instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2019-09-16
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2019-09-16
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $10,347.71
  - 60-Day Range: $9,477.68 → $11,966.41
  - 1D Return: -0.10%
  - 7D Return: -0.90%
  - 30D Return: -0.26%
  - Volatility (14d): 2.14%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 146.97
  - Drawdown from Max: -13.53%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [10666.48, 10530.73, 10767.14, 10599.11, 10343.11, 9900.77, 9811.93, 9911.84, 9870.30, 9477.68, 9552.86, 9519.15, 9607.42, 10085.63, 10399.67, 10518.17, 10821.73, 10970.18, 11805.65, 11478.17, 11941.97, 11966.41, 11862.94, 11354.02, 11523.58, 11382.62, 10895.83, 10051.70, 10311.55, 10374.34, 10231.74, 10345.81, 10916.05, 10763.23, 10138.05, 10131.06, 10407.96, 10159.96, 10138.52, 10370.82, 10185.50, 9754.42, 9510.20, 9598.17, 9630.66, 9757.97, 10346.76, 10623.54, 10594.49, 10575.53, 10353.30, 10517.25, 10441.28, 10334.97, 10115.98, 10178.37, 10410.13, 10360.55, 10358.05, 10347.71]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,503.10
  - Crude Oil Price: $62.90
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Bitcoin is trading flat as global central banks prepare to scrutinize Facebook's Libra project, introducing regulatory uncertainty. Meanwhile, the Bitcoin network's hash rate has hit a new all-time high, indicating robust miner confidence and infrastructure growth. Developments like Binance launching a NYDFS-backed stablecoin and Sparkswap adding USD support to its Lightning Network exchange suggest progress in regulated on-ramps and scaling solutions. However, the market remains in consolidation, with mixed signals from altcoin analyses and a lack of strong directional momentum.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 2, 'id': 'n08eaf4d07dc4', 'title': 'Bitcoin Flat as ECB, Global Central Banks Set to Meet with Libra Representatives', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-flat-ecb-global-cent...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 11, 'id': 'n28fbafdf7132', 'title': 'SEC Delays Decisions on 3 Bitcoin ETF Proposals', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/sec-delays-decisions-3-bitcoin-192425023.html', 'summary': '...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.