instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-11-03
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-11-03
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $6,388.44
  - 60-Day Range: $6,225.98 → $7,361.66
  - 1D Return: 0.17%
  - 7D Return: -1.33%
  - 30D Return: -1.76%
  - Volatility (14d): 0.73%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 24.47
  - Drawdown from Max: -13.22%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [7361.66, 6792.83, 6529.17, 6467.07, 6225.98, 6300.86, 6329.70, 6321.20, 6351.80, 6517.31, 6512.71, 6543.20, 6517.18, 6281.20, 6371.30, 6398.54, 6519.67, 6734.95, 6721.98, 6710.63, 6595.41, 6446.47, 6495.00, 6676.75, 6644.13, 6601.96, 6625.56, 6589.62, 6556.10, 6502.59, 6576.69, 6622.48, 6588.31, 6602.95, 6652.23, 6642.64, 6585.53, 6256.24, 6274.58, 6285.99, 6290.93, 6596.54, 6596.11, 6544.43, 6476.71, 6465.41, 6489.19, 6482.35, 6487.16, 6475.74, 6495.84, 6476.29, 6474.75, 6480.38, 6486.39, 6332.63, 6334.27, 6317.61, 6377.78, 6388.44]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,230.90
  - Crude Oil Price: $63.14
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Bitcoin remains in a low-volatility consolidation phase, with key resistance at $6,449. Bitcoin Cash, however, is showing strong bullish momentum, surging over 12% due to its upcoming hard fork and exchange support, with Coinbase announcing its backing. Macroeconomic concerns, such as the widening US trade deficit and the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy, pose potential bearish headwinds for risk assets. Legal disputes involving early crypto figures like Charlie Shrem could introduce short-term uncertainty.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n7c2a1b3918b5', 'title': 'Bitcoin Cash Leaves Big Brother in the Dust as the November Hard Fork Nears', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-cash-leaves-big-brother-0...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n941eda2e590c', 'title': 'Causes of the 2018 crypto rout', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amid-2018-crypto-crash-3-kinds-believers-come-focus-202424977.html', 'summary'...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.