instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2022-01-10
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2022-01-10
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $41,911.60
  - 60-Day Range: $41,557.90 → $65,466.84
  - 1D Return: 0.43%
  - 7D Return: -11.48%
  - 30D Return: -11.29%
  - Volatility (14d): 2.45%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 988.06
  - Drawdown from Max: -35.98%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [64949.96, 64155.94, 64469.53, 65466.84, 63557.87, 60161.25, 60368.01, 56942.14, 58119.58, 59697.20, 58730.48, 56289.29, 57569.07, 56280.43, 57274.68, 53569.77, 54815.08, 57248.46, 57806.57, 57005.43, 57229.83, 56477.82, 53598.25, 49200.70, 49368.85, 50582.62, 50700.09, 50504.80, 47672.12, 47243.30, 49362.51, 50098.34, 46737.48, 46612.63, 48896.72, 47665.43, 46202.14, 46848.78, 46707.02, 46880.28, 48936.61, 48628.51, 50784.54, 50822.20, 50429.86, 50809.52, 50640.42, 47588.86, 46444.71, 47178.12, 46306.45, 47686.81, 47345.22, 46458.12, 45897.57, 43569.00, 43160.93, 41557.90, 41733.94, 41911.60]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,798.40
  - Crude Oil Price: $78.23
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market is experiencing significant downward pressure today, with Bitcoin falling below $40,000 for the first time since September, nearing a bearish 'death cross' technical indicator. This decline is driven by a combination of macroeconomic factors, including hawkish sentiment from the Federal Reserve regarding interest rate hikes and potential balance sheet reduction, leading to a strengthening dollar and a 'risk-off' sentiment across markets. Record outflows from digital asset funds further underscore institutional bearishness. While some analysts suggest long-term benefits for miners from the current slump, the immediate outlook remains bearish.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n06256e55caf1', 'title': 'First Mover Asia: Bitcoin Below $40K Before Regaining Ground; Altcoins Fall', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/first-mover-asia-bitcoin-below-23...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n96f28ea0a205', 'title': 'Devs Flock to Ethereum But Fulltimers Still Sorely Needed as DeFi Expands', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/devs-flock-ethereum-fulltimers-stil...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.