instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2019-07-20
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2019-07-20
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $10,530.73
  - 60-Day Range: $7,680.07 → $13,016.23
  - 1D Return: -1.27%
  - 7D Return: -10.88%
  - 30D Return: 13.56%
  - Volatility (14d): 6.60%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 586.34
  - Drawdown from Max: -19.10%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [7963.33, 7680.07, 7881.85, 7987.37, 8052.54, 8673.22, 8805.78, 8719.96, 8659.49, 8319.47, 8574.50, 8564.02, 8742.96, 8209.00, 7707.77, 7824.23, 7822.02, 8043.95, 7954.13, 7688.08, 8000.33, 7927.71, 8145.86, 8230.92, 8693.83, 8838.38, 8994.49, 9320.35, 9081.76, 9273.52, 9527.16, 10144.56, 10701.69, 10855.37, 11011.10, 11790.92, 13016.23, 11182.81, 12407.33, 11959.37, 10817.16, 10583.13, 10801.68, 11961.27, 11215.44, 10978.46, 11208.55, 11450.85, 12285.96, 12573.81, 12156.51, 11358.66, 11815.99, 11392.38, 10256.06, 10895.09, 9477.64, 9693.80, 10666.48, 10530.73]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,425.10
  - Crude Oil Price: $55.63
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market is navigating mixed signals today. President Trump's critical tweets about Bitcoin introduce regulatory uncertainty, potentially creating short-term bearish pressure, though some argue this highlights Bitcoin's decentralized appeal. Meanwhile, news from India clarifies that Bitcoin is not banned, but regulatory ambiguity persists. The arrest of a former exchange chief adds to a cautious sentiment. On the long-term front, institutional interest is growing with NYSE Arca's filing for a Bitcoin trust and record CME futures trading, while broader adoption is anticipated with Facebook's Libra project. Japan's regulatory clarity also provides a positive backdrop.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 2, 'id': 'n4a777ff90b1a', 'title': 'Could Donald Trump Ban Bitcoin?', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/could-donald-trump-ban-bitcoin-084526383.html', 'summary': "President Trump e...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 40, 'id': 'n3c33ba13f92d', 'title': 'NYSE Arca Files Proposed Rule Change with SEC for Bitcoin-, T-Bills-Backed Investment Trust', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/nyse-arca-files-...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.