instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-09-18
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-09-18
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $6,281.20
  - 60-Day Range: $6,184.71 → $8,424.27
  - 1D Return: -3.62%
  - 7D Return: -0.77%
  - 30D Return: -2.22%
  - Volatility (14d): 2.77%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 131.62
  - Drawdown from Max: -25.44%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [7354.13, 7419.29, 7418.49, 7711.11, 8424.27, 8181.39, 7951.58, 8165.01, 8192.15, 8218.46, 8180.48, 7780.44, 7624.91, 7567.15, 7434.39, 7032.85, 7068.48, 6951.80, 6753.12, 6305.80, 6568.23, 6184.71, 6295.73, 6322.69, 6297.57, 6199.71, 6308.52, 6334.73, 6580.63, 6423.76, 6506.07, 6308.53, 6488.76, 6376.71, 6534.88, 6719.96, 6763.19, 6707.26, 6884.64, 7096.28, 7047.16, 6978.23, 7037.58, 7193.25, 7272.72, 7260.06, 7361.66, 6792.83, 6529.17, 6467.07, 6225.98, 6300.86, 6329.70, 6321.20, 6351.80, 6517.31, 6512.71, 6543.20, 6517.18, 6281.20]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,196.80
  - Crude Oil Price: $69.85
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market is experiencing a slight downturn today, with Bitcoin dipping below $6,300, influenced by broader macro concerns like US-China trade tensions and a shift towards the US Dollar. While some infrastructure developments like NordFX integrating crypto into MT5 are positive, the overall sentiment is cautious. News regarding potential regulatory clarity in the Philippines and continued anticipation of a Bitcoin ETF approval remain key long-term bullish drivers, but short-term price action is being dictated by macro headwinds and general market weakness.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 3, 'id': 'n9308b17c86f2', 'title': 'Cryptos Fall, Mastercard Explores B2B Blockchain', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/cryptos-fall-mastercard-explores-b2b-153900390.html', 'summa...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 5, 'id': 'nc4e34a1321f9', 'title': 'Bitcoin ETF Will Likely Be Approved Next Year: Asset Manager', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-etf-likely-approved-next-125602182.html'...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.