instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2021-05-16
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2021-05-16
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $46,760.19
  - 60-Day Range: $46,760.19 → $63,503.46
  - 1D Return: -6.26%
  - 7D Return: -20.48%
  - 30D Return: -26.15%
  - Volatility (14d): 5.06%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 2025.09
  - Drawdown from Max: -26.37%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [58870.89, 57858.92, 58346.65, 58313.64, 57523.42, 54529.14, 54738.95, 52774.27, 51704.16, 55137.31, 55973.51, 55950.75, 57750.20, 58917.69, 58918.83, 59095.81, 59384.31, 57603.89, 58758.55, 59057.88, 58192.36, 56048.94, 58323.95, 58245.00, 59793.23, 60204.96, 59893.45, 63503.46, 63109.70, 63314.01, 61572.79, 60683.82, 56216.18, 55724.27, 56473.03, 53906.09, 51762.27, 51093.65, 50050.87, 49004.25, 54021.75, 55033.12, 54824.70, 53555.11, 57750.18, 57828.05, 56631.08, 57200.29, 53333.54, 57424.01, 56396.52, 57356.40, 58803.78, 58232.32, 55859.80, 56704.57, 49150.54, 49716.19, 49880.54, 46760.19]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,837.90
  - Crude Oil Price: $65.37
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Bitcoin experienced significant volatility on May 16th, primarily driven by Elon Musk's tweets suggesting Tesla might sell its holdings, causing a sharp price drop. This event amplified existing market fears, pushing the Fear and Greed Index to yearly lows. Despite the bearish short-term sentiment, long-term indicators suggest continued institutional accumulation and growing mainstream adoption through platforms like Venmo and potential bank integrations. The ongoing debate around crypto sustainability also remains a key factor influencing market sentiment.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n86ba5f2e82c8', 'title': 'Bitcoin price lower after Musk tweet', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-price-lower-musk-tweet-215332115.html', 'summary': "Bitcoin's pr...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 16, 'id': 'n0b3ce99ff395', 'title': 'Venmo is into crypto, allowing users to buy Bitcoin, others', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/venmo-crypto-allowing-users-buy-134505433.html',...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.