instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2023-07-12
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2023-07-12
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $30,620.95
  - 60-Day Range: $25,124.68 → $31,156.44
  - 1D Return: 0.68%
  - 7D Return: -0.51%
  - 30D Return: 18.04%
  - Volatility (14d): 1.18%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 283.78
  - Drawdown from Max: -1.72%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [26784.08, 26930.64, 27192.69, 27036.65, 27398.80, 26832.21, 26890.13, 27129.59, 26753.83, 26851.28, 27225.73, 26334.82, 26476.21, 26719.29, 26868.35, 28085.65, 27745.88, 27702.35, 27219.66, 26819.97, 27249.59, 27075.13, 27119.07, 25760.10, 27238.78, 26346.00, 26508.22, 26480.38, 25851.24, 25940.17, 25902.50, 25918.73, 25124.68, 25576.39, 26327.46, 26510.68, 26336.21, 26851.03, 28327.49, 30027.30, 29912.28, 30695.47, 30548.70, 30480.26, 30271.13, 30688.16, 30086.25, 30445.35, 30477.25, 30590.08, 30620.77, 31156.44, 30777.58, 30514.17, 29909.34, 30342.27, 30292.54, 30171.23, 30414.47, 30620.95]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,956.20
  - Crude Oil Price: $75.75
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Bitcoin remains range-bound around $30.5K-$31K despite positive U.S. inflation data showing a 3.0% YoY CPI increase, which was better than expected. While the inflation news provided a brief lift, Bitcoin failed to sustain gains, indicating underlying selling pressure or a lack of strong conviction. The U.S. government's movement of $300M in Silk Road-linked Bitcoin also introduced potential short-term sell pressure. Meanwhile, institutional interest continues with Coinbase being named a "surveillance partner" for potential spot Bitcoin ETFs, boosting its stock and signaling positive sentiment for regulated crypto products. The narrowing discount on GBTC further supports this optimistic outlook for ETF approvals.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 10, 'id': 'n6470d619e5f2', 'title': 'Crypto Traders Prepare for Bitcoin Volatility as Focus Shifts to U.S. CPI', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/crypto-traders-prepare-bitcoin-vol...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 8, 'id': 'n63916d2c440f', 'title': 'Weekly Market Wrap: Bitcoin breaches US$31,195 following Fidelity’s spot Bitcoin ETF application', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/weekly-marke...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.