instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-10-31
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-10-31
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $6,334.27
  - 60-Day Range: $6,225.98 → $7,361.66
  - 1D Return: 0.03%
  - 7D Return: -2.18%
  - 30D Return: -4.40%
  - Volatility (14d): 0.71%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 27.56
  - Drawdown from Max: -13.96%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [7193.25, 7272.72, 7260.06, 7361.66, 6792.83, 6529.17, 6467.07, 6225.98, 6300.86, 6329.70, 6321.20, 6351.80, 6517.31, 6512.71, 6543.20, 6517.18, 6281.20, 6371.30, 6398.54, 6519.67, 6734.95, 6721.98, 6710.63, 6595.41, 6446.47, 6495.00, 6676.75, 6644.13, 6601.96, 6625.56, 6589.62, 6556.10, 6502.59, 6576.69, 6622.48, 6588.31, 6602.95, 6652.23, 6642.64, 6585.53, 6256.24, 6274.58, 6285.99, 6290.93, 6596.54, 6596.11, 6544.43, 6476.71, 6465.41, 6489.19, 6482.35, 6487.16, 6475.74, 6495.84, 6476.29, 6474.75, 6480.38, 6486.39, 6332.63, 6334.27]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,212.30
  - Crude Oil Price: $65.31
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Bitcoin's 10th anniversary is marked by a largely stable market, with key technical levels being tested. The ongoing bear market sentiment is reinforced by a year-on-year loss and bearish predictions from industry leaders like the BitMEX CEO. However, positive developments like regulatory approvals for stablecoins in New York and simplified KYC processes in Australia offer glimmers of long-term adoption potential. The market awaits the monthly close for directional cues, with a critical support level at the 21-month EMA.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n2a317ba27d76', 'title': 'Brazilian Bitcoin Exchange Wins Standoff as Bank Reopens Account to Avoid Fines', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/brazilian-bitcoin-exchange-wi...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 2, 'id': 'n6837a07675f1', 'title': "The crypto world is going wild for 'stablecoins' — here's everything you need to know about them", 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/crypto-world...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.