instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-07-15
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-07-15
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $6,276.12
  - 60-Day Range: $5,903.44 → $8,513.25
  - 1D Return: 0.61%
  - 7D Return: -8.47%
  - 30D Return: -5.98%
  - Volatility (14d): 2.33%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 104.53
  - Drawdown from Max: -26.28%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [8368.83, 8094.32, 8250.97, 8247.18, 8513.25, 8418.99, 8041.78, 7557.82, 7587.34, 7480.14, 7355.88, 7368.22, 7135.99, 7472.59, 7406.52, 7494.17, 7541.45, 7643.45, 7720.25, 7514.47, 7633.76, 7653.98, 7678.24, 7624.92, 7531.98, 6786.02, 6906.92, 6582.36, 6349.90, 6675.35, 6456.58, 6550.16, 6499.27, 6734.82, 6769.94, 6776.55, 6729.74, 6083.69, 6162.48, 6173.23, 6249.18, 6093.67, 6157.13, 5903.44, 6218.30, 6404.00, 6385.82, 6614.18, 6529.59, 6597.55, 6639.14, 6673.50, 6856.93, 6773.88, 6741.75, 6329.95, 6394.71, 6228.81, 6238.05, 6276.12]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,239.60
  - Crude Oil Price: $71.01
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The market sentiment remains mixed, with geopolitical tensions and trade war concerns continuing to drive risk sentiment. In crypto, Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash are trading in tight ranges, showing attempts at upward movement but facing resistance. Long-term, the development of crypto infrastructure like new trading platforms and the demand for developers signal continued growth potential, despite current market consolidation. Macroeconomic factors like oil prices are trending bearishly, which could indirectly influence crypto markets.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'nbd975c32eb72', 'title': 'Bitcoin Cash, Litecoin and Ripple Daily Analysis – 15/07/18', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-cash-litecoin-ripple-daily-044216189.html...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n11627a44ddca', 'title': '‘Blockchain Island’ Malta Gets its First Two-Way Bitcoin ATM', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/blockchain-island-malta-gets-first-134820824.htm...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.