instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-12-29
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-12-29
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $3,923.92
  - 60-Day Range: $3,236.76 → $6,530.14
  - 1D Return: 7.36%
  - 7D Return: 0.70%
  - 30D Return: -7.83%
  - Volatility (14d): 5.18%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 152.16
  - Drawdown from Max: -39.91%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [6334.27, 6317.61, 6377.78, 6388.44, 6361.26, 6376.13, 6419.66, 6461.01, 6530.14, 6453.72, 6385.62, 6409.22, 6411.27, 6371.27, 6359.49, 5738.35, 5648.03, 5575.55, 5554.33, 5623.54, 4871.49, 4451.87, 4602.17, 4365.94, 4347.11, 3880.76, 4009.97, 3779.13, 3820.72, 4257.42, 4278.85, 4017.27, 4214.67, 4139.88, 3894.13, 3956.89, 3753.99, 3521.10, 3419.94, 3476.11, 3614.23, 3502.66, 3424.59, 3486.95, 3313.68, 3242.48, 3236.76, 3252.84, 3545.86, 3696.06, 3745.95, 4134.44, 3896.54, 4014.18, 3998.98, 4078.60, 3815.49, 3857.30, 3654.83, 3923.92]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,279.90
  - Crude Oil Price: $45.33
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market remains in a precarious state, with Bitcoin struggling to maintain momentum above $4,000 despite a Friday rally. Long-term, institutional adoption signals from the NYSE Chairman offer a bullish outlook, contrasting with the ongoing bearish sentiment from retail investor exits and market crashes. Short-term, volatility persists, with altcoins like Bitcoin Cash ABC showing sharp but potentially unsustainable moves. The legal battle involving Craig Wright adds a layer of uncertainty, while adoption in regions like Venezuela provides a glimmer of fundamental support.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'na95ef902aeb7', 'title': 'Dollar Dives as Investors Take Protection in Yen, Swiss Franc', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/dollar-dives-investors-protection-yen-005505517...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n4d5b75063bf6', 'title': 'As bitcoin trading shifts shape, big money stays away', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-trading-shifts-shape-big-122057467.html', 'summ...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.