instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2019-02-02
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2019-02-02
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $3,487.95
  - 60-Day Range: $3,236.76 → $4,134.44
  - 1D Return: 0.87%
  - 7D Return: -3.11%
  - 30D Return: -11.55%
  - Volatility (14d): 1.49%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 38.70
  - Drawdown from Max: -15.64%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [3956.89, 3753.99, 3521.10, 3419.94, 3476.11, 3614.23, 3502.66, 3424.59, 3486.95, 3313.68, 3242.48, 3236.76, 3252.84, 3545.86, 3696.06, 3745.95, 4134.44, 3896.54, 4014.18, 3998.98, 4078.60, 3815.49, 3857.30, 3654.83, 3923.92, 3820.41, 3865.95, 3742.70, 3843.52, 3943.41, 3836.74, 3857.72, 3845.19, 4076.63, 4025.25, 4030.85, 4035.30, 3678.92, 3687.37, 3661.30, 3552.95, 3706.05, 3630.68, 3655.01, 3678.56, 3657.84, 3728.57, 3601.01, 3576.03, 3604.58, 3585.12, 3600.87, 3599.77, 3602.46, 3583.97, 3470.45, 3448.12, 3486.18, 3457.79, 3487.95]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,316.90
  - Crude Oil Price: $55.26
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The market sentiment remains mixed, with Bitcoin trading around the $3,500 mark and showing slight daily losses. While some altcoins have outperformed Bitcoin in January, institutional adoption remains cautious, with Wall Street adopting a 'wait-and-see' approach. However, positive signals include high-profile endorsements from figures like Jack Dorsey and the ongoing development of crypto infrastructure, such as the LSE providing tech for a new exchange. Pantera Capital's optimistic outlook on the current bear market also offers a counter-narrative to prevailing bearish sentiment.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n3c20548b0693', 'title': 'Bitcoin – The Bulls Hold on, as Litecoin Sees Another Solid Gain', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-bulls-hold-litecoin-sees-021531612.h...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 2, 'id': 'nbe7a8531c30c', 'title': '10 Reasons Bitcoin Won’t Ever ‘Go to Zero’ as Davos Bears Claim', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/10-reasons-bitcoin-won-t-222844651.html', 'su...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.