instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2019-01-18
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2019-01-18
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $3,678.56
  - 60-Day Range: $3,236.76 → $4,871.49
  - 1D Return: 0.64%
  - 7D Return: -0.01%
  - 30D Return: -0.47%
  - Volatility (14d): 3.38%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 78.71
  - Drawdown from Max: -24.49%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [4871.49, 4451.87, 4602.17, 4365.94, 4347.11, 3880.76, 4009.97, 3779.13, 3820.72, 4257.42, 4278.85, 4017.27, 4214.67, 4139.88, 3894.13, 3956.89, 3753.99, 3521.10, 3419.94, 3476.11, 3614.23, 3502.66, 3424.59, 3486.95, 3313.68, 3242.48, 3236.76, 3252.84, 3545.86, 3696.06, 3745.95, 4134.44, 3896.54, 4014.18, 3998.98, 4078.60, 3815.49, 3857.30, 3654.83, 3923.92, 3820.41, 3865.95, 3742.70, 3843.52, 3943.41, 3836.74, 3857.72, 3845.19, 4076.63, 4025.25, 4030.85, 4035.30, 3678.92, 3687.37, 3661.30, 3552.95, 3706.05, 3630.68, 3655.01, 3678.56]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,281.30
  - Crude Oil Price: $53.80
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The market shows mixed signals today. Long-term, the continued growth in crypto users and the upcoming Nasdaq Bitcoin futures launch are bullish indicators for adoption and institutional interest. However, a significant drop in Bitcoin volatility suggests market maturation, which could attract more institutional capital. On the short-term front, Bitcoin is struggling to hold key support levels, with predictions of further price drops to $2,400. Increased darknet activity and a bearish outlook on ETF approvals add to short-term bearish sentiment. Conversely, expanded Bitcoin ATM accessibility via Coinstar and Binance's European expansion are bullish for adoption and liquidity.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n7f4b81e8c014', 'title': 'Bitcoin – Holding onto $3,700 Could be a Challenge as the Majors Hit Reverse', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-holding-onto-3-700-02220...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 39, 'id': 'nb45010070ebe', 'title': 'Mainstream: 2018 Brought 54 Million New Crypto Users Despite Bear Market', 'url': 'https://www.ccn.com/mainstream-2018-brought-54-million-new-crypto-...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.