instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-12-05
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-12-05
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $3,956.89
  - 60-Day Range: $3,779.13 → $6,652.23
  - 1D Return: 1.61%
  - 7D Return: 3.56%
  - 30D Return: -37.94%
  - Volatility (14d): 5.72%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 183.84
  - Drawdown from Max: -40.52%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [6588.31, 6602.95, 6652.23, 6642.64, 6585.53, 6256.24, 6274.58, 6285.99, 6290.93, 6596.54, 6596.11, 6544.43, 6476.71, 6465.41, 6489.19, 6482.35, 6487.16, 6475.74, 6495.84, 6476.29, 6474.75, 6480.38, 6486.39, 6332.63, 6334.27, 6317.61, 6377.78, 6388.44, 6361.26, 6376.13, 6419.66, 6461.01, 6530.14, 6453.72, 6385.62, 6409.22, 6411.27, 6371.27, 6359.49, 5738.35, 5648.03, 5575.55, 5554.33, 5623.54, 4871.49, 4451.87, 4602.17, 4365.94, 4347.11, 3880.76, 4009.97, 3779.13, 3820.72, 4257.42, 4278.85, 4017.27, 4214.67, 4139.88, 3894.13, 3956.89]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,241.10
  - Crude Oil Price: $53.25
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market is showing mixed signals today. Bitcoin dipped below $4,000, indicating continued bearish pressure, exacerbated by a Bloomberg analyst's prediction of a further fall to $1,500 and Japan's regulatory demands on exchanges. However, there are pockets of optimism, with Jim Breyer remaining bullish long-term and Robinhood expanding its zero-fee trading to Illinois, potentially boosting retail participation. The shutdown of the ETCDEV team highlights the ongoing struggles in the bear market, while R3's new payment app using XRP signals enterprise adoption.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 25, 'id': 'n8e6dedb9c2b2', 'title': 'Bitcoin Price Will Likely Fall to $1,500: Bloomberg Analyst', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-price-likely-fall-1-232243594.html', 'su...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 21, 'id': 'n03c89ed3d1e4', 'title': 'Billionaire Mike Novogratz’ Crypto Fund is Fidelity’s First Custodian Client', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/billionaire-mike-novogratz-cryp...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.