instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2019-01-15
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2019-01-15
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $3,706.05
  - 60-Day Range: $3,236.76 → $5,623.54
  - 1D Return: 4.31%
  - 7D Return: -7.93%
  - 30D Return: 14.50%
  - Volatility (14d): 3.57%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 91.86
  - Drawdown from Max: -34.10%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [5575.55, 5554.33, 5623.54, 4871.49, 4451.87, 4602.17, 4365.94, 4347.11, 3880.76, 4009.97, 3779.13, 3820.72, 4257.42, 4278.85, 4017.27, 4214.67, 4139.88, 3894.13, 3956.89, 3753.99, 3521.10, 3419.94, 3476.11, 3614.23, 3502.66, 3424.59, 3486.95, 3313.68, 3242.48, 3236.76, 3252.84, 3545.86, 3696.06, 3745.95, 4134.44, 3896.54, 4014.18, 3998.98, 4078.60, 3815.49, 3857.30, 3654.83, 3923.92, 3820.41, 3865.95, 3742.70, 3843.52, 3943.41, 3836.74, 3857.72, 3845.19, 4076.63, 4025.25, 4030.85, 4035.30, 3678.92, 3687.37, 3661.30, 3552.95, 3706.05]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,286.20
  - Crude Oil Price: $52.11
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market shows mixed signals today. Long-term, institutional skepticism from UBS (Donovan) continues to weigh on sentiment, while adoption drivers like Revolut's banking license and the potential for Bitcoin in authoritarian countries offer a more optimistic outlook. Short-term, Bitcoin futures trading at a discount and continued market slumps suggest bearish pressure, though a slight price recovery towards $3,700 and exchange support for Ethereum's hard fork provide minor bullish counterpoints. The key resistance level at the 10-week SMA remains a critical technical indicator.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'nb82e64285ed9', 'title': 'Bitcoin Futures Now Trading At Discount to Exchange Prices', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-futures-now-trading-discount-164513833.htm...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 14, 'id': 'n86875344d47a', 'title': 'Bitcoin Won’t Last, But Crypto is Here to Stay: Edward Snowden', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-won-t-last-crypto-144818119.html', 's...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.