instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2021-08-04
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2021-08-04
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $38,152.98
  - 60-Day Range: $29,807.35 → $42,235.55
  - 1D Return: -2.68%
  - 7D Return: -3.18%
  - 30D Return: 8.12%
  - Volatility (14d): 3.58%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 1179.34
  - Drawdown from Max: -9.67%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [35551.96, 35862.38, 33560.71, 33472.63, 37345.12, 36702.60, 37334.40, 35552.52, 39097.86, 40218.48, 40406.27, 38347.06, 38053.50, 35787.25, 35615.87, 35698.30, 31676.69, 32505.66, 33723.03, 34662.44, 31637.78, 32186.28, 34649.64, 34434.34, 35867.78, 35040.84, 33572.12, 33897.05, 34668.55, 35287.78, 33746.00, 34235.20, 33855.33, 32877.37, 33798.01, 33520.52, 34240.19, 33155.85, 32702.03, 32822.35, 31780.73, 31421.54, 31533.07, 31796.81, 30817.83, 29807.35, 32110.69, 32313.11, 33581.55, 34292.45, 35350.19, 37337.54, 39406.94, 39995.91, 40008.42, 42235.55, 41626.20, 39974.89, 39201.95, 38152.98]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,810.50
  - Crude Oil Price: $68.15
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Bitcoin is experiencing downward pressure, trading below $40K, largely influenced by SEC Chair Gary Gensler's strong stance on crypto regulation and the potential for increased oversight. This regulatory uncertainty is a primary bearish driver in the short term. However, positive developments like Grayscale's commitment to a Bitcoin ETF and Google's policy change allowing crypto ads offer some underlying bullish sentiment. The upcoming Ethereum London hard fork adds to the mixed picture, with analysts expressing cautious optimism about its immediate price impact.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 4, 'id': 'n3029ef3e184c', 'title': 'Bitcoin falls for fifth straight day as Gensler signals regulation coming', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-falls-fifth-straight-day-08...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 2, 'id': 'n22fdc627e7ac', 'title': 'Crypto Regulation Will Help Pay for Infrastructure Bill, SEC’s Gensler Compares Industry to ‘Wild West’', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/crypt...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.