest...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.