instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2019-11-15
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2019-11-15
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $8,708.09
  - 60-Day Range: $7,493.49 → $10,276.79
  - 1D Return: -1.14%
  - 7D Return: -6.04%
  - 30D Return: 6.13%
  - Volatility (14d): 1.96%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 125.00
  - Drawdown from Max: -15.26%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [10276.79, 10241.27, 10198.25, 10266.42, 10181.64, 10019.72, 10070.39, 9729.32, 8620.57, 8486.99, 8118.97, 8251.85, 8245.92, 8104.19, 8293.87, 8343.28, 8393.04, 8259.99, 8205.94, 8151.50, 7988.16, 8245.62, 8228.78, 8595.74, 8586.47, 8321.76, 8336.56, 8321.01, 8374.69, 8205.37, 8047.53, 8103.91, 7973.21, 7988.56, 8222.08, 8243.72, 8078.20, 7514.67, 7493.49, 8660.70, 9244.97, 9551.71, 9256.15, 9427.69, 9205.73, 9199.58, 9261.10, 9324.72, 9235.35, 9412.61, 9342.53, 9360.88, 9267.56, 8804.88, 8813.58, 9055.53, 8757.79, 8815.66, 8808.26, 8708.09]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,467.30
  - Crude Oil Price: $57.72
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Bitcoin experienced a significant price drop today, falling below its 50-day moving average while traditional markets hit record highs, indicating a divergence and potential bearish sentiment for crypto. Short-term technicals are bearish, with a looming 'death cross' and increased mempool activity suggesting potential for further price declines and higher transaction fees. However, positive regulatory developments like Grayscale's index fund approval and the UK's tax guidance offer long-term bullish potential, alongside growing institutional interest as indicated by the 'Bitcoin Rich List'. Binance's expansion into the Turkish Lira market provides a new fiat on-ramp, while legal challenges for Tether introduce uncertainty.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n12fee4a61ea1', 'title': 'Bitcoin Cash – ABC, Litecoin and Ripple Daily Analysis – 15/11/19', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-cash-abc-litecoin-ripple-021658042....
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 5, 'id': 'na146c0825755', 'title': 'Bitcoin Will Reach $1M, Overtake Gold By 2028: Industry Veteran', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-reach-1m-overtake-gold-111023948.html...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.