instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-11-25
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-11-25
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $3,880.76
  - 60-Day Range: $3,880.76 → $6,676.75
  - 1D Return: -10.73%
  - 7D Return: -30.13%
  - 30D Return: -40.08%
  - Volatility (14d): 5.17%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 212.26
  - Drawdown from Max: -41.88%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [6495.00, 6676.75, 6644.13, 6601.96, 6625.56, 6589.62, 6556.10, 6502.59, 6576.69, 6622.48, 6588.31, 6602.95, 6652.23, 6642.64, 6585.53, 6256.24, 6274.58, 6285.99, 6290.93, 6596.54, 6596.11, 6544.43, 6476.71, 6465.41, 6489.19, 6482.35, 6487.16, 6475.74, 6495.84, 6476.29, 6474.75, 6480.38, 6486.39, 6332.63, 6334.27, 6317.61, 6377.78, 6388.44, 6361.26, 6376.13, 6419.66, 6461.01, 6530.14, 6453.72, 6385.62, 6409.22, 6411.27, 6371.27, 6359.49, 5738.35, 5648.03, 5575.55, 5554.33, 5623.54, 4871.49, 4451.87, 4602.17, 4365.94, 4347.11, 3880.76]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,221.00
  - Crude Oil Price: $50.42
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Bitcoin experienced extreme volatility, hitting a new yearly low of $3,456 before a partial recovery to around $4,120. The broader crypto market also saw significant losses, with over $63 billion wiped out in a week. Despite the bearish sentiment, there are glimmers of potential recovery and long-term adoption signals, such as Ohio accepting Bitcoin for taxes and continued development of the Lightning Network. However, the overwhelming short-term trend remains bearish due to widespread selling pressure.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 5, 'id': 'n2155edc2d1fd', 'title': 'Newsflash: Bitcoin Price Bounces to $4,120 after Plunging to Yearly Low', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/newsflash-bitcoin-price-bounces-4-230...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 6, 'id': 'n89ee254b33cb', 'title': 'Bull Call: Novogratz Says Bitcoin Will See Record Highs in 2019', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bull-call-novogratz-says-bitcoin-020117635.ht...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.