instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2022-09-15
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2022-09-15
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $20,241.09
  - 60-Day Range: $18,837.67 → $24,424.07
  - 1D Return: -0.27%
  - 7D Return: 4.93%
  - 30D Return: -16.14%
  - Volatility (14d): 4.30%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 524.16
  - Drawdown from Max: -17.13%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [20779.34, 22485.69, 23389.43, 23231.73, 23164.63, 22714.98, 22465.48, 22609.16, 21361.70, 21239.75, 22930.55, 23843.89, 23804.63, 23656.21, 23336.90, 23314.20, 22978.12, 22846.51, 22630.96, 23289.31, 22961.28, 23175.89, 23809.49, 23164.32, 23947.64, 23957.53, 24402.82, 24424.07, 24319.33, 24136.97, 23883.29, 23336.00, 23212.74, 20877.55, 21166.06, 21534.12, 21398.91, 21528.09, 21395.02, 21600.90, 20260.02, 20041.74, 19616.81, 20297.99, 19796.81, 20049.76, 20127.14, 19969.77, 19832.09, 19986.71, 19812.37, 18837.67, 19290.32, 19329.83, 21381.15, 21680.54, 21769.26, 22370.45, 20296.71, 20241.09]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,665.40
  - Crude Oil Price: $85.10
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The Ethereum Merge successfully transitioned to Proof-of-Stake, drastically reducing its energy consumption and marking a significant technological milestone. However, this event was met with a 'sell the news' reaction, leading to price drops for ETH and a flat performance for BTC, alongside declines in broader markets. Regulatory scrutiny continues, with the SEC Chair facing political questioning, while institutional interest in regulated Bitcoin products like new ETFs shows promise. Miner migration to Ethereum Classic is a notable short-term effect.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'nb1480e798340', 'title': "Ethereum blockchain slashes energy use with 'Merge' software upgrade", 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ethereum-blockchain-completed-major-soft...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 16, 'id': 'nb23053f6452e', 'title': 'The End of the Texas Bitcoin Mining Gold Rush', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/end-texas-bitcoin-mining-gold-200046764.html', 'summary': "Tex...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.