instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-08-02
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-08-02
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $7,624.91
  - 60-Day Range: $5,903.44 → $8,424.27
  - 1D Return: -2.00%
  - 7D Return: -6.80%
  - 30D Return: 15.28%
  - Volatility (14d): 3.47%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 186.69
  - Drawdown from Max: -9.49%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [7720.25, 7514.47, 7633.76, 7653.98, 7678.24, 7624.92, 7531.98, 6786.02, 6906.92, 6582.36, 6349.90, 6675.35, 6456.58, 6550.16, 6499.27, 6734.82, 6769.94, 6776.55, 6729.74, 6083.69, 6162.48, 6173.23, 6249.18, 6093.67, 6157.13, 5903.44, 6218.30, 6404.00, 6385.82, 6614.18, 6529.59, 6597.55, 6639.14, 6673.50, 6856.93, 6773.88, 6741.75, 6329.95, 6394.71, 6228.81, 6238.05, 6276.12, 6359.64, 6741.75, 7321.04, 7370.78, 7466.86, 7354.13, 7419.29, 7418.49, 7711.11, 8424.27, 8181.39, 7951.58, 8165.01, 8192.15, 8218.46, 8180.48, 7780.44, 7624.91]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,210.60
  - Crude Oil Price: $68.96
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The market is showing mixed signals today. The Federal Reserve's decision to hold rates steady was expected and neutral, but renewed US-China trade tensions are weighing on Asian markets, creating a risk-off sentiment. In crypto, Bitcoin and other major coins are experiencing a downtrend with weak recovery attempts and low volume, indicating prevailing bearish sentiment. Regulatory news remains a key factor, with the SEC's rejection of the Winklevoss ETF and the sentencing of a Bitcoin trader for money laundering highlighting ongoing challenges and risks.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n11808d641c96', 'title': 'Fed Leaves Rates Unchanged as Expected, Makes No Mention of Tariff Battle', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-leaves-rates-unchanged-expected...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 19, 'id': 'nb5b93c031b47', 'title': 'Apple Publishes Revised Cryptocurrency, ICO Guidelines for App Store', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/apple-publishes-revised-cryptocurrency-...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.