instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-05-15
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-05-15
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $8,716.79
  - 60-Day Range: $6,636.32 → $9,858.15
  - 1D Return: -0.08%
  - 7D Return: -7.00%
  - 30D Return: 9.15%
  - Volatility (14d): 2.92%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 202.42
  - Drawdown from Max: -11.58%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [8338.35, 7916.88, 8223.68, 8630.65, 8913.47, 8929.28, 8728.47, 8879.62, 8668.12, 8495.78, 8209.40, 7833.04, 7954.48, 7165.70, 6890.52, 6973.53, 6844.23, 7083.80, 7456.11, 6853.84, 6811.47, 6636.32, 6911.09, 7023.52, 6770.73, 6834.76, 6968.32, 7889.25, 7895.96, 7986.24, 8329.11, 8058.67, 7902.09, 8163.42, 8294.31, 8845.83, 8895.58, 8802.46, 8930.88, 9697.50, 8845.74, 9281.51, 8987.05, 9348.48, 9419.08, 9240.55, 9119.01, 9235.92, 9743.86, 9700.76, 9858.15, 9654.80, 9373.01, 9234.82, 9325.18, 9043.94, 8441.49, 8504.89, 8723.94, 8716.79]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,288.90
  - Crude Oil Price: $71.31
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market shows mixed signals today. Bitcoin Cash is experiencing significant downward pressure ahead of its hard fork, indicating short-term bearish sentiment and volatility. Conversely, positive news regarding institutional interest in mining hardware IPOs and the Winklevoss twins' Gemini exchange gaining approval to trade Zcash suggest growing infrastructure and regulatory acceptance. The launch of HTC's blockchain phone also points to increasing mainstream integration of crypto. Overall, while short-term volatility is present, longer-term adoption trends appear to be strengthening.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 3, 'id': 'ne837435c9fd2', 'title': 'Bitcoin Cash, Litecoin and Ripple Daily Analysis – 15/05/18', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-cash-litecoin-ripple-daily-055823922.html...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 7, 'id': 'nc74bbf18ea01', 'title': 'Bitcoin Prices Surge As G20 Gives No Hint For Clampdown on Crypto', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-prices-surge-g20-gives-085900432.ht...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.