instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2019-09-30
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2019-09-30
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $8,104.19
  - 60-Day Range: $8,104.19 → $11,966.41
  - 1D Return: -1.72%
  - 7D Return: -19.52%
  - 30D Return: -15.57%
  - Volatility (14d): 3.20%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 196.21
  - Drawdown from Max: -32.28%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [10399.67, 10518.17, 10821.73, 10970.18, 11805.65, 11478.17, 11941.97, 11966.41, 11862.94, 11354.02, 11523.58, 11382.62, 10895.83, 10051.70, 10311.55, 10374.34, 10231.74, 10345.81, 10916.05, 10763.23, 10138.05, 10131.06, 10407.96, 10159.96, 10138.52, 10370.82, 10185.50, 9754.42, 9510.20, 9598.17, 9630.66, 9757.97, 10346.76, 10623.54, 10594.49, 10575.53, 10353.30, 10517.25, 10441.28, 10334.97, 10115.98, 10178.37, 10410.13, 10360.55, 10358.05, 10347.71, 10276.79, 10241.27, 10198.25, 10266.42, 10181.64, 10019.72, 10070.39, 9729.32, 8620.57, 8486.99, 8118.97, 8251.85, 8245.92, 8104.19]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,465.70
  - Crude Oil Price: $54.07
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Bitcoin experienced a significant downturn over the weekend, closing Sunday down 1.8% and marking a substantial weekly loss of nearly 20%. The price has fallen below the critical $10,000 level, with analysts attributing the crash partly to the disappointing launch of Bakkt. Meanwhile, regulatory clarity is being sought as major exchanges collaborate to rate crypto assets for securities classification, introducing an element of uncertainty. On a positive note, institutional interest is growing with VanEck's ETF-like product and increased open interest on BitMEX, while Lightning Network adoption is being simplified.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n880d3ecd4713', 'title': 'The Crypto Daily – Movers and Shakers -30/09/19', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/crypto-daily-movers-shakers-30-010715847.html', 'summary': 'B...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 2, 'id': 'n0225fda0f6f9', 'title': 'VanEck Launches Bitcoin ‘ETF-Like’ Strategy for Institutional Investors', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/vaneck-launches-bitcoin-etf-strategy-...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.