instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-08-01
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-08-01
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $7,780.44
  - 60-Day Range: $5,903.44 → $8,424.27
  - 1D Return: -4.89%
  - 7D Return: -7.64%
  - 30D Return: 21.84%
  - Volatility (14d): 3.41%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 179.13
  - Drawdown from Max: -7.64%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [7643.45, 7720.25, 7514.47, 7633.76, 7653.98, 7678.24, 7624.92, 7531.98, 6786.02, 6906.92, 6582.36, 6349.90, 6675.35, 6456.58, 6550.16, 6499.27, 6734.82, 6769.94, 6776.55, 6729.74, 6083.69, 6162.48, 6173.23, 6249.18, 6093.67, 6157.13, 5903.44, 6218.30, 6404.00, 6385.82, 6614.18, 6529.59, 6597.55, 6639.14, 6673.50, 6856.93, 6773.88, 6741.75, 6329.95, 6394.71, 6228.81, 6238.05, 6276.12, 6359.64, 6741.75, 7321.04, 7370.78, 7466.86, 7354.13, 7419.29, 7418.49, 7711.11, 8424.27, 8181.39, 7951.58, 8165.01, 8192.15, 8218.46, 8180.48, 7780.44]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,217.90
  - Crude Oil Price: $67.66
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market experienced a significant downturn, with Bitcoin dropping 7% and losing $30 billion in market cap, indicating strong bearish momentum and low volume. Global markets are also under pressure due to escalating US-China trade war tensions, contributing to a risk-off sentiment. However, positive news regarding the potential for a Bitcoin ETF approval in the next 18 months and strong earnings from tech giants like Apple offer some counterbalancing bullish signals for the longer term and broader market sentiment.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 2, 'id': 'nbe8ab69635d2', 'title': 'Crypto Bloodbath: Bitcoin Drops 7% to $7,500 as Crypto Market Loses $30 Billion', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/crypto-bloodbath-bitcoin-drop...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 7, 'id': 'na8f5d8b4896a', 'title': 'Yahoo Finance Morning Brief: June 14, 2018', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/morning-brief-comcast-makes-65b-bid-fox-assets-103031927.html', 's...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.