instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-11-16
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-11-16
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $5,648.03
  - 60-Day Range: $5,648.03 → $6,734.95
  - 1D Return: -1.57%
  - 7D Return: -12.48%
  - 30D Return: -14.37%
  - Volatility (14d): 2.68%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 81.44
  - Drawdown from Max: -16.14%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [6281.20, 6371.30, 6398.54, 6519.67, 6734.95, 6721.98, 6710.63, 6595.41, 6446.47, 6495.00, 6676.75, 6644.13, 6601.96, 6625.56, 6589.62, 6556.10, 6502.59, 6576.69, 6622.48, 6588.31, 6602.95, 6652.23, 6642.64, 6585.53, 6256.24, 6274.58, 6285.99, 6290.93, 6596.54, 6596.11, 6544.43, 6476.71, 6465.41, 6489.19, 6482.35, 6487.16, 6475.74, 6495.84, 6476.29, 6474.75, 6480.38, 6486.39, 6332.63, 6334.27, 6317.61, 6377.78, 6388.44, 6361.26, 6376.13, 6419.66, 6461.01, 6530.14, 6453.72, 6385.62, 6409.22, 6411.27, 6371.27, 6359.49, 5738.35, 5648.03]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,220.80
  - Crude Oil Price: $56.46
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market is experiencing significant volatility, largely driven by the contentious Bitcoin Cash hard fork, which is creating uncertainty and impacting prices across the board. Despite this, there are signs of potential short-term recovery, with technical indicators suggesting a possible bounce. Meanwhile, long-term developments like institutional interest in stablecoins and infrastructure growth via the Lightning Network continue to present positive signals for the broader ecosystem.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 2, 'id': 'n714007c77a08', 'title': 'Brian Kelly: Bitcoin Price Decline Will be a Short-Term Event', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/brian-kelly-bitcoin-price-decline-004704580.htm...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n95d85bab6612', 'title': 'Bitcoin Price Decline Will Persist until Mid-2019: Crypto Analyst Willy Woo', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-price-decline-persist-unt...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.