instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2020-10-16
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2020-10-16
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $11,495.35
  - 60-Day Range: $10,131.52 → $12,254.40
  - 1D Return: 0.58%
  - 7D Return: 5.31%
  - 30D Return: 6.47%
  - Volatility (14d): 1.17%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 118.07
  - Drawdown from Max: -6.19%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [12254.40, 11991.23, 11758.28, 11878.37, 11592.49, 11681.83, 11664.85, 11774.60, 11366.13, 11488.36, 11323.40, 11542.50, 11506.87, 11711.51, 11680.82, 11970.48, 11414.03, 10245.30, 10511.81, 10169.57, 10280.35, 10369.56, 10131.52, 10242.35, 10363.14, 10400.92, 10442.17, 10323.76, 10680.84, 10796.95, 10974.91, 10948.99, 10944.59, 11094.35, 10938.27, 10462.26, 10538.46, 10246.19, 10760.07, 10692.72, 10750.72, 10775.27, 10709.65, 10844.64, 10784.49, 10619.45, 10575.97, 10549.33, 10669.58, 10793.34, 10604.41, 10668.97, 10915.69, 11064.46, 11296.36, 11384.18, 11555.36, 11425.90, 11429.51, 11495.35]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,900.80
  - Crude Oil Price: $40.88
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Bitcoin experienced a mixed day, showing resilience to the OKEx withdrawal suspension but struggling to maintain upward momentum, closing below $11,500. The OKEx situation, stemming from a police investigation and the detention of its founder, remains the dominant short-term negative catalyst, creating liquidity concerns and market uncertainty. Long-term, institutional inflows into Grayscale and the growth of DeFi continue to provide a bullish backdrop, with developments in Bitcoin DeFi and Lightning Network scalability offering further positive signals. However, the immediate focus remains on the fallout from the OKEx event.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 4, 'id': 'ndce8b6151a6e', 'title': 'Chinese Police Investigation Halts Withdrawals at Cryptoexchange OKEx', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/chinese-police-investigation-halts-with...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 2, 'id': 'n1350521674f3', 'title': "Institutional Investors Drive Grayscale's Cryptocurrency Q3 Inflows Above $1B", 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/institutional-investors-drive-g...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.