instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-11-22
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-11-22
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $4,602.17
  - 60-Day Range: $4,451.87 → $6,710.63
  - 1D Return: 3.38%
  - 7D Return: -19.80%
  - 30D Return: -29.06%
  - Volatility (14d): 4.73%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 172.73
  - Drawdown from Max: -31.42%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [6710.63, 6595.41, 6446.47, 6495.00, 6676.75, 6644.13, 6601.96, 6625.56, 6589.62, 6556.10, 6502.59, 6576.69, 6622.48, 6588.31, 6602.95, 6652.23, 6642.64, 6585.53, 6256.24, 6274.58, 6285.99, 6290.93, 6596.54, 6596.11, 6544.43, 6476.71, 6465.41, 6489.19, 6482.35, 6487.16, 6475.74, 6495.84, 6476.29, 6474.75, 6480.38, 6486.39, 6332.63, 6334.27, 6317.61, 6377.78, 6388.44, 6361.26, 6376.13, 6419.66, 6461.01, 6530.14, 6453.72, 6385.62, 6409.22, 6411.27, 6371.27, 6359.49, 5738.35, 5648.03, 5575.55, 5554.33, 5623.54, 4871.49, 4451.87, 4602.17]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,225.80
  - Crude Oil Price: $54.63
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market remains under pressure, with Bitcoin trading around $4,500, reflecting a continued 'slow bleed' sentiment. While some smaller tokens are showing gains, the overall trend is bearish, influenced by macroeconomic factors like a strengthening dollar and the lingering effects of the Bitcoin Cash hard fork. However, there are nascent signs of stabilization, with major coins experiencing only mild losses. Developments like potential institutional liquidity improvements from Bakkt and Fidelity, alongside new retail adoption channels in France, offer a glimmer of optimism for the longer term, but immediate price action is likely to remain subdued.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'nc45697dc080c', 'title': 'Susquehanna Exec: Bakkt and Fidelity Could Solve Bitcoin’s Liquidity Issue', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/susquehanna-exec-bakkt-fidelity-co...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 9, 'id': 'ndaa2efe94a81', 'title': 'Bitcoin ETF Could Attract Billions in New Investment: VanEck', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-etf-could-attract-billions-021025812.htm...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.