instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2020-08-15
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2020-08-15
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $11,768.87
  - 60-Day Range: $9,045.39 → $11,878.11
  - 1D Return: -0.13%
  - 7D Return: 1.44%
  - 30D Return: 28.02%
  - Volatility (14d): 2.83%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 244.09
  - Drawdown from Max: -0.92%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [9538.02, 9480.25, 9411.84, 9288.02, 9332.34, 9303.63, 9648.72, 9629.66, 9313.61, 9264.81, 9162.92, 9045.39, 9143.58, 9190.85, 9137.99, 9228.33, 9123.41, 9087.30, 9132.49, 9073.94, 9375.47, 9252.28, 9428.33, 9277.97, 9278.81, 9240.35, 9276.50, 9243.61, 9243.21, 9192.84, 9132.23, 9151.39, 9159.04, 9185.82, 9164.23, 9374.89, 9525.36, 9581.07, 9536.89, 9677.11, 9905.17, 10990.87, 10912.82, 11100.47, 11111.21, 11323.47, 11759.59, 11053.61, 11246.35, 11205.89, 11747.02, 11779.77, 11601.47, 11754.05, 11675.74, 11878.11, 11410.53, 11584.93, 11784.14, 11768.87]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,937.00
  - Crude Oil Price: $42.01
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The market shows mixed signals today. Long-term, the increasing tokenization of Bitcoin for DeFi applications and institutional interest from companies like PayPal are strong bullish indicators. However, regulatory uncertainty around proof-of-stake models and China's crackdown on OTC traders present headwinds. Short-term, Bitcoin experienced a slight dip, failing to break key resistance, suggesting consolidation. The ongoing rise in ransomware attacks using Bitcoin remains a low-level bearish concern.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 3, 'id': 'n5224a959bb02', 'title': 'Bitcoins Are Being Tokenized Faster Than They’re Mined as DeFi Craze Continues', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoins-being-tokenized-faste...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 8, 'id': 'n5377d0261fa1', 'title': 'PayPal Picks Paxos to Supply Crypto for New Service, Sources Say', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/paypal-picks-paxos-supply-crypto-035251736.h...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.