instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-02-15
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-02-15
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $9,494.63
  - 60-Day Range: $6,955.27 → $17,527.00
  - 1D Return: 10.42%
  - 7D Return: 24.58%
  - 30D Return: -31.30%
  - Volatility (14d): 8.67%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 616.39
  - Drawdown from Max: -45.83%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [13657.20, 14982.10, 15201.00, 15599.20, 17429.50, 17527.00, 16477.60, 15170.10, 14595.40, 14973.30, 13405.80, 13980.60, 14360.20, 13772.00, 13819.80, 11490.50, 11188.60, 11474.90, 11607.40, 12899.20, 11600.10, 10931.40, 10868.40, 11359.40, 11259.40, 11171.40, 11440.70, 11786.30, 11296.40, 10106.30, 10221.10, 9170.54, 8830.75, 9174.91, 8277.01, 6955.27, 7754.00, 7621.30, 8265.59, 8736.98, 8621.90, 8129.97, 8926.57, 8598.31, 9494.63]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,352.10
  - Crude Oil Price: $61.34
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Bitcoin has shown a notable recovery, breaking above the $10,000 mark for the first time in two weeks, indicating a short-term bullish sentiment. This price action is supported by news of Coinbase releasing a tool for merchants to accept crypto payments, potentially boosting adoption. However, bearish sentiment persists from influential figures like Charlie Munger, who called Bitcoin "noxious poison," and ongoing regulatory concerns, though the immediate price action suggests buying pressure is currently dominant. The market appears to be cautiously optimistic, with a focus on utility and potential for further price appreciation.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 2, 'id': 'n8a1c827b6949', 'title': 'Bitcoin rises above $10,000, strategist sees new high by July', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-rises-above-10-000-192041142.html', 'su...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 4, 'id': 'nd6fb6731cbe2', 'title': "Artificial Scarcity of Bitcoin Won't Justify Its High Price", 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/artificial-scarcity-bitcoin-won-apos-133217265.ht...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.