instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2019-01-09
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2019-01-09
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $4,030.85
  - 60-Day Range: $3,236.76 → $6,411.27
  - 1D Return: 0.14%
  - 7D Return: 4.87%
  - 30D Return: 11.53%
  - Volatility (14d): 3.49%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 101.07
  - Drawdown from Max: -37.13%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [6409.22, 6411.27, 6371.27, 6359.49, 5738.35, 5648.03, 5575.55, 5554.33, 5623.54, 4871.49, 4451.87, 4602.17, 4365.94, 4347.11, 3880.76, 4009.97, 3779.13, 3820.72, 4257.42, 4278.85, 4017.27, 4214.67, 4139.88, 3894.13, 3956.89, 3753.99, 3521.10, 3419.94, 3476.11, 3614.23, 3502.66, 3424.59, 3486.95, 3313.68, 3242.48, 3236.76, 3252.84, 3545.86, 3696.06, 3745.95, 4134.44, 3896.54, 4014.18, 3998.98, 4078.60, 3815.49, 3857.30, 3654.83, 3923.92, 3820.41, 3865.95, 3742.70, 3843.52, 3943.41, 3836.74, 3857.72, 3845.19, 4076.63, 4025.25, 4030.85]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,289.30
  - Crude Oil Price: $52.36
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Today's signals are mixed, with some analysts predicting further lows before a potential rally, while others point to bullish sentiment and technical indicators suggesting upward movement. Institutional interest remains a long-term positive, with news of banks offering crypto services and regulatory clarity emerging in regions like Thailand. However, caution prevails due to upcoming Ethereum network upgrades and ongoing regulatory discussions in the EU. The market appears to be in a consolidation phase, with potential for short-term volatility.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 20, 'id': 'nb54d35ee5a17', 'title': 'Bullish Sentiment for Bitcoin Is at a 5-Month High', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bullish-sentiment-bitcoin-5-month-173118486.html', 'summa...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 8, 'id': 'n2d85d83c20bc', 'title': 'Crypto ETF Could Launch Bitcoin Price to $20,000 in 2019: BitPay’s Sonny Singh', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/crypto-etf-could-launch-bitcoi...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.