instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2019-02-14
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2019-02-14
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $3,632.07
  - 60-Day Range: $3,252.84 → $4,134.44
  - 1D Return: -0.59%
  - 7D Return: 6.39%
  - 30D Return: -2.00%
  - Volatility (14d): 2.32%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 41.91
  - Drawdown from Max: -12.15%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [3252.84, 3545.86, 3696.06, 3745.95, 4134.44, 3896.54, 4014.18, 3998.98, 4078.60, 3815.49, 3857.30, 3654.83, 3923.92, 3820.41, 3865.95, 3742.70, 3843.52, 3943.41, 3836.74, 3857.72, 3845.19, 4076.63, 4025.25, 4030.85, 4035.30, 3678.92, 3687.37, 3661.30, 3552.95, 3706.05, 3630.68, 3655.01, 3678.56, 3657.84, 3728.57, 3601.01, 3576.03, 3604.58, 3585.12, 3600.87, 3599.77, 3602.46, 3583.97, 3470.45, 3448.12, 3486.18, 3457.79, 3487.95, 3521.06, 3464.01, 3459.15, 3466.36, 3413.77, 3399.47, 3666.78, 3671.20, 3690.19, 3648.43, 3653.53, 3632.07]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,309.80
  - Crude Oil Price: $54.41
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Today's market sentiment is mixed, with macroeconomic data showing weakness in the US economy, impacting traditional markets and potentially spilling over into crypto. While some analysts express optimism about institutional interest and Bitcoin's long-term potential as 'digital gold,' technical indicators suggest a short-term downward drift. The launch of JPM Coin by JPMorgan Chase highlights institutional engagement with blockchain technology, but the overall market faces headwinds from declining trading volumes and a strong US dollar.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n0e96cc30dbe5', 'title': 'Dow Falls 175 Points on Awful Retail Sales Data While Bitcoin Price Continues Slow Bleed', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/historic-retail-sale...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 2, 'id': 'nb33efe094b1b', 'title': '‘Arcane’ SEC Rules May Kill Chances of Bitcoin ETF in 2019: Crypto Mom', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/arcane-sec-rules-may-kill-152719898.ht...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.