instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2020-03-13
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2020-03-13
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $4,970.79
  - 60-Day Range: $4,970.79 → $10,326.05
  - 1D Return: -37.17%
  - 7D Return: -45.25%
  - 30D Return: -51.31%
  - Volatility (14d): 10.17%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 369.01
  - Drawdown from Max: -51.86%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [8144.19, 8827.76, 8807.01, 8723.79, 8929.04, 8942.81, 8706.25, 8657.64, 8745.89, 8680.88, 8406.52, 8445.43, 8367.85, 8596.83, 8909.82, 9358.59, 9316.63, 9508.99, 9350.53, 9392.88, 9344.37, 9293.52, 9180.96, 9613.42, 9729.80, 9795.94, 9865.12, 10116.67, 9856.61, 10208.24, 10326.05, 10214.38, 10312.12, 9889.42, 9934.43, 9690.14, 10142.00, 9633.39, 9608.48, 9686.44, 9663.18, 9924.52, 9650.17, 9341.71, 8820.52, 8784.49, 8672.46, 8599.51, 8562.45, 8869.67, 8787.79, 8755.25, 9078.76, 9122.55, 8909.95, 8108.12, 7923.64, 7909.73, 7911.43, 4970.79]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,515.70
  - Crude Oil Price: $31.73
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market is experiencing extreme volatility, mirroring the broader financial markets' sharp decline due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Bitcoin has seen dramatic price swings, briefly falling below $4,000 before a significant rebound, coinciding with equity market recoveries. Reports of platform outages like Bitmex and widespread margin calls in the crypto lending space highlight severe liquidity issues. Despite the short-term bearish pressure from macro factors, there are signs of a potential short-term bounce driven by market stabilization and stimulus hopes.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'ne631578c0a9c', 'title': 'Bitcoin Falls Below $5K as Market Pain Deepens', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-falls-below-5k-market-010512976.html', 'summary': "Bit...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n6016b7e8f5a1', 'title': 'Top 5 Potentially Profitable Cryptocurrencies in 2020: Investment Advice', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/top-5-potentially-profitable-cryptoc...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.