instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-09-20
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-09-20
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $6,398.54
  - 60-Day Range: $6,184.71 → $8,424.27
  - 1D Return: 0.43%
  - 7D Return: 0.74%
  - 30D Return: 1.43%
  - Volatility (14d): 2.00%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 92.12
  - Drawdown from Max: -24.05%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [7418.49, 7711.11, 8424.27, 8181.39, 7951.58, 8165.01, 8192.15, 8218.46, 8180.48, 7780.44, 7624.91, 7567.15, 7434.39, 7032.85, 7068.48, 6951.80, 6753.12, 6305.80, 6568.23, 6184.71, 6295.73, 6322.69, 6297.57, 6199.71, 6308.52, 6334.73, 6580.63, 6423.76, 6506.07, 6308.53, 6488.76, 6376.71, 6534.88, 6719.96, 6763.19, 6707.26, 6884.64, 7096.28, 7047.16, 6978.23, 7037.58, 7193.25, 7272.72, 7260.06, 7361.66, 6792.83, 6529.17, 6467.07, 6225.98, 6300.86, 6329.70, 6321.20, 6351.80, 6517.31, 6512.71, 6543.20, 6517.18, 6281.20, 6371.30, 6398.54]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,206.20
  - Crude Oil Price: $70.80
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market is experiencing mixed signals today. On the long-term front, institutional interest is growing with Morgan Stanley developing Bitcoin swap products, while regulatory scrutiny remains high with the NY AG report highlighting exchange vulnerabilities. The SEC's ongoing review of the VanEck/SolidX ETF continues to be a key factor. Short-term, the market is reacting to a significant hack at Japan's Zaif exchange, leading to a $60 million loss and reinforcing security concerns. However, there's also a high-volume recovery in Bitcoin from recent lows, coupled with positive sentiment from figures like Novogratz predicting a market bottom. The discovery of a critical bug in Bitcoin's code, though quickly patched, adds a layer of technical risk.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n667e57567b02', 'title': "The Latest Cryptocurrency Exchange Hack Is a $60 Million Theft at Japan's Zaif", 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/latest-cryptocurrency-exchange...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 3, 'id': 'n3b518fab4121', 'title': 'Morgan Stanley is Building a Bitcoin Swap Trading Product: Report', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/morgan-stanley-building-bitcoin-swap-132735...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.