instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-07-01
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-07-01
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $6,404.00
  - 60-Day Range: $5,903.44 → $9,858.15
  - 1D Return: 2.99%
  - 7D Return: 3.92%
  - 30D Return: -14.55%
  - Volatility (14d): 3.63%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 154.27
  - Drawdown from Max: -35.04%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [9235.92, 9743.86, 9700.76, 9858.15, 9654.80, 9373.01, 9234.82, 9325.18, 9043.94, 8441.49, 8504.89, 8723.94, 8716.79, 8510.38, 8368.83, 8094.32, 8250.97, 8247.18, 8513.25, 8418.99, 8041.78, 7557.82, 7587.34, 7480.14, 7355.88, 7368.22, 7135.99, 7472.59, 7406.52, 7494.17, 7541.45, 7643.45, 7720.25, 7514.47, 7633.76, 7653.98, 7678.24, 7624.92, 7531.98, 6786.02, 6906.92, 6582.36, 6349.90, 6675.35, 6456.58, 6550.16, 6499.27, 6734.82, 6769.94, 6776.55, 6729.74, 6083.69, 6162.48, 6173.23, 6249.18, 6093.67, 6157.13, 5903.44, 6218.30, 6404.00]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,251.30
  - Crude Oil Price: $74.15
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market faces mixed signals today. On the long-term front, Intel's planned entry into the discrete GPU market and continued strength in Nvidia's hardware business suggest evolving infrastructure that could indirectly support crypto. However, investor sentiment appears cautious, with articles suggesting traditional stocks are a safer bet than Bitcoin, and a federal probe into crypto manipulation is creating regulatory uncertainty. Short-term, potential disruptions to mining operations in Sichuan due to floods pose a bearish risk to hashrate and network stability. Conversely, growing merchant adoption of Bitcoin and strategic shifts by fintech firms like Circle signal potential for increased utility and positive sentiment, offering a bullish counterpoint. Macroeconomic concerns, including China's bear market and trade tensions, contribute to a general risk-off environment, potentially pressuring Bitcoin.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 5, 'id': 'n83a28b606b05', 'title': 'Rumors: Flood in Sichuan China Destroyed Bitcoin Mining Centers', 'url': 'https://www.ccn.com/rumors-flood-sichuan-china-destroyed-bitcoin-mining-cent...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 22, 'id': 'nbff054db6921', 'title': 'Intel Reveals Plan to Enter Discrete GPU Market in 2020', 'url': 'https://www.yahoo.com/news/intel-reveals-plan-enter-discrete-120000713.html', 'summ...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.