instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2019-03-01
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2019-03-01
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $3,854.79
  - 60-Day Range: $3,399.47 → $4,142.53
  - 1D Return: 0.10%
  - 7D Return: -2.51%
  - 30D Return: 11.79%
  - Volatility (14d): 3.12%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 75.49
  - Drawdown from Max: -6.95%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [3742.70, 3843.52, 3943.41, 3836.74, 3857.72, 3845.19, 4076.63, 4025.25, 4030.85, 4035.30, 3678.92, 3687.37, 3661.30, 3552.95, 3706.05, 3630.68, 3655.01, 3678.56, 3657.84, 3728.57, 3601.01, 3576.03, 3604.58, 3585.12, 3600.87, 3599.77, 3602.46, 3583.97, 3470.45, 3448.12, 3486.18, 3457.79, 3487.95, 3521.06, 3464.01, 3459.15, 3466.36, 3413.77, 3399.47, 3666.78, 3671.20, 3690.19, 3648.43, 3653.53, 3632.07, 3616.88, 3620.81, 3629.79, 3673.84, 3915.71, 3947.09, 3999.82, 3954.12, 4005.53, 4142.53, 3810.43, 3882.70, 3854.36, 3851.05, 3854.79]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,296.40
  - Crude Oil Price: $55.80
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market shows mixed signals today. Long-term, institutional interest is growing with NYSE operator ICE partnering with Blockstream for data services and billionaire Mike Novogratz suggesting macro funds allocate to Bitcoin. However, regulatory concerns in India and reduced investment in tZERO present headwinds. Short-term, Bitcoin is consolidating in a new range, with potential for volatility. Thailand's regulatory adjustments for altcoins and positive technicals for Bitcoin (first green monthly candle in 8 months) offer some bullish short-term catalysts, while the QuadrigaCX saga continues to weigh on market trust.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n4d1398590cad', 'title': 'Circle Introduces Market Surveillance to Fight Insider Trading, ‘Pump and Dump’ Schemes', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/circle-introduces-mar...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 4, 'id': 'n94535039f66a', 'title': 'Crypto Could Take 10+ Years to Regain 2017 High, But Then Will Be Mature: Cardano Founder', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/crypto-could-10-yea...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.