instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-07-10
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-07-10
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $6,741.75
  - 60-Day Range: $5,903.44 → $8,723.94
  - 1D Return: -0.47%
  - 7D Return: 1.93%
  - 30D Return: -10.49%
  - Volatility (14d): 2.52%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 124.78
  - Drawdown from Max: -22.72%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [8441.49, 8504.89, 8723.94, 8716.79, 8510.38, 8368.83, 8094.32, 8250.97, 8247.18, 8513.25, 8418.99, 8041.78, 7557.82, 7587.34, 7480.14, 7355.88, 7368.22, 7135.99, 7472.59, 7406.52, 7494.17, 7541.45, 7643.45, 7720.25, 7514.47, 7633.76, 7653.98, 7678.24, 7624.92, 7531.98, 6786.02, 6906.92, 6582.36, 6349.90, 6675.35, 6456.58, 6550.16, 6499.27, 6734.82, 6769.94, 6776.55, 6729.74, 6083.69, 6162.48, 6173.23, 6249.18, 6093.67, 6157.13, 5903.44, 6218.30, 6404.00, 6385.82, 6614.18, 6529.59, 6597.55, 6639.14, 6673.50, 6856.93, 6773.88, 6741.75]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,253.80
  - Crude Oil Price: $74.11
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Bitcoin is facing downward pressure, dropping below $6.5K and testing key moving average support, indicating fading bullish sentiment. Regulatory concerns remain a significant factor, with China's central bank boasting about its successful crypto trading ban and Ripple executives highlighting regulation as their biggest risk. Meanwhile, positive developments like the expansion of the Lightning Network and increased wallet adoption offer some counterbalancing bullish signals. However, recent exchange hacks and geopolitical instability in emerging markets contribute to a cautious or bearish short-term outlook.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 8, 'id': 'na1f0bc0c2007', 'title': 'Bitcoin Bull Bias Fades as Price Drops Below $6.5K', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-bull-bias-fades-price-104017644.html', 'summary': ...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 6, 'id': 'n7557d04b164d', 'title': 'Andreessen Horowitz is launching a $300 million fund to invest in crypto — and it hired its first-ever female general partner to lead the effort', 'ur...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.