instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-02-04
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-02-04
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $9,174.91
  - 60-Day Range: $8,830.75 → $17,527.00
  - 1D Return: 3.90%
  - 7D Return: -19.80%
  - 30D Return: -41.18%
  - Volatility (14d): 5.29%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 489.57
  - Drawdown from Max: -47.65%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [13657.20, 14982.10, 15201.00, 15599.20, 17429.50, 17527.00, 16477.60, 15170.10, 14595.40, 14973.30, 13405.80, 13980.60, 14360.20, 13772.00, 13819.80, 11490.50, 11188.60, 11474.90, 11607.40, 12899.20, 11600.10, 10931.40, 10868.40, 11359.40, 11259.40, 11171.40, 11440.70, 11786.30, 11296.40, 10106.30, 10221.10, 9170.54, 8830.75, 9174.91]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,333.70
  - Crude Oil Price: $65.45
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market is experiencing significant volatility, with Bitcoin dropping below $9,000 due to broader market sell-offs and negative sentiment, exacerbated by Facebook's ban on crypto ads. Upcoming U.S. regulatory testimony from the SEC and CFTC chairmen presents a key event risk for the next two weeks. While some support is emerging, ongoing speculation about government actions and rising U.S. Treasury yields create an uncertain short-term outlook.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 13, 'id': 'ndcba5b9f608f', 'title': 'Can Bitcoin Survive a Litecoin Moment?', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-survive-litecoin-moment-055932932.html', 'summary': 'Bitcoin ...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 12, 'id': 'n21eb7aad55cf', 'title': 'Bitcoin hits another record high in march towards $20,000', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-slips-around-16-300-080035582.html', 'summ...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.