instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-11-19
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-11-19
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $5,623.54
  - 60-Day Range: $5,554.33 → $6,734.95
  - 1D Return: 1.25%
  - 7D Return: -12.29%
  - 30D Return: -13.02%
  - Volatility (14d): 2.72%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 89.31
  - Drawdown from Max: -16.50%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [6519.67, 6734.95, 6721.98, 6710.63, 6595.41, 6446.47, 6495.00, 6676.75, 6644.13, 6601.96, 6625.56, 6589.62, 6556.10, 6502.59, 6576.69, 6622.48, 6588.31, 6602.95, 6652.23, 6642.64, 6585.53, 6256.24, 6274.58, 6285.99, 6290.93, 6596.54, 6596.11, 6544.43, 6476.71, 6465.41, 6489.19, 6482.35, 6487.16, 6475.74, 6495.84, 6476.29, 6474.75, 6480.38, 6486.39, 6332.63, 6334.27, 6317.61, 6377.78, 6388.44, 6361.26, 6376.13, 6419.66, 6461.01, 6530.14, 6453.72, 6385.62, 6409.22, 6411.27, 6371.27, 6359.49, 5738.35, 5648.03, 5575.55, 5554.33, 5623.54]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,223.10
  - Crude Oil Price: $56.76
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a severe downturn, with Bitcoin falling below $5,000 for the first time in 18 months, marking a new 2018 low. This sharp decline is attributed to a combination of factors including the ongoing fallout from the Bitcoin Cash hard fork, broader tech stock sell-offs driven by trade tensions, and regulatory concerns highlighted by SEC enforcement actions. The market sentiment is overwhelmingly bearish, with significant losses across all major cryptocurrencies.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n572fd7e79741', 'title': 'Bitcoin falls below $5,000 for first time in 18 months', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-falls-below-5-000-224739292.html', 'summary': ...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n87649f0a6ef6', 'title': 'SEC Begins Reviewing Physically-Backed Bitcoin ETF, Will Examine 1,400 Comments', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/sec-begins-reviewing-physical...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.