instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2019-01-31
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2019-01-31
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $3,486.18
  - 60-Day Range: $3,236.76 → $4,139.88
  - 1D Return: 1.10%
  - 7D Return: -2.76%
  - 30D Return: -6.85%
  - Volatility (14d): 1.47%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 37.68
  - Drawdown from Max: -15.79%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [4139.88, 3894.13, 3956.89, 3753.99, 3521.10, 3419.94, 3476.11, 3614.23, 3502.66, 3424.59, 3486.95, 3313.68, 3242.48, 3236.76, 3252.84, 3545.86, 3696.06, 3745.95, 4134.44, 3896.54, 4014.18, 3998.98, 4078.60, 3815.49, 3857.30, 3654.83, 3923.92, 3820.41, 3865.95, 3742.70, 3843.52, 3943.41, 3836.74, 3857.72, 3845.19, 4076.63, 4025.25, 4030.85, 4035.30, 3678.92, 3687.37, 3661.30, 3552.95, 3706.05, 3630.68, 3655.01, 3678.56, 3657.84, 3728.57, 3601.01, 3576.03, 3604.58, 3585.12, 3600.87, 3599.77, 3602.46, 3583.97, 3470.45, 3448.12, 3486.18]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,319.70
  - Crude Oil Price: $53.79
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market shows mixed signals today. While the launch of Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC) on Ethereum and Binance's credit card integration offer bullish catalysts for increased utility and accessibility, Bitcoin is hovering under $3,450 with other top cryptos seeing moderate losses. Macroeconomic factors, like a dovish Fed and a weakening USD, provide some underlying support, but mixed signals from the US stock market introduce uncertainty. Regulatory developments, such as the ETF withdrawal and Ripple's legal hire, continue to present challenges.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'nfa00e2f5f9c7', 'title': 'ConsenSys Developer Joins Ethereum Classic Cooperative as Executive Director', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/consensys-developer-joins-ethere...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 3, 'id': 'n9ef1b2514728', 'title': 'VC Investor Tim Draper Made $89M From His Bitcoin Investment in 5 Years', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/vc-investor-tim-draper-made-095418051...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.