instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-07-03
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-07-03
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $6,614.18
  - 60-Day Range: $5,903.44 → $9,858.15
  - 1D Return: 3.58%
  - 7D Return: 5.84%
  - 30D Return: -13.47%
  - Volatility (14d): 3.62%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 151.42
  - Drawdown from Max: -32.91%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [9700.76, 9858.15, 9654.80, 9373.01, 9234.82, 9325.18, 9043.94, 8441.49, 8504.89, 8723.94, 8716.79, 8510.38, 8368.83, 8094.32, 8250.97, 8247.18, 8513.25, 8418.99, 8041.78, 7557.82, 7587.34, 7480.14, 7355.88, 7368.22, 7135.99, 7472.59, 7406.52, 7494.17, 7541.45, 7643.45, 7720.25, 7514.47, 7633.76, 7653.98, 7678.24, 7624.92, 7531.98, 6786.02, 6906.92, 6582.36, 6349.90, 6675.35, 6456.58, 6550.16, 6499.27, 6734.82, 6769.94, 6776.55, 6729.74, 6083.69, 6162.48, 6173.23, 6249.18, 6093.67, 6157.13, 5903.44, 6218.30, 6404.00, 6385.82, 6614.18]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,251.60
  - Crude Oil Price: $74.14
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market shows mixed signals today. Positive regulatory developments in Switzerland regarding banking access for crypto firms and growing adoption in the Philippines are bullish indicators. Bitcoin's price action is also showing strength, breaking key technical resistance and potentially heading towards $7,000, supported by increasing market dominance as ICOs fail. However, broader market sentiment is cautiously optimistic due to the upcoming holiday, with low volume expected. Exchange hacks, like the one at Bithumb, continue to be a concern, though figures like Charlie Lee downplay their fundamental impact. Long-term, regulatory crackdowns on investment schemes pose a bearish threat, while the potential integration of blockchain into the sharing economy offers a bullish long-term outlook.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 10, 'id': 'nce49f606e752', 'title': 'Philippines’ Bitcoin Exchanges Outperform Traditional Finance Platforms', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/philippines-bitcoin-exchanges-outper...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 26, 'id': 'n45b5b0cbad37', 'title': 'Regulators Disclose Plan To Crack Down On Cryptocurrency Investment Schemes', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/regulators-disclose-plan-crack-d...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.