instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2019-07-19
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2019-07-19
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $10,666.48
  - 60-Day Range: $7,680.07 → $13,016.23
  - 1D Return: 10.03%
  - 7D Return: -6.09%
  - 30D Return: 17.45%
  - Volatility (14d): 6.61%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 593.58
  - Drawdown from Max: -18.05%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [7978.31, 7963.33, 7680.07, 7881.85, 7987.37, 8052.54, 8673.22, 8805.78, 8719.96, 8659.49, 8319.47, 8574.50, 8564.02, 8742.96, 8209.00, 7707.77, 7824.23, 7822.02, 8043.95, 7954.13, 7688.08, 8000.33, 7927.71, 8145.86, 8230.92, 8693.83, 8838.38, 8994.49, 9320.35, 9081.76, 9273.52, 9527.16, 10144.56, 10701.69, 10855.37, 11011.10, 11790.92, 13016.23, 11182.81, 12407.33, 11959.37, 10817.16, 10583.13, 10801.68, 11961.27, 11215.44, 10978.46, 11208.55, 11450.85, 12285.96, 12573.81, 12156.51, 11358.66, 11815.99, 11392.38, 10256.06, 10895.09, 9477.64, 9693.80, 10666.48]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,425.10
  - Crude Oil Price: $55.63
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Today's crypto market shows mixed signals. Altcoins, led by Litecoin, are experiencing a resurgence, with Bitcoin also seeing a significant price jump. However, a bearish short-term outlook for Bitcoin persists due to regulatory concerns and resistance levels, exacerbated by President Trump's critical tweets. Macroeconomic factors, like the potential for Fed rate cuts driving gold higher, could also draw capital away from riskier assets. Despite these headwinds, institutional inflows into Grayscale suggest growing investor confidence, while positive developments like funding for Bitcoin Core developers offer long-term support.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'nefb19d808258', 'title': 'Altcoins Back on the Rise With Litecoin Leading the Charge', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/altcoins-back-rise-litecoin-leading-013801638.html...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n3ba54fddb2cb', 'title': 'BitMEX Operator Firm Donates to MIT to Conduct Crypto, Bitcoin-Related Research', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitmex-operator-firm-donates-...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.