instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2022-09-16
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2022-09-16
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $19,701.21
  - 60-Day Range: $18,837.67 → $24,424.07
  - 1D Return: -2.67%
  - 7D Return: 1.92%
  - 30D Return: -17.51%
  - Volatility (14d): 4.37%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 557.20
  - Drawdown from Max: -19.34%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [22485.69, 23389.43, 23231.73, 23164.63, 22714.98, 22465.48, 22609.16, 21361.70, 21239.75, 22930.55, 23843.89, 23804.63, 23656.21, 23336.90, 23314.20, 22978.12, 22846.51, 22630.96, 23289.31, 22961.28, 23175.89, 23809.49, 23164.32, 23947.64, 23957.53, 24402.82, 24424.07, 24319.33, 24136.97, 23883.29, 23336.00, 23212.74, 20877.55, 21166.06, 21534.12, 21398.91, 21528.09, 21395.02, 21600.90, 20260.02, 20041.74, 19616.81, 20297.99, 19796.81, 20049.76, 20127.14, 19969.77, 19832.09, 19986.71, 19812.37, 18837.67, 19290.32, 19329.83, 21381.15, 21680.54, 21769.26, 22370.45, 20296.71, 20241.09, 19701.21]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,671.70
  - Crude Oil Price: $85.11
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market is experiencing significant downward pressure today, with Bitcoin falling below $20,000 and Ether seeing a sharp decline post-Merge. This is amplified by negative sentiment in traditional markets, driven by FedEx's profit warning and ongoing recession fears, which are likely to be exacerbated by upcoming Fed rate hikes. Regulatory scrutiny from the U.S. Treasury also adds to short-term uncertainty. While long-term institutional interest remains, the immediate outlook is bearish.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n061ba2762c3f', 'title': 'First Mover Americas: Ether Declines 7% Post-Merge and Makes Ether Futures More Sensitive to Staking Yields', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/f...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 6, 'id': 'n015b9211b124', 'title': 'MicroStrategy’s share price hits 2-month high following Saylor reshuffle', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/microstrategy-share-price-hits-2-041...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.