instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2023-01-19
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2023-01-19
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $20,688.78
  - 60-Day Range: $15,787.28 → $21,169.63
  - 1D Return: -2.23%
  - 7D Return: 15.35%
  - 30D Return: 25.85%
  - Volatility (14d): 2.38%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 359.38
  - Drawdown from Max: -2.27%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [16291.83, 15787.28, 16189.77, 16610.71, 16604.46, 16521.84, 16464.28, 16444.63, 16217.32, 16444.98, 17168.57, 16967.13, 17088.66, 16908.24, 17130.49, 16974.83, 17089.50, 16848.13, 17233.47, 17133.15, 17128.72, 17104.19, 17206.44, 17781.32, 17815.65, 17364.87, 16647.48, 16795.09, 16757.98, 16439.68, 16906.30, 16817.54, 16830.34, 16796.95, 16847.76, 16841.99, 16919.80, 16717.17, 16552.57, 16642.34, 16602.59, 16547.50, 16625.08, 16688.47, 16679.86, 16863.24, 16836.74, 16951.97, 16955.08, 17091.14, 17196.55, 17446.29, 17934.90, 18869.59, 19909.57, 20976.30, 20880.80, 21169.63, 21161.52, 20688.78]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,922.10
  - Crude Oil Price: $80.33
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Bitcoin experienced a notable price drop today, falling below $21,000 following a major announcement from the US Department of Justice regarding a crackdown on an illicit crypto exchange. This regulatory action, coupled with ongoing concerns about the US economy and hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve, has dampened market sentiment. However, there are also signs of potential thawing in the 'crypto winter,' with Bitcoin's price up significantly year-to-date, attributed to easing inflation and potential Fed rate slowdowns. Meanwhile, reports of Genesis Global Capital preparing for bankruptcy continue to exert bearish pressure, highlighting the market's sensitivity to both macroeconomic factors and institutional distress.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 2, 'id': 'nd66f39784d3d', 'title': 'First Mover Americas: BTC, ETH Drop Amid Genesis Bankruptcy Reports', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/first-mover-americas-btc-eth-134615575.ht...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 14, 'id': 'n666c1639d6ef', 'title': 'Bitcoin Miners’ FTX Contagion Exposure May Amplify Industry Pain', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-miners-ftx-contagion-exposure-16360...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.