instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-12-16
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-12-16
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $3,236.76
  - 60-Day Range: $3,236.76 → $6,544.43
  - 1D Return: -0.18%
  - 7D Return: -6.89%
  - 30D Return: -42.69%
  - Volatility (14d): 3.20%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 115.48
  - Drawdown from Max: -50.54%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [6544.43, 6476.71, 6465.41, 6489.19, 6482.35, 6487.16, 6475.74, 6495.84, 6476.29, 6474.75, 6480.38, 6486.39, 6332.63, 6334.27, 6317.61, 6377.78, 6388.44, 6361.26, 6376.13, 6419.66, 6461.01, 6530.14, 6453.72, 6385.62, 6409.22, 6411.27, 6371.27, 6359.49, 5738.35, 5648.03, 5575.55, 5554.33, 5623.54, 4871.49, 4451.87, 4602.17, 4365.94, 4347.11, 3880.76, 4009.97, 3779.13, 3820.72, 4257.42, 4278.85, 4017.27, 4214.67, 4139.88, 3894.13, 3956.89, 3753.99, 3521.10, 3419.94, 3476.11, 3614.23, 3502.66, 3424.59, 3486.95, 3313.68, 3242.48, 3236.76]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,237.00
  - Crude Oil Price: $51.20
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market remains in a strong bearish trend, with Bitcoin testing key support levels around $3,200-$3,300. Negative macro indicators, such as weak Chinese economic data and general market uncertainty surrounding Brexit and upcoming Fed decisions, are weighing on risk assets. However, some positive developments like Ohio accepting Bitcoin for taxes and the appointment of a Bitcoin supporter to the White House offer glimmers of long-term adoption potential. The short-term outlook remains cautious due to ongoing price weakness and lack of significant buying pressure.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 24, 'id': 'n72206c612884', 'title': 'Bitcoin – Respite from the Crypto Storm or Finally the Floor?', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-respite-crypto-storm-finally-043858240...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 12, 'id': 'n7e417e13259e', 'title': 'Ohio Begins Accepting Bitcoin for 23 Types of Taxes', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ohio-begins-accepting-bitcoin-23-170219006.html', 'summa...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.