instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2019-08-17
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2019-08-17
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $10,374.34
  - 60-Day Range: $9,081.76 → $13,016.23
  - 1D Return: 0.61%
  - 7D Return: -12.55%
  - 30D Return: 7.02%
  - Volatility (14d): 3.93%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 334.26
  - Drawdown from Max: -20.30%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [9081.76, 9273.52, 9527.16, 10144.56, 10701.69, 10855.37, 11011.10, 11790.92, 13016.23, 11182.81, 12407.33, 11959.37, 10817.16, 10583.13, 10801.68, 11961.27, 11215.44, 10978.46, 11208.55, 11450.85, 12285.96, 12573.81, 12156.51, 11358.66, 11815.99, 11392.38, 10256.06, 10895.09, 9477.64, 9693.80, 10666.48, 10530.73, 10767.14, 10599.11, 10343.11, 9900.77, 9811.93, 9911.84, 9870.30, 9477.68, 9552.86, 9519.15, 9607.42, 10085.63, 10399.67, 10518.17, 10821.73, 10970.18, 11805.65, 11478.17, 11941.97, 11966.41, 11862.94, 11354.02, 11523.58, 11382.62, 10895.83, 10051.70, 10311.55, 10374.34]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,512.50
  - Crude Oil Price: $54.87
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market is navigating mixed signals. Long-term, regulatory clarity in Japan and the potential for institutional adoption via Bakkt are bullish indicators. However, continued SEC delays on Bitcoin ETFs introduce short-term uncertainty. Geopolitical events in Argentina are driving localized demand for Bitcoin as a safe haven, while broader macroeconomic data suggests a potential shift towards risk-on sentiment, which could indirectly benefit Bitcoin.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 4, 'id': 'n86e4e6590d0f', 'title': 'Bakkt Bitcoin futures and warehouse to debut in September', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bakkt-bitcoin-futures-warehouse-debut-140012965.htm...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 3, 'id': 'n831c77100874', 'title': 'Facebook Libra Update: Regulation Takes Center Stage', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/facebook-libra-regulation-takes-center-194907689.html', ...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.