instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2019-07-29
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2019-07-29
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $9,552.86
  - 60-Day Range: $7,688.08 → $13,016.23
  - 1D Return: 0.79%
  - 7D Return: -9.87%
  - 30D Return: -23.01%
  - Volatility (14d): 5.29%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 370.14
  - Drawdown from Max: -26.61%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [8319.47, 8574.50, 8564.02, 8742.96, 8209.00, 7707.77, 7824.23, 7822.02, 8043.95, 7954.13, 7688.08, 8000.33, 7927.71, 8145.86, 8230.92, 8693.83, 8838.38, 8994.49, 9320.35, 9081.76, 9273.52, 9527.16, 10144.56, 10701.69, 10855.37, 11011.10, 11790.92, 13016.23, 11182.81, 12407.33, 11959.37, 10817.16, 10583.13, 10801.68, 11961.27, 11215.44, 10978.46, 11208.55, 11450.85, 12285.96, 12573.81, 12156.51, 11358.66, 11815.99, 11392.38, 10256.06, 10895.09, 9477.64, 9693.80, 10666.48, 10530.73, 10767.14, 10599.11, 10343.11, 9900.77, 9811.93, 9911.84, 9870.30, 9477.68, 9552.86]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,419.60
  - Crude Oil Price: $56.87
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Bitcoin shows modest gains, driven by a general positive sentiment in crypto markets and a strong Bitcoin vs. Ethereum performance. However, upcoming FOMC decisions and geopolitical factors in Hong Kong introduce uncertainty. Developments in retail adoption, such as in Brazil and Estonia, and regulatory discussions around FATF guidelines are ongoing. The market is also watching institutional interest, with Grayscale's AUM growth and discussions around Bitcoin ETFs being key long-term indicators.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'ne26b4eef9152', 'title': 'AUD/USD and NZD/USD Fundamental Weekly Forecast – Weak Aussie CPI Could Outweigh Impact of Fed Decisions', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/aud-...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 3, 'id': 'nfde35e169cae', 'title': 'Multi-Billion Crypto Manager Sees Next Halving Triggering Bitcoin Price Boom', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/multi-billion-crypto-manager-see...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.