instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2021-12-25
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2021-12-25
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $50,822.20
  - 60-Day Range: $46,202.14 → $67,566.83
  - 1D Return: 0.07%
  - 7D Return: 10.00%
  - 30D Return: -9.70%
  - Volatility (14d): 3.33%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 1202.80
  - Drawdown from Max: -24.78%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [60363.79, 58482.39, 60622.14, 62227.96, 61888.83, 61318.96, 61004.41, 63226.40, 62970.05, 61452.23, 61125.68, 61527.48, 63326.99, 67566.83, 66971.83, 64995.23, 64949.96, 64155.94, 64469.53, 65466.84, 63557.87, 60161.25, 60368.01, 56942.14, 58119.58, 59697.20, 58730.48, 56289.29, 57569.07, 56280.43, 57274.68, 53569.77, 54815.08, 57248.46, 57806.57, 57005.43, 57229.83, 56477.82, 53598.25, 49200.70, 49368.85, 50582.62, 50700.09, 50504.80, 47672.12, 47243.30, 49362.51, 50098.34, 46737.48, 46612.63, 48896.72, 47665.43, 46202.14, 46848.78, 46707.02, 46880.28, 48936.61, 48628.51, 50784.54, 50822.20]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,811.20
  - Crude Oil Price: $73.79
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: On Christmas Day, the crypto market is relatively quiet, with a focus on year-end reviews. Long-term, institutional adoption continues to be a strong bullish signal, with Fidelity launching institutional custody in Canada and Mastercard integrating Bitcoin rewards. However, broader macroeconomic factors like inflation and potential Fed tightening remain a background concern. Short-term, the performance of altcoins and new DeFi launches on L2s like Optimism are being monitored for potential volatility and capital flows.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n7032e50449bb', 'title': 'The Biggest Stock Climbs of 2021', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/biggest-stock-climbs-2021-000029271.html', 'summary': 'Reflecting on the big...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 3, 'id': 'n362635eb4609', 'title': 'Bitcoin miners have returned to the record activity they had before China’s crypto crackdown—but they are still looking for a home', 'url': 'https://f...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.