instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-05-21
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-05-21
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $8,513.25
  - 60-Day Range: $6,636.32 → $9,858.15
  - 1D Return: 3.23%
  - 7D Return: -2.42%
  - 30D Return: -3.76%
  - Volatility (14d): 2.71%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 195.19
  - Drawdown from Max: -13.64%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [8728.47, 8879.62, 8668.12, 8495.78, 8209.40, 7833.04, 7954.48, 7165.70, 6890.52, 6973.53, 6844.23, 7083.80, 7456.11, 6853.84, 6811.47, 6636.32, 6911.09, 7023.52, 6770.73, 6834.76, 6968.32, 7889.25, 7895.96, 7986.24, 8329.11, 8058.67, 7902.09, 8163.42, 8294.31, 8845.83, 8895.58, 8802.46, 8930.88, 9697.50, 8845.74, 9281.51, 8987.05, 9348.48, 9419.08, 9240.55, 9119.01, 9235.92, 9743.86, 9700.76, 9858.15, 9654.80, 9373.01, 9234.82, 9325.18, 9043.94, 8441.49, 8504.89, 8723.94, 8716.79, 8510.38, 8368.83, 8094.32, 8250.97, 8247.18, 8513.25]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,290.20
  - Crude Oil Price: $72.24
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market is showing mixed signals today. On the long-term front, institutional interest from George Soros and the growing adoption of blockchain technology by governments are positive indicators. However, cautionary statements from economists like Robert Shiller and Vanguard's chief economist, along with ongoing regulatory scrutiny like ad bans, present headwinds. Short-term, easier fiat on-ramps and advancements in offline trading infrastructure are bullish, while mixed technicals for Bitcoin and the strong performance of Bitcoin Cash suggest continued volatility. The market is balancing potential growth drivers with persistent concerns about regulation and intrinsic value.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n0fac9a4dc4d4', 'title': "Lithium Stocks News: China's Tianqi Lithium to Buy 24% Stake in SQM", 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/lithium-stocks-news-china-apos-142100575....
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 8, 'id': 'n8ed22ed6c2fd', 'title': 'Brian Kelly: Three Reasons Why Bitcoin Will Continue to Surge in Short-Term', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/brian-kelly-three-reasons-why-155...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.