instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-11-11
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-11-11
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $6,409.22
  - 60-Day Range: $6,256.24 → $6,734.95
  - 1D Return: 0.37%
  - 7D Return: 0.75%
  - 30D Return: 2.45%
  - Volatility (14d): 0.94%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 43.79
  - Drawdown from Max: -4.84%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [6351.80, 6517.31, 6512.71, 6543.20, 6517.18, 6281.20, 6371.30, 6398.54, 6519.67, 6734.95, 6721.98, 6710.63, 6595.41, 6446.47, 6495.00, 6676.75, 6644.13, 6601.96, 6625.56, 6589.62, 6556.10, 6502.59, 6576.69, 6622.48, 6588.31, 6602.95, 6652.23, 6642.64, 6585.53, 6256.24, 6274.58, 6285.99, 6290.93, 6596.54, 6596.11, 6544.43, 6476.71, 6465.41, 6489.19, 6482.35, 6487.16, 6475.74, 6495.84, 6476.29, 6474.75, 6480.38, 6486.39, 6332.63, 6334.27, 6317.61, 6377.78, 6388.44, 6361.26, 6376.13, 6419.66, 6461.01, 6530.14, 6453.72, 6385.62, 6409.22]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,206.40
  - Crude Oil Price: $60.19
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Bitcoin remains range-bound around $6,350, with market attention largely focused on the upcoming Bitcoin Cash hard fork. While some altcoins like Decentraland are showing strength, overall market sentiment is cautious due to the lack of clear catalysts and ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties. The potential for a Bitcoin ETF approval remains a key long-term bullish factor, but short-term price action is likely to be influenced by the BCH fork and broader economic data releases.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 10, 'id': 'n27cf8d751274', 'title': 'BitPay Sides with Bitcoin ABC in Bitcoin Cash Hard Fork', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitpay-sides-bitcoin-abc-bitcoin-115215827.html', 's...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 3, 'id': 'n7683ecf2bc3f', 'title': 'Novogratz calls crypto bottom, says prices will move back', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/crypto-investor-mike-novogratz-says-bitcoin-brink-r...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.