instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-12-11
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-12-11
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $3,502.66
  - 60-Day Range: $3,419.94 → $6,596.54
  - 1D Return: -3.09%
  - 7D Return: -10.05%
  - 30D Return: -45.35%
  - Volatility (14d): 5.06%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 156.06
  - Drawdown from Max: -46.90%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [6274.58, 6285.99, 6290.93, 6596.54, 6596.11, 6544.43, 6476.71, 6465.41, 6489.19, 6482.35, 6487.16, 6475.74, 6495.84, 6476.29, 6474.75, 6480.38, 6486.39, 6332.63, 6334.27, 6317.61, 6377.78, 6388.44, 6361.26, 6376.13, 6419.66, 6461.01, 6530.14, 6453.72, 6385.62, 6409.22, 6411.27, 6371.27, 6359.49, 5738.35, 5648.03, 5575.55, 5554.33, 5623.54, 4871.49, 4451.87, 4602.17, 4365.94, 4347.11, 3880.76, 4009.97, 3779.13, 3820.72, 4257.42, 4278.85, 4017.27, 4214.67, 4139.88, 3894.13, 3956.89, 3753.99, 3521.10, 3419.94, 3476.11, 3614.23, 3502.66]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,241.90
  - Crude Oil Price: $51.65
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market remains under significant downward pressure, with Bitcoin's price continuing to fall and technical indicators suggesting further downside potential. The mining industry is experiencing considerable stress, leading to hash rate drops, while negative sentiment from institutional figures like the Allianz CEO adds to bearish pressures. However, Bitcoin's dominance is increasing as investors retreat from altcoins, and oversold conditions on longer-term charts hint at a potential short-term bounce. Regulatory uncertainty and scam activity continue to be key concerns.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n3a904588a99a', 'title': 'Bitcoin Mining Industry ‘Under Considerable Stress,’ 1.3 Million Devices Switched Off', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-mining-industry...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 2, 'id': 'n0f76d6b97e13', 'title': 'Square Earnings Highlight Mind-Boggling Growth', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/square-earnings-highlight-mind-boggling-141100111.html', 'summ...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.