instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2019-05-02
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2019-05-02
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $5,402.70
  - 60-Day Range: $3,761.56 → $5,572.36
  - 1D Return: 0.97%
  - 7D Return: -1.14%
  - 30D Return: 29.93%
  - Volatility (14d): 1.88%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 72.78
  - Drawdown from Max: -3.04%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [3847.18, 3761.56, 3896.38, 3903.94, 3911.48, 3901.13, 3963.31, 3951.60, 3905.23, 3909.16, 3906.72, 3924.37, 3960.91, 4048.73, 4025.23, 4032.51, 4071.19, 4087.48, 4029.33, 4023.97, 4035.83, 4022.17, 3963.07, 3985.08, 4087.07, 4069.11, 4098.37, 4106.66, 4105.40, 4158.18, 4879.88, 4973.02, 4922.80, 5036.68, 5059.82, 5198.90, 5289.77, 5204.96, 5324.55, 5064.49, 5089.54, 5096.59, 5167.72, 5067.11, 5235.56, 5251.94, 5298.39, 5303.81, 5337.89, 5314.53, 5399.37, 5572.36, 5464.87, 5210.52, 5279.35, 5268.29, 5285.14, 5247.35, 5350.73, 5402.70]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,269.70
  - Crude Oil Price: $61.81
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The market sentiment appears cautiously optimistic, with several long-term indicators pointing towards potential growth, including institutional interest highlighted by Fidelity's research and Bakkt's infrastructure development. Short-term, positive retail adoption signals from Square and Litecoin's recovery are encouraging. However, regulatory scrutiny in Japan and the ongoing impact of the Bitfinex/Tether allegations remain key concerns. China's potential mining ban adds a layer of uncertainty to the mining landscape.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 2, 'id': 'n7d94c8124dd2', 'title': 'Bearish on Bitcoin? This Fidelity Research Will Turn You Into a Raging Bull', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bearish-bitcoin-fidelity-research...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 8, 'id': 'ncD87e2cb230c', 'title': 'Bitcoin Almost Touches $5,600, Forming Its First Bullish Golden Cross Since October 2015', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-almost-touch...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.