instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-12-02
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-12-02
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $4,214.67
  - 60-Day Range: $3,779.13 → $6,652.23
  - 1D Return: 4.91%
  - 7D Return: 8.60%
  - 30D Return: -33.92%
  - Volatility (14d): 6.81%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 245.10
  - Drawdown from Max: -36.64%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [6502.59, 6576.69, 6622.48, 6588.31, 6602.95, 6652.23, 6642.64, 6585.53, 6256.24, 6274.58, 6285.99, 6290.93, 6596.54, 6596.11, 6544.43, 6476.71, 6465.41, 6489.19, 6482.35, 6487.16, 6475.74, 6495.84, 6476.29, 6474.75, 6480.38, 6486.39, 6332.63, 6334.27, 6317.61, 6377.78, 6388.44, 6361.26, 6376.13, 6419.66, 6461.01, 6530.14, 6453.72, 6385.62, 6409.22, 6411.27, 6371.27, 6359.49, 5738.35, 5648.03, 5575.55, 5554.33, 5623.54, 4871.49, 4451.87, 4602.17, 4365.94, 4347.11, 3880.76, 4009.97, 3779.13, 3820.72, 4257.42, 4278.85, 4017.27, 4214.67]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,220.20
  - Crude Oil Price: $50.93
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The market sentiment remains cautious as the year-end approaches. Long-term, institutional interest is signaled by Nasdaq's planned Bitcoin futures launch, while regulatory actions like the SEC's focus on ICO influencers and G20 calls for crypto taxation introduce short-term headwinds. Developments in scaling solutions like the Lightning Network show continued technological progress, but the overall market is still grappling with the aftermath of earlier price declines and the impact on mining operations.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n61949c55bfb7', 'title': 'This Week in Crypto: Ohio Embraces Bitcoin, Judge Hassles SEC, and DJ Khaled Fined for ICO Promotion', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/week-cry...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 6, 'id': 'n95d85bab6612', 'title': 'Bitcoin Price Decline Will Persist until Mid-2019: Crypto Analyst Willy Woo', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-price-decline-persist-unt...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.