instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-08-10
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-08-10
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $6,568.23
  - 60-Day Range: $5,903.44 → $8,424.27
  - 1D Return: 4.16%
  - 7D Return: -13.20%
  - 30D Return: 3.76%
  - Volatility (14d): 2.99%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 179.52
  - Drawdown from Max: -22.03%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [6906.92, 6582.36, 6349.90, 6675.35, 6456.58, 6550.16, 6499.27, 6734.82, 6769.94, 6776.55, 6729.74, 6083.69, 6162.48, 6173.23, 6249.18, 6093.67, 6157.13, 5903.44, 6218.30, 6404.00, 6385.82, 6614.18, 6529.59, 6597.55, 6639.14, 6673.50, 6856.93, 6773.88, 6741.75, 6329.95, 6394.71, 6228.81, 6238.05, 6276.12, 6359.64, 6741.75, 7321.04, 7370.78, 7466.86, 7354.13, 7419.29, 7418.49, 7711.11, 8424.27, 8181.39, 7951.58, 8165.01, 8192.15, 8218.46, 8180.48, 7780.44, 7624.91, 7567.15, 7434.39, 7032.85, 7068.48, 6951.80, 6753.12, 6305.80, 6568.23]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,211.10
  - Crude Oil Price: $67.63
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market is showing mixed signals today. While there's some recovery in Bitcoin and altcoins after a recent sharp decline, the overall downtrend remains strong, with analysts warning of potential 'existential crises' if key support levels break. Regulatory news, such as the SEC's delayed ETF decision and Japan's actions against exchanges, continues to create volatility. However, positive adoption news, like increased merchant acceptance in Chile and government investment in a crypto startup, offers some bullish counterpoints. The market appears indecisive, with today's closing price being a key indicator for the short-term trend.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'nc33ee0be11a0', 'title': '5,000 Merchants Can Now Accept Cryptocurrency Payments in Chile', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/5-000-merchants-now-accept-002440939.html', '...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n486dd7cfbafb', 'title': 'Japan Slaps 6 Licensed Cryptocurrency Exchanges with Business Improvement Orders', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/japan-slaps-6-licensed-crypt...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.