instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2019-01-30
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2019-01-30
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $3,448.12
  - 60-Day Range: $3,236.76 → $4,214.67
  - 1D Return: -0.64%
  - 7D Return: -4.34%
  - 30D Return: -10.81%
  - Volatility (14d): 1.45%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 36.70
  - Drawdown from Max: -18.19%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [4214.67, 4139.88, 3894.13, 3956.89, 3753.99, 3521.10, 3419.94, 3476.11, 3614.23, 3502.66, 3424.59, 3486.95, 3313.68, 3242.48, 3236.76, 3252.84, 3545.86, 3696.06, 3745.95, 4134.44, 3896.54, 4014.18, 3998.98, 4078.60, 3815.49, 3857.30, 3654.83, 3923.92, 3820.41, 3865.95, 3742.70, 3843.52, 3943.41, 3836.74, 3857.72, 3845.19, 4076.63, 4025.25, 4030.85, 4035.30, 3678.92, 3687.37, 3661.30, 3552.95, 3706.05, 3630.68, 3655.01, 3678.56, 3657.84, 3728.57, 3601.01, 3576.03, 3604.58, 3585.12, 3600.87, 3599.77, 3602.46, 3583.97, 3470.45, 3448.12]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,309.90
  - Crude Oil Price: $54.23
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market shows mixed signals today. Long-term, the increasing adoption of crypto ATMs and the growing demand for blockchain developers are positive indicators. However, concerns about global crypto taxation and negative sentiment from major financial institutions like JPMorgan Chase present significant long-term headwinds. In the short term, Bitcoin is showing signs of a potential minor bounce, with some altcoins experiencing gains, but the overall bearish trend remains intact. Ongoing security concerns like hacks and regulatory risks related to tax reporting add to the short-term uncertainty.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 4, 'id': 'n6c5bd6dfb811', 'title': 'Bitcoin Eyes Minor Price Bounce But Bear Trend Intact', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-eyes-minor-price-bounce-111523788.html', 'summa...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 2, 'id': 'n2608e05f17d4', 'title': 'Six New Cryptocurrency ATM Machines Installed Every Day in 2018', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/six-cryptocurrency-atm-machines-installed-055...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.