instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2019-04-04
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2019-04-04
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $4,973.02
  - 60-Day Range: $3,399.47 → $4,973.02
  - 1D Return: 1.91%
  - 7D Return: 21.68%
  - 30D Return: 32.21%
  - Volatility (14d): 4.70%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 85.46
  - Drawdown from Max: 0.00%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [3464.01, 3459.15, 3466.36, 3413.77, 3399.47, 3666.78, 3671.20, 3690.19, 3648.43, 3653.53, 3632.07, 3616.88, 3620.81, 3629.79, 3673.84, 3915.71, 3947.09, 3999.82, 3954.12, 4005.53, 4142.53, 3810.43, 3882.70, 3854.36, 3851.05, 3854.79, 3859.58, 3864.42, 3847.18, 3761.56, 3896.38, 3903.94, 3911.48, 3901.13, 3963.31, 3951.60, 3905.23, 3909.16, 3906.72, 3924.37, 3960.91, 4048.73, 4025.23, 4032.51, 4071.19, 4087.48, 4029.33, 4023.97, 4035.83, 4022.17, 3963.07, 3985.08, 4087.07, 4069.11, 4098.37, 4106.66, 4105.40, 4158.18, 4879.88, 4973.02]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,289.00
  - Crude Oil Price: $62.10
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Bitcoin experienced a significant pullback after reaching a 4.5-month high, driven by overbought conditions and potential profit-taking. However, underlying bullish sentiment appears to persist, supported by strong OTC desk activity indicating institutional buying interest and analyst predictions of further upside. Developments like the Jamaica Stock Exchange listing crypto and BitMEX compensating users for technical issues add to a mixed but generally positive short-term outlook, though the risk of further consolidation remains.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 4, 'id': 'ndac1f9953e1e', 'title': 'Bullish Bitcoin Technicals Thrills Analysts to Predict Next Leap Beyond $7,000', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bullish-bitcoin-technicals-thr...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 14, 'id': 'na5626f8b400f', 'title': 'Morgan Creek Bags $40M Raise, Attracts Industry First Funding From Pensions', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/morgan-creek-bags-40m-raise-1751...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.