instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-10-02
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-10-02
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $6,589.62
  - 60-Day Range: $6,184.71 → $7,434.39
  - 1D Return: -0.54%
  - 7D Return: -0.09%
  - 30D Return: -8.39%
  - Volatility (14d): 1.58%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 79.06
  - Drawdown from Max: -11.36%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [7434.39, 7032.85, 7068.48, 6951.80, 6753.12, 6305.80, 6568.23, 6184.71, 6295.73, 6322.69, 6297.57, 6199.71, 6308.52, 6334.73, 6580.63, 6423.76, 6506.07, 6308.53, 6488.76, 6376.71, 6534.88, 6719.96, 6763.19, 6707.26, 6884.64, 7096.28, 7047.16, 6978.23, 7037.58, 7193.25, 7272.72, 7260.06, 7361.66, 6792.83, 6529.17, 6467.07, 6225.98, 6300.86, 6329.70, 6321.20, 6351.80, 6517.31, 6512.71, 6543.20, 6517.18, 6281.20, 6371.30, 6398.54, 6519.67, 6734.95, 6721.98, 6710.63, 6595.41, 6446.47, 6495.00, 6676.75, 6644.13, 6601.96, 6625.56, 6589.62]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,202.40
  - Crude Oil Price: $75.23
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The market sentiment remains cautious with a bearish undertone, driven by technical indicators suggesting further price declines for Bitcoin. Regulatory actions, such as the shutdown of 1Broker, are increasing scrutiny on exchanges, potentially impacting liquidity. However, long-term adoption signals are present with major companies like Rakuten and eToro making crypto-friendly moves, and Canada approving a Bitcoin mutual fund. The debate around Bitcoin's safe-haven status and the impact of trading bots add to the short-term uncertainty.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 4, 'id': 'n0839b71d9625', 'title': 'Will Bitcoin Fall Further?', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-fall-further-074509793.html', 'summary': 'Bitcoin has shown decreasing vol...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 15, 'id': 'nb415b1718485', 'title': '$2.4 Million: Japanese Giant Rakuten is Acquiring a Bitcoin Exchange', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/2-4-million-japanese-giant-120036281.ht...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.