instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-02-01
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-02-01
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $10,221.10
  - 60-Day Range: $10,106.30 → $17,527.00
  - 1D Return: 1.14%
  - 7D Return: -10.02%
  - 30D Return: -25.16%
  - Volatility (14d): 5.75%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 487.86
  - Drawdown from Max: -41.68%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [13657.20, 14982.10, 15201.00, 15599.20, 17429.50, 17527.00, 16477.60, 15170.10, 14595.40, 14973.30, 13405.80, 13980.60, 14360.20, 13772.00, 13819.80, 11490.50, 11188.60, 11474.90, 11607.40, 12899.20, 11600.10, 10931.40, 10868.40, 11359.40, 11259.40, 11171.40, 11440.70, 11786.30, 11296.40, 10106.30, 10221.10]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,344.30
  - Crude Oil Price: $65.80
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Bitcoin experienced a significant downturn today, dropping below the critical $9,000 level, marking a two-month low. This decline was driven by a confluence of negative news, including Facebook's ban on cryptocurrency advertisements and growing regulatory concerns from India. These factors have unnerved investors, leading to increased fear and selling pressure across the broader cryptocurrency market, with major altcoins like XRP also experiencing sharp declines. The market is currently exhibiting high volatility and a bearish short-term sentiment.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 3, 'id': 'nc7631b9dff9a', 'title': 'Bitcoin tumbles below $9,000 as Facebook bans cryptocurrency adverts', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/britain-apos-booming-manufaucturing-sect...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 8, 'id': 'n19dbb7010a58', 'title': 'Bitcoin mania could ramp up global efforts to dethrone the dollar, analyst says', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-mania-could-ramp-glob...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.