instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2022-02-02
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2022-02-02
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $38,743.27
  - 60-Day Range: $35,030.25 → $50,822.20
  - 1D Return: 0.68%
  - 7D Return: 4.84%
  - 30D Return: -18.17%
  - Volatility (14d): 3.39%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 835.95
  - Drawdown from Max: -23.77%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [49200.70, 49368.85, 50582.62, 50700.09, 50504.80, 47672.12, 47243.30, 49362.51, 50098.34, 46737.48, 46612.63, 48896.72, 47665.43, 46202.14, 46848.78, 46707.02, 46880.28, 48936.61, 48628.51, 50784.54, 50822.20, 50429.86, 50809.52, 50640.42, 47588.86, 46444.71, 47178.12, 46306.45, 47686.81, 47345.22, 46458.12, 45897.57, 43569.00, 43160.93, 41557.90, 41733.94, 41911.60, 41821.26, 42735.86, 43949.10, 42591.57, 43099.70, 43177.40, 43113.88, 42250.55, 42375.63, 41744.33, 40680.42, 36457.32, 35030.25, 36276.80, 36654.33, 36954.00, 36852.12, 37138.23, 37784.33, 38138.18, 37917.60, 38483.12, 38743.27]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,809.20
  - Crude Oil Price: $88.26
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market is experiencing mixed signals. While some analysts suggest the Fed's hawkish stance might not last, leading to potential short-term bullishness, the immediate sentiment remains cautious. Weak Meta earnings and the SEC's continued delays on spot Bitcoin ETFs are contributing to bearish pressure. MicroStrategy's impairment charge also adds to negative sentiment. However, the launch of a Bitcoin-heavy inflation ETF and strong performance from Ethereum suggest underlying bullish trends may persist, albeit with significant short-term volatility.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n99a5a0bd78e8', 'title': 'Stock Market Today: Alphabet, Growth Names Add More Fuel to the Rally', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-today-alphabet-growth-2121...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 2, 'id': 'n2a9888a2d14b', 'title': 'Bitcoin slides after surprisingly hawkish Fed comments knock crypto markets, with altcoins falling the hardest', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/new...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.