instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-02-16
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-02-16
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $10,166.40
  - 60-Day Range: $6,955.27 → $17,527.00
  - 1D Return: 7.08%
  - 7D Return: 23.00%
  - 30D Return: -11.52%
  - Volatility (14d): 8.34%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 589.33
  - Drawdown from Max: -42.00%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [13657.20, 14982.10, 15201.00, 15599.20, 17429.50, 17527.00, 16477.60, 15170.10, 14595.40, 14973.30, 13405.80, 13980.60, 14360.20, 13772.00, 13819.80, 11490.50, 11188.60, 11474.90, 11607.40, 12899.20, 11600.10, 10931.40, 10868.40, 11359.40, 11259.40, 11171.40, 11440.70, 11786.30, 11296.40, 10106.30, 10221.10, 9170.54, 8830.75, 9174.91, 8277.01, 6955.27, 7754.00, 7621.30, 8265.59, 8736.98, 8621.90, 8129.97, 8926.57, 8598.31, 9494.63, 10166.40]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,353.20
  - Crude Oil Price: $61.68
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market is showing mixed signals. While some altcoins are seeing gains and major tech companies like Microsoft are integrating blockchain, regulatory concerns persist. Japan's increased scrutiny of crypto exchanges and past issues with Coinbase's transaction errors are creating short-term headwinds. The long-term outlook remains influenced by regulatory developments and broader market sentiment, with recent price bounces offering some optimism but significant resistance levels still in play.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 4, 'id': 'n08aa81637f7b', 'title': 'Coinbase exchange error sees users overcharged thousands for Bitcoin', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/coinbase-exchange-error-sees-users-09532...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 9, 'id': 'n18a6f0d56b5c', 'title': "SEC says bitcoin funds raise 'investor protection issues'", 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/sec-questions-prospects-bitcoin-etfs-032127534.html...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.