instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-07-04
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-07-04
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $6,529.59
  - 60-Day Range: $5,903.44 → $9,858.15
  - 1D Return: -1.28%
  - 7D Return: 7.15%
  - 30D Return: -15.42%
  - Volatility (14d): 3.63%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 154.95
  - Drawdown from Max: -33.76%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [9858.15, 9654.80, 9373.01, 9234.82, 9325.18, 9043.94, 8441.49, 8504.89, 8723.94, 8716.79, 8510.38, 8368.83, 8094.32, 8250.97, 8247.18, 8513.25, 8418.99, 8041.78, 7557.82, 7587.34, 7480.14, 7355.88, 7368.22, 7135.99, 7472.59, 7406.52, 7494.17, 7541.45, 7643.45, 7720.25, 7514.47, 7633.76, 7653.98, 7678.24, 7624.92, 7531.98, 6786.02, 6906.92, 6582.36, 6349.90, 6675.35, 6456.58, 6550.16, 6499.27, 6734.82, 6769.94, 6776.55, 6729.74, 6083.69, 6162.48, 6173.23, 6249.18, 6093.67, 6157.13, 5903.44, 6218.30, 6404.00, 6385.82, 6614.18, 6529.59]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,251.60
  - Crude Oil Price: $74.14
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market is showing mixed signals today. On the long-term front, institutional adoption is progressing with Ether futures launching, but regulatory uncertainty around ICOs persists. Macroeconomic factors like potential central bank digital currency exploration by the Bank of England add to the complex landscape. Short-term, Bitcoin is showing signs of consolidation and potential weakness, with a significant amount of BTC lost or stolen potentially impacting supply. Major exchanges like Binance experienced trading halts due to security issues, adding to market jitters. Despite some positive signs like enterprise blockchain adoption and a slight market cap increase, the overall sentiment leans cautious.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n0aa0f6c4fc35', 'title': '6 Million Bitcoin is Lost or Stolen, Should the Real Value of BTC Higher?', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/6-million-bitcoin-lost-stolen-17325...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 6, 'id': 'n0fac9a4dc4d4', 'title': "Lithium Stocks News: China's Tianqi Lithium to Buy 24% Stake in SQM", 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/lithium-stocks-news-china-apos-142100575....
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.