instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2019-03-12
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2019-03-12
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $3,905.23
  - 60-Day Range: $3,399.47 → $4,142.53
  - 1D Return: -1.17%
  - 7D Return: 3.82%
  - 30D Return: 6.37%
  - Volatility (14d): 1.32%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 30.60
  - Drawdown from Max: -5.73%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [3687.37, 3661.30, 3552.95, 3706.05, 3630.68, 3655.01, 3678.56, 3657.84, 3728.57, 3601.01, 3576.03, 3604.58, 3585.12, 3600.87, 3599.77, 3602.46, 3583.97, 3470.45, 3448.12, 3486.18, 3457.79, 3487.95, 3521.06, 3464.01, 3459.15, 3466.36, 3413.77, 3399.47, 3666.78, 3671.20, 3690.19, 3648.43, 3653.53, 3632.07, 3616.88, 3620.81, 3629.79, 3673.84, 3915.71, 3947.09, 3999.82, 3954.12, 4005.53, 4142.53, 3810.43, 3882.70, 3854.36, 3851.05, 3854.79, 3859.58, 3864.42, 3847.18, 3761.56, 3896.38, 3903.94, 3911.48, 3901.13, 3963.31, 3951.60, 3905.23]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,296.30
  - Crude Oil Price: $56.87
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Bitcoin is showing signs of consolidation, holding key support at $3,900, but technical indicators like MACD suggest the recent rally may be losing steam, pointing to potential short-term bearish pressure. Long-term, institutional interest remains a key driver, with the SEC reviewing ETF proposals and major companies like Starbucks exploring crypto payments, signaling positive adoption trends. However, regulatory developments, such as potential strict rules in Texas, introduce uncertainty.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 5, 'id': 'ndbbb9a56d595', 'title': 'Bitcoin Will Soon See ‘Bull Cross’ in First Since August 2018', 'url': 'https://www.coindesk.com/bitcoin-soon-see-bull-cross-first-since-august-2018',...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n3110a6dc5538', 'title': 'JPMorgan Chase Analysts: Bitcoin Price Could Sink Even Further, Crypto Values Unproven', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/jp-morgan-analysts-bit...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.