instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2021-01-14
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2021-01-14
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $37,316.36
  - 60-Day Range: $15,955.59 → $40,797.61
  - 1D Return: 10.00%
  - 7D Return: 1.34%
  - 30D Return: 93.89%
  - Volatility (14d): 5.63%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 1703.21
  - Drawdown from Max: -8.53%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [15955.59, 16716.11, 17645.41, 17804.01, 17817.09, 18621.31, 18642.23, 18370.00, 18364.12, 19107.46, 18732.12, 17150.62, 17108.40, 17717.41, 18177.48, 19625.84, 18803.00, 19201.09, 19445.40, 18699.77, 19154.23, 19345.12, 19191.63, 18321.14, 18553.92, 18264.99, 18058.90, 18803.66, 19142.38, 19246.64, 19417.08, 21310.60, 22805.16, 23137.96, 23869.83, 23477.29, 22803.08, 23783.03, 23241.35, 23735.95, 24664.79, 26437.04, 26272.29, 27084.81, 27362.44, 28840.95, 29001.72, 29374.15, 32127.27, 32782.02, 31971.91, 33992.43, 36824.36, 39371.04, 40797.61, 40254.55, 38356.44, 35566.66, 33922.96, 37316.36]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,850.30
  - Crude Oil Price: $53.57
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Bitcoin has shown a strong recovery, reclaiming the $40,000 level and demonstrating bullish momentum supported by positive on-chain metrics and options market sentiment. Institutional adoption continues to be a key driver, with significant capital inflows into crypto funds and major companies like MassMutual investing in Bitcoin. While some minor headwinds exist, such as potential liquidity issues on eToro, the overall short-term outlook remains bullish, bolstered by technological upgrades like Taproot and endorsements from tech leaders.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 8, 'id': 'nb2039c8daae2', 'title': 'Market Wrap: Bitcoin Hits $40K Again While Ether Volume Is Erupting This Year', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/market-wrap-bitcoin-hits-40k-21...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 13, 'id': 'nfe2d6dbb6b9b', 'title': 'Bitcoin’s All-Time High Price Rally Is Sustainable. Analysts Explain Why', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-time-high-price-rally-20205...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.