instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-06-22
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-06-22
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $6,729.74
  - 60-Day Range: $6,349.90 → $9,858.15
  - 1D Return: -0.69%
  - 7D Return: 0.81%
  - 30D Return: -16.32%
  - Volatility (14d): 3.73%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 184.49
  - Drawdown from Max: -31.73%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [8930.88, 9697.50, 8845.74, 9281.51, 8987.05, 9348.48, 9419.08, 9240.55, 9119.01, 9235.92, 9743.86, 9700.76, 9858.15, 9654.80, 9373.01, 9234.82, 9325.18, 9043.94, 8441.49, 8504.89, 8723.94, 8716.79, 8510.38, 8368.83, 8094.32, 8250.97, 8247.18, 8513.25, 8418.99, 8041.78, 7557.82, 7587.34, 7480.14, 7355.88, 7368.22, 7135.99, 7472.59, 7406.52, 7494.17, 7541.45, 7643.45, 7720.25, 7514.47, 7633.76, 7653.98, 7678.24, 7624.92, 7531.98, 6786.02, 6906.92, 6582.36, 6349.90, 6675.35, 6456.58, 6550.16, 6499.27, 6734.82, 6769.94, 6776.55, 6729.74]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,267.40
  - Crude Oil Price: $68.58
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a significant downturn, with Bitcoin falling to a four-month low and breaching key support levels. Negative sentiment is amplified by regulatory actions in Japan, where six exchanges received business improvement orders, and by the Bank of Korea denying plans for a CBDC. While Bitcoin's RSI indicates oversold conditions, suggesting a potential short-term bounce, the persistent bearish trend and lack of positive catalysts point towards continued downward pressure. Altcoins are also heavily impacted, with Bitcoin Cash showing significant losses.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'na8065fbdffd5', 'title': "'People are going to lose a lot of money' on new coins", 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-vc-beware-meme-based-cryptocurrencies-13093507...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n086a9392a4da', 'title': 'Facebook Reportedly Considering Its Own Cryptocurrency', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/facebook-reportedly-considering-own-cryptocurrency-182...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.