instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-02-02
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-02-02
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $9,170.54
  - 60-Day Range: $9,170.54 → $17,527.00
  - 1D Return: -10.28%
  - 7D Return: -18.55%
  - 30D Return: -38.79%
  - Volatility (14d): 6.23%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 542.45
  - Drawdown from Max: -47.68%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [13657.20, 14982.10, 15201.00, 15599.20, 17429.50, 17527.00, 16477.60, 15170.10, 14595.40, 14973.30, 13405.80, 13980.60, 14360.20, 13772.00, 13819.80, 11490.50, 11188.60, 11474.90, 11607.40, 12899.20, 11600.10, 10931.40, 10868.40, 11359.40, 11259.40, 11171.40, 11440.70, 11786.30, 11296.40, 10106.30, 10221.10, 9170.54]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,333.70
  - Crude Oil Price: $65.45
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a significant downturn, with Bitcoin falling below $8,000 and heading for its worst weekly performance in nearly five years. This sell-off is primarily driven by widespread fears of global regulatory clampdowns, exacerbated by major banks banning credit card purchases of crypto and Facebook's ad ban. The market cap has halved from its January peak, indicating extreme bearish sentiment. Some speculative 'blockchain' companies are also retracting plans, adding to the negative sentiment. Despite some positive long-term infrastructure developments like Google's cable investments and the introduction of Bitcoin futures, the immediate outlook remains heavily bearish due to regulatory uncertainty and market panic.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 4, 'id': 'ndc5191bddd44', 'title': 'Bitcoin skids amid broad cryptocurrency sell-off', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-slides-further-headed-093716234.html', 'summary': 'C...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 37, 'id': 'n05a6f3d453b5', 'title': 'Bitcoin Futures Trading Brings Crypto Into Mainstream Finance', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-futures-trading-brings-crypto-19241680...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.