instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-10-16
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-10-16
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $6,596.54
  - 60-Day Range: $6,225.98 → $7,361.66
  - 1D Return: 4.86%
  - 7D Return: -0.84%
  - 30D Return: 0.82%
  - Volatility (14d): 2.02%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 74.38
  - Drawdown from Max: -10.39%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [6580.63, 6423.76, 6506.07, 6308.53, 6488.76, 6376.71, 6534.88, 6719.96, 6763.19, 6707.26, 6884.64, 7096.28, 7047.16, 6978.23, 7037.58, 7193.25, 7272.72, 7260.06, 7361.66, 6792.83, 6529.17, 6467.07, 6225.98, 6300.86, 6329.70, 6321.20, 6351.80, 6517.31, 6512.71, 6543.20, 6517.18, 6281.20, 6371.30, 6398.54, 6519.67, 6734.95, 6721.98, 6710.63, 6595.41, 6446.47, 6495.00, 6676.75, 6644.13, 6601.96, 6625.56, 6589.62, 6556.10, 6502.59, 6576.69, 6622.48, 6588.31, 6602.95, 6652.23, 6642.64, 6585.53, 6256.24, 6274.58, 6285.99, 6290.93, 6596.54]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,227.30
  - Crude Oil Price: $71.92
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Today's signals present a mixed outlook. Long-term, positive developments include China's PBoC research center for digital currency and growing student interest in blockchain, suggesting future adoption. However, the ongoing SEC ETF denials and the Mt. Gox repayment loom as significant headwinds. Short-term, the widening spread between BTC/USD and BTC/USDT due to potential Tether instability is a major bearish indicator, potentially triggering a sell-off. Conversely, predictions of a crypto bull market amidst a stock market downturn, supported by institutional interest like Fidelity's, offer a bullish counterpoint. Coinbase's Dublin expansion is a neutral-to-positive infrastructure development.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'nd589a2b652d1', 'title': "Crypto firm Coinbase is opening a Dublin office as 'Plan B' for Brexit", 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/crypto-firm-coinbase-opening-dublin-08...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 2, 'id': 'n33d84037c3d1', 'title': 'Crypto, Blockchain Companies Shine in LinkedIn’s Top 50 U.S. Startups', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/crypto-blockchain-companies-shine-linke...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.