instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-09-16
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-09-16
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $6,543.20
  - 60-Day Range: $6,184.71 → $8,424.27
  - 1D Return: 0.47%
  - 7D Return: 5.10%
  - 30D Return: 3.29%
  - Volatility (14d): 2.72%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 119.49
  - Drawdown from Max: -22.33%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [7370.78, 7466.86, 7354.13, 7419.29, 7418.49, 7711.11, 8424.27, 8181.39, 7951.58, 8165.01, 8192.15, 8218.46, 8180.48, 7780.44, 7624.91, 7567.15, 7434.39, 7032.85, 7068.48, 6951.80, 6753.12, 6305.80, 6568.23, 6184.71, 6295.73, 6322.69, 6297.57, 6199.71, 6308.52, 6334.73, 6580.63, 6423.76, 6506.07, 6308.53, 6488.76, 6376.71, 6534.88, 6719.96, 6763.19, 6707.26, 6884.64, 7096.28, 7047.16, 6978.23, 7037.58, 7193.25, 7272.72, 7260.06, 7361.66, 6792.83, 6529.17, 6467.07, 6225.98, 6300.86, 6329.70, 6321.20, 6351.80, 6517.31, 6512.71, 6543.20]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,195.00
  - Crude Oil Price: $68.99
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The market faces significant downward pressure from the impending Mt. Gox payouts, potentially flooding the market with supply and crashing prices. Meanwhile, a large dormant Bitcoin wallet has become active, adding to the uncertainty. Bitcoin Cash shows continued weakness, while Bitcoin itself experienced a choppy week with a late sell-off, indicating potential for further declines. The overall sentiment is cautious, with a looming SEC ETF decision adding another layer of uncertainty.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 5, 'id': 'n1d550e80125a', 'title': 'Flood of payouts ‘could crash Bitcoin market’', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/flood-payouts-could-crash-bitcoin-060000744.html', 'summary': '...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 10, 'id': 'n314cccee10a8', 'title': '88% Of Crypto Exchanges Want Industry Regulation, New Study Reveals', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/88-crypto-exchanges-want-industry-202652...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.