instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-12-09
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-12-09
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $3,476.11
  - 60-Day Range: $3,419.94 → $6,596.54
  - 1D Return: 1.64%
  - 7D Return: -17.52%
  - 30D Return: -46.14%
  - Volatility (14d): 5.18%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 163.94
  - Drawdown from Max: -47.30%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [6585.53, 6256.24, 6274.58, 6285.99, 6290.93, 6596.54, 6596.11, 6544.43, 6476.71, 6465.41, 6489.19, 6482.35, 6487.16, 6475.74, 6495.84, 6476.29, 6474.75, 6480.38, 6486.39, 6332.63, 6334.27, 6317.61, 6377.78, 6388.44, 6361.26, 6376.13, 6419.66, 6461.01, 6530.14, 6453.72, 6385.62, 6409.22, 6411.27, 6371.27, 6359.49, 5738.35, 5648.03, 5575.55, 5554.33, 5623.54, 4871.49, 4451.87, 4602.17, 4365.94, 4347.11, 3880.76, 4009.97, 3779.13, 3820.72, 4257.42, 4278.85, 4017.27, 4214.67, 4139.88, 3894.13, 3956.89, 3753.99, 3521.10, 3419.94, 3476.11]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,246.80
  - Crude Oil Price: $52.61
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market is showing mixed signals. Bitcoin experienced a volatile Saturday, ending the week down but showing a late-day rally, indicating a need for bulls to consolidate. Experts like Andreas Antonopoulos are downplaying 'death spiral' fears, offering some technical reassurance. However, significant negative sentiment persists due to ongoing Bitcoin Cash drama, including a lawsuit against key players, and a new yearly low for Bitcoin price. Altcoins like Ethereum and Bitcoin Cash are specifically plunging despite a slight overall market recovery. Institutional interest remains, with a $1M bet on crypto outperforming stocks and Gemini listing BCH with regulatory approval, but these are overshadowed by immediate bearish price action and legal entanglements.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n4c68c23e052f', 'title': 'Bitcoin – Bulls Need Another Win to Calm the Nerves', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-bulls-another-win-calm-004214598.html', 'summary'...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n6a40a9bb3474', 'title': "Bitcoin Just Plunged Another 12% -- What's Behind the Decline?", 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-just-plunged-another-12-220300510.html...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.