instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2020-08-25
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2020-08-25
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $11,774.60
  - 60-Day Range: $9,045.39 → $12,254.40
  - 1D Return: 0.94%
  - 7D Return: -3.92%
  - 30D Return: 21.67%
  - Volatility (14d): 1.91%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 175.72
  - Drawdown from Max: -3.92%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [9162.92, 9045.39, 9143.58, 9190.85, 9137.99, 9228.33, 9123.41, 9087.30, 9132.49, 9073.94, 9375.47, 9252.28, 9428.33, 9277.97, 9278.81, 9240.35, 9276.50, 9243.61, 9243.21, 9192.84, 9132.23, 9151.39, 9159.04, 9185.82, 9164.23, 9374.89, 9525.36, 9581.07, 9536.89, 9677.11, 9905.17, 10990.87, 10912.82, 11100.47, 11111.21, 11323.47, 11759.59, 11053.61, 11246.35, 11205.89, 11747.02, 11779.77, 11601.47, 11754.05, 11675.74, 11878.11, 11410.53, 11584.93, 11784.14, 11768.87, 11865.70, 11892.80, 12254.40, 11991.23, 11758.28, 11878.37, 11592.49, 11681.83, 11664.85, 11774.60]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,911.80
  - Crude Oil Price: $43.35
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Bitcoin is facing short-term bearish pressure, re-testing key support levels around $11,430, with a potential breakdown to $11,150. Meanwhile, the DeFi sector continues to show strong growth, with Aave surpassing MakerDAO in TVL, indicating robust capital inflows. Ether's volatility is increasing due to DeFi speculation, which could influence broader market sentiment. Negative news regarding bitcoin-seeking bomb threats in Austria adds to a cautious short-term outlook, though the listing of gold-backed tokens on Binance and the continued growth of DeFi protocols suggest underlying bullish trends for the broader crypto market.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 6, 'id': 'n0d5dc7d121e7', 'title': 'Latest Bitcoin price and analysis (BTC to USD)', 'url': 'https://coinrivet.com/latest-bitcoin-price-and-analysis-btc-to-usd/', 'summary': 'Bitcoin is ...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 17, 'id': 'n3765641d5ccc', 'title': 'MicroStrategy becomes first listed company to buy bitcoin as part of its capital allocation strategy', 'url': 'https://www.theblockcrypto.com/linked/...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.