instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-03-31
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-03-31
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $6,890.52
  - 60-Day Range: $6,890.52 → $11,573.30
  - 1D Return: -3.84%
  - 7D Return: -22.40%
  - 30D Return: -33.73%
  - Volatility (14d): 4.10%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 286.99
  - Drawdown from Max: -40.46%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [10106.30, 10221.10, 9170.54, 8830.75, 9174.91, 8277.01, 6955.27, 7754.00, 7621.30, 8265.59, 8736.98, 8621.90, 8129.97, 8926.57, 8598.31, 9494.63, 10166.40, 10233.90, 11112.70, 10551.80, 11225.30, 11403.70, 10690.40, 10005.00, 10301.10, 9813.07, 9664.73, 10366.70, 10725.60, 10397.90, 10951.00, 11086.40, 11489.70, 11512.60, 11573.30, 10779.90, 9965.57, 9395.01, 9337.55, 8866.00, 9578.63, 9205.12, 9194.85, 8269.81, 8300.86, 8338.35, 7916.88, 8223.68, 8630.65, 8913.47, 8929.28, 8728.47, 8879.62, 8668.12, 8495.78, 8209.40, 7833.04, 7954.48, 7165.70, 6890.52]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,322.80
  - Crude Oil Price: $64.94
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The market sentiment on March 31, 2018, is mixed, with ongoing regulatory concerns impacting cryptocurrencies, as evidenced by Facebook's ad ban and China's central bank reiterating its stance against Bitcoin. However, major tech companies like Microsoft are exploring blockchain for identity solutions, signaling long-term adoption potential. Macroeconomic indicators show mixed signals for traditional markets, with the USD Index exhibiting uncertain trends and gold showing a bearish bias. The overall environment suggests caution, with regulatory headwinds and technological adoption trends being key drivers.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 3, 'id': 'n8f93a80682e3', 'title': 'Criminal Bitcoin Trader Found Guilty of Money Laundering in Arizona', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/criminal-bitcoin-trader-found-guilty-0252...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 27, 'id': 'nc82638083a57', 'title': 'Facebook Just Banned Ads for Bitcoin and Other Cryptocurrencies', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/facebook-just-banned-ads-bitcoin-225440184.h...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.