instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2019-08-09
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2019-08-09
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $11,966.41
  - 60-Day Range: $7,927.71 → $13,016.23
  - 1D Return: 0.20%
  - 7D Return: 15.07%
  - 30D Return: -4.83%
  - Volatility (14d): 3.02%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 260.38
  - Drawdown from Max: -8.07%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [8000.33, 7927.71, 8145.86, 8230.92, 8693.83, 8838.38, 8994.49, 9320.35, 9081.76, 9273.52, 9527.16, 10144.56, 10701.69, 10855.37, 11011.10, 11790.92, 13016.23, 11182.81, 12407.33, 11959.37, 10817.16, 10583.13, 10801.68, 11961.27, 11215.44, 10978.46, 11208.55, 11450.85, 12285.96, 12573.81, 12156.51, 11358.66, 11815.99, 11392.38, 10256.06, 10895.09, 9477.64, 9693.80, 10666.48, 10530.73, 10767.14, 10599.11, 10343.11, 9900.77, 9811.93, 9911.84, 9870.30, 9477.68, 9552.86, 9519.15, 9607.42, 10085.63, 10399.67, 10518.17, 10821.73, 10970.18, 11805.65, 11478.17, 11941.97, 11966.41]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,496.60
  - Crude Oil Price: $54.50
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The market is showing mixed signals today. Long-term, institutional adoption continues to be a driving force, with news of clearing houses and auditing software from major firms like PwC signaling growing infrastructure. Macro concerns from the US-China trade war are creating a bearish short-term sentiment, while Bitcoin's price action is consolidating in a tight range, indicating potential for a breakout. The upcoming Bitcoin halving is a subtle bullish factor for the medium term. Regulatory news from the CFTC regarding a departing official adds a layer of uncertainty to short-term price movements.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n633955557001', 'title': 'Blockstream Launches Bitcoin Mining Farm With Fidelity as Early Customer', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/blockstream-launches-bitcoin-mining-...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n867928bb53a7', 'title': 'U.S.-based clearing house opens crypto trading platform for brokers and advisors', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-based-clearing-house-opens...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.