instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2019-05-01
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2019-05-01
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $5,350.73
  - 60-Day Range: $3,761.56 → $5,572.36
  - 1D Return: 1.97%
  - 7D Return: -3.98%
  - 30D Return: 30.33%
  - Volatility (14d): 1.87%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 70.23
  - Drawdown from Max: -3.98%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [3864.42, 3847.18, 3761.56, 3896.38, 3903.94, 3911.48, 3901.13, 3963.31, 3951.60, 3905.23, 3909.16, 3906.72, 3924.37, 3960.91, 4048.73, 4025.23, 4032.51, 4071.19, 4087.48, 4029.33, 4023.97, 4035.83, 4022.17, 3963.07, 3985.08, 4087.07, 4069.11, 4098.37, 4106.66, 4105.40, 4158.18, 4879.88, 4973.02, 4922.80, 5036.68, 5059.82, 5198.90, 5289.77, 5204.96, 5324.55, 5064.49, 5089.54, 5096.59, 5167.72, 5067.11, 5235.56, 5251.94, 5298.39, 5303.81, 5337.89, 5314.53, 5399.37, 5572.36, 5464.87, 5210.52, 5279.35, 5268.29, 5285.14, 5247.35, 5350.73]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,281.40
  - Crude Oil Price: $63.60
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market is showing mixed signals today. On the long-term front, institutional interest is growing with news of Facebook's crypto project and the CFTC's balanced regulatory approach, but regulatory headwinds from India and the Bitfinex/Tether scandal pose significant risks. Short-term, a marketing campaign by Grayscale to 'Drop Gold' and positive earnings from Square's Bitcoin sales are providing a bullish sentiment. However, the market is also reacting to the Tether scandal with mixed price movements, and institutional caution from Goldman Sachs highlights the ongoing need for regulatory clarity.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'neb71cd231c7a', 'title': "Will Gold Investors Buy Bitcoin? A 'Drop Gold' TV Campaign Bets They Will", 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gold-investors-buy-bitcoin-apos-125...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 2, 'id': 'nec4bd2f4c0f0', 'title': '‘Coffee for Bakkt’? Starbucks Equity Deal Will See Crypto-Based Payments, Source Claims', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/coffee-bakkt-starbuck...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.