instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2019-03-03
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2019-03-03
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $3,864.42
  - 60-Day Range: $3,399.47 → $4,142.53
  - 1D Return: 0.13%
  - 7D Return: -6.71%
  - 30D Return: 11.76%
  - Volatility (14d): 3.13%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 75.25
  - Drawdown from Max: -6.71%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [3943.41, 3836.74, 3857.72, 3845.19, 4076.63, 4025.25, 4030.85, 4035.30, 3678.92, 3687.37, 3661.30, 3552.95, 3706.05, 3630.68, 3655.01, 3678.56, 3657.84, 3728.57, 3601.01, 3576.03, 3604.58, 3585.12, 3600.87, 3599.77, 3602.46, 3583.97, 3470.45, 3448.12, 3486.18, 3457.79, 3487.95, 3521.06, 3464.01, 3459.15, 3466.36, 3413.77, 3399.47, 3666.78, 3671.20, 3690.19, 3648.43, 3653.53, 3632.07, 3616.88, 3620.81, 3629.79, 3673.84, 3915.71, 3947.09, 3999.82, 3954.12, 4005.53, 4142.53, 3810.43, 3882.70, 3854.36, 3851.05, 3854.79, 3859.58, 3864.42]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,296.40
  - Crude Oil Price: $55.80
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market is showing mixed signals. Long-term, institutional adoption is growing with Fidelity's custody service and positive expert forecasts, while regulatory clarity is emerging globally. However, short-term sentiment is leaning bearish due to technical indicators suggesting overbought conditions, potential price plunges, and the impact of new AML regulations. Range-bound trading continues, testing investor resolve.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 2, 'id': 'n9757fde1b80d', 'title': 'Bitcoin – Tight Ranges Continue as Support Levels Test Investor Resolve', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-tight-ranges-continue-support...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 7, 'id': 'n0c58ce1abd95', 'title': 'Ready for Liftoff: Fidelity’s Bitcoin Custody Service is Just Weeks away from Launch', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ready-liftoff-fidelity-b...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.