instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2019-01-01
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2019-01-01
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $3,742.70
  - 60-Day Range: $3,236.76 → $6,530.14
  - 1D Return: -3.19%
  - 7D Return: -8.24%
  - 30D Return: -11.20%
  - Volatility (14d): 4.91%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 149.12
  - Drawdown from Max: -42.69%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [6388.44, 6361.26, 6376.13, 6419.66, 6461.01, 6530.14, 6453.72, 6385.62, 6409.22, 6411.27, 6371.27, 6359.49, 5738.35, 5648.03, 5575.55, 5554.33, 5623.54, 4871.49, 4451.87, 4602.17, 4365.94, 4347.11, 3880.76, 4009.97, 3779.13, 3820.72, 4257.42, 4278.85, 4017.27, 4214.67, 4139.88, 3894.13, 3956.89, 3753.99, 3521.10, 3419.94, 3476.11, 3614.23, 3502.66, 3424.59, 3486.95, 3313.68, 3242.48, 3236.76, 3252.84, 3545.86, 3696.06, 3745.95, 4134.44, 3896.54, 4014.18, 3998.98, 4078.60, 3815.49, 3857.30, 3654.83, 3923.92, 3820.41, 3865.95, 3742.70]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,278.30
  - Crude Oil Price: $45.41
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The market sentiment remains predominantly bearish as 2019 begins, with Bitcoin failing to break key resistance levels and trading within a descending channel. Negative technical analyses for altcoins like BCH ABC and ADA reinforce this trend. While there are pockets of potential bullishness, such as growing interest in China and institutional developments like Nasdaq futures, these are overshadowed by broader market contraction fears and the ongoing bear market sentiment. The lack of significant positive catalysts suggests continued price pressure in the short term.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n84acefd79a97', 'title': 'Tony Robbins Is Now a Bitcoin Expert?', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/tony-robbins-now-bitcoin-expert-020033039.html', 'summary': "Motivation...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n06f36ab52ff0', 'title': 'Bitcoin Price Will Likely Bottom at $3,000: Genesis Trading CEO', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-price-likely-bottom-3-014829261.html'...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.