instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2019-04-19
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2019-04-19
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $5,298.39
  - 60-Day Range: $3,761.56 → $5,324.55
  - 1D Return: 0.88%
  - 7D Return: 4.62%
  - 30D Return: 30.14%
  - Volatility (14d): 2.18%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 90.47
  - Drawdown from Max: -0.49%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [3915.71, 3947.09, 3999.82, 3954.12, 4005.53, 4142.53, 3810.43, 3882.70, 3854.36, 3851.05, 3854.79, 3859.58, 3864.42, 3847.18, 3761.56, 3896.38, 3903.94, 3911.48, 3901.13, 3963.31, 3951.60, 3905.23, 3909.16, 3906.72, 3924.37, 3960.91, 4048.73, 4025.23, 4032.51, 4071.19, 4087.48, 4029.33, 4023.97, 4035.83, 4022.17, 3963.07, 3985.08, 4087.07, 4069.11, 4098.37, 4106.66, 4105.40, 4158.18, 4879.88, 4973.02, 4922.80, 5036.68, 5059.82, 5198.90, 5289.77, 5204.96, 5324.55, 5064.49, 5089.54, 5096.59, 5167.72, 5067.11, 5235.56, 5251.94, 5298.39]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,271.90
  - Crude Oil Price: $64.00
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market shows mixed signals today. Long-term, there's optimism around the increasing adoption of blockchain technology, institutional interest via Nasdaq indices, and potential for Bitcoin to become a multi-trillion dollar asset class. Square's growing Bitcoin business and the development of the Lightning Network are positive infrastructure developments. Short-term, sentiment is mixed with reports suggesting an accumulation phase and increased OTC demand, which are bullish. However, regulatory actions from FinCEN against P2P exchangers introduce uncertainty. Bitcoin is hovering around key technical levels, indicating a consolidation phase.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n9857d567cc99', 'title': 'Undervalued Bitcoin Will Be a ‘Multi-Trillion Dollar Asset Class,’ Says Analyst', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/undervalued-bitcoin-accumulat...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 10, 'id': 'n4e385065bf96', 'title': '5 Ways to Play the Blockchain Boom', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/5-ways-play-blockchain-boom-201408846.html', 'summary': "The article disc...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.