instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-04-20
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-04-20
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $8,294.31
  - 60-Day Range: $6,636.32 → $11,573.30
  - 1D Return: 1.60%
  - 7D Return: 5.13%
  - 30D Return: -6.95%
  - Volatility (14d): 4.25%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 228.05
  - Drawdown from Max: -28.33%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [11225.30, 11403.70, 10690.40, 10005.00, 10301.10, 9813.07, 9664.73, 10366.70, 10725.60, 10397.90, 10951.00, 11086.40, 11489.70, 11512.60, 11573.30, 10779.90, 9965.57, 9395.01, 9337.55, 8866.00, 9578.63, 9205.12, 9194.85, 8269.81, 8300.86, 8338.35, 7916.88, 8223.68, 8630.65, 8913.47, 8929.28, 8728.47, 8879.62, 8668.12, 8495.78, 8209.40, 7833.04, 7954.48, 7165.70, 6890.52, 6973.53, 6844.23, 7083.80, 7456.11, 6853.84, 6811.47, 6636.32, 6911.09, 7023.52, 6770.73, 6834.76, 6968.32, 7889.25, 7895.96, 7986.24, 8329.11, 8058.67, 7902.09, 8163.42, 8294.31]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,336.70
  - Crude Oil Price: $68.38
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The cryptocurrency market shows signs of a potential bull rally, with the total market cap surging to $365 billion, led by Bitcoin. Bitcoin Cash is experiencing a significant price increase due to anticipation of an upcoming hard fork. Meanwhile, regulatory developments in the EU are introducing verification rules for crypto exchanges, which could lend legitimacy to the market. However, concerns about Bitcoin mining profitability and negative sentiment from social media misinformation pose short-term risks. Institutional interest is growing, with Thomson Reuters launching a sentiment gauge and business schools expanding crypto education.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 2, 'id': 'nb497137f9a60', 'title': 'Bitcoin Cash is soaring as traders ready for another hard fork', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-cash-soaring-traders-ready-143400232.h...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 2, 'id': 'n5b5ee544ae02', 'title': 'Morgan Stanley is looking to staff up its stock-research unit with crypto talent', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/morgan-stanley-looking-staff...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.