instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2019-04-01
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2019-04-01
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $4,105.40
  - 60-Day Range: $3,399.47 → $4,142.53
  - 1D Return: -0.03%
  - 7D Return: 2.07%
  - 30D Return: 6.37%
  - Volatility (14d): 0.99%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 27.94
  - Drawdown from Max: -0.90%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [3457.79, 3487.95, 3521.06, 3464.01, 3459.15, 3466.36, 3413.77, 3399.47, 3666.78, 3671.20, 3690.19, 3648.43, 3653.53, 3632.07, 3616.88, 3620.81, 3629.79, 3673.84, 3915.71, 3947.09, 3999.82, 3954.12, 4005.53, 4142.53, 3810.43, 3882.70, 3854.36, 3851.05, 3854.79, 3859.58, 3864.42, 3847.18, 3761.56, 3896.38, 3903.94, 3911.48, 3901.13, 3963.31, 3951.60, 3905.23, 3909.16, 3906.72, 3924.37, 3960.91, 4048.73, 4025.23, 4032.51, 4071.19, 4087.48, 4029.33, 4023.97, 4035.83, 4022.17, 3963.07, 3985.08, 4087.07, 4069.11, 4098.37, 4106.66, 4105.40]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,288.40
  - Crude Oil Price: $61.59
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Bitcoin has reached a new year-to-date high, breaking above $4,100 with receding volatility, supported by positive monthly candles and broader market optimism. While institutional adoption remains cautious, increased accessibility through fiat on-ramps and growing altcoin futures volume are positive signs. However, regulatory uncertainty from the SEC and upcoming tax deadlines present potential headwinds.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n33ad4f82b402', 'title': 'Best Stocks for 2019: Charlotte’s Web Is a King Among Marijuana Stocks', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/best-stocks-2019-charlotte-king-143916...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n25297c905858', 'title': 'Mt. Gox Trustee: Creditors Will Soon Receive Decisions Over Rehabilitation Claims', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/mt-gox-trustee-creditors-so...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.