instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-06-25
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-06-25
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $6,173.23
  - 60-Day Range: $6,083.69 → $9,858.15
  - 1D Return: 0.17%
  - 7D Return: -5.02%
  - 30D Return: -17.47%
  - Volatility (14d): 3.72%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 173.31
  - Drawdown from Max: -37.38%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [9281.51, 8987.05, 9348.48, 9419.08, 9240.55, 9119.01, 9235.92, 9743.86, 9700.76, 9858.15, 9654.80, 9373.01, 9234.82, 9325.18, 9043.94, 8441.49, 8504.89, 8723.94, 8716.79, 8510.38, 8368.83, 8094.32, 8250.97, 8247.18, 8513.25, 8418.99, 8041.78, 7557.82, 7587.34, 7480.14, 7355.88, 7368.22, 7135.99, 7472.59, 7406.52, 7494.17, 7541.45, 7643.45, 7720.25, 7514.47, 7633.76, 7653.98, 7678.24, 7624.92, 7531.98, 6786.02, 6906.92, 6582.36, 6349.90, 6675.35, 6456.58, 6550.16, 6499.27, 6734.82, 6769.94, 6776.55, 6729.74, 6083.69, 6162.48, 6173.23]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,265.60
  - Crude Oil Price: $68.08
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The market sentiment is overwhelmingly bearish today due to escalating trade tensions between the US and China, leading to a significant sell-off in global equities. This risk-off environment is expected to put downward pressure on Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Additionally, concerns about miner centralization due to Bitmain's increasing hashrate control are present, though their immediate price impact is uncertain. Institutional interest in blockchain, as evidenced by Facebook's exploration and past patent filings by major banks, continues to be a long-term bullish factor, but is overshadowed by immediate macro concerns.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 3, 'id': 'ne1c56411faa3', 'title': 'What Happened in the Stock Market Today', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/happened-stock-market-today-210124196.html', 'summary': 'Global stock...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 19, 'id': 'n781eb2d84901', 'title': 'Here’s Why Bank of America Has Filed Nearly 50 Blockchain-Related Patents', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-bank-america-filed-nearly-2151...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.