instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2019-10-03
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2019-10-03
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $8,393.04
  - 60-Day Range: $8,104.19 → $11,966.41
  - 1D Return: 0.60%
  - 7D Return: -1.11%
  - 30D Return: -18.88%
  - Volatility (14d): 3.44%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 206.17
  - Drawdown from Max: -29.86%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [10970.18, 11805.65, 11478.17, 11941.97, 11966.41, 11862.94, 11354.02, 11523.58, 11382.62, 10895.83, 10051.70, 10311.55, 10374.34, 10231.74, 10345.81, 10916.05, 10763.23, 10138.05, 10131.06, 10407.96, 10159.96, 10138.52, 10370.82, 10185.50, 9754.42, 9510.20, 9598.17, 9630.66, 9757.97, 10346.76, 10623.54, 10594.49, 10575.53, 10353.30, 10517.25, 10441.28, 10334.97, 10115.98, 10178.37, 10410.13, 10360.55, 10358.05, 10347.71, 10276.79, 10241.27, 10198.25, 10266.42, 10181.64, 10019.72, 10070.39, 9729.32, 8620.57, 8486.99, 8118.97, 8251.85, 8245.92, 8104.19, 8293.87, 8343.28, 8393.04]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,507.10
  - Crude Oil Price: $52.45
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Today's analysis shows a mixed bag of signals. Long-term, institutional interest in Bitcoin infrastructure and regulated products continues to grow, with firms like Blockstream and Stone Ridge making significant moves. Predictions from traditional finance institutions about Bitcoin's future price, particularly around the halving, are bullish. However, short-term, macro concerns like US recession fears are currently favoring gold over Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset, creating some bearish pressure. Geopolitical events in Hong Kong are driving increased Bitcoin trading volume, suggesting it's being used as an alternative asset. The launch of new crypto ETPs in Europe signals continued product innovation and institutional adoption.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 8, 'id': 'n3f0f06ee9620', 'title': 'Bitcoin trading spikes in Hong Kong as political crisis worsens', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-trading-spikes-hong-kong-223944095.ht...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 13, 'id': 'ncd7c452f5443', 'title': "This former dot com millionaire wants to legitimize 'blockchain investing'", 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/sir-john-hargrave-wants-to-legiti...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.