instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2022-01-16
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2022-01-16
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $43,177.40
  - 60-Day Range: $41,557.90 → $60,368.01
  - 1D Return: 0.18%
  - 7D Return: 3.46%
  - 30D Return: -9.42%
  - Volatility (14d): 2.21%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 760.30
  - Drawdown from Max: -28.48%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [60368.01, 56942.14, 58119.58, 59697.20, 58730.48, 56289.29, 57569.07, 56280.43, 57274.68, 53569.77, 54815.08, 57248.46, 57806.57, 57005.43, 57229.83, 56477.82, 53598.25, 49200.70, 49368.85, 50582.62, 50700.09, 50504.80, 47672.12, 47243.30, 49362.51, 50098.34, 46737.48, 46612.63, 48896.72, 47665.43, 46202.14, 46848.78, 46707.02, 46880.28, 48936.61, 48628.51, 50784.54, 50822.20, 50429.86, 50809.52, 50640.42, 47588.86, 46444.71, 47178.12, 46306.45, 47686.81, 47345.22, 46458.12, 45897.57, 43569.00, 43160.93, 41557.90, 41733.94, 41911.60, 41821.26, 42735.86, 43949.10, 42591.57, 43099.70, 43177.40]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,816.50
  - Crude Oil Price: $83.82
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market shows mixed signals. Long-term, institutional adoption continues with Coinbase's derivatives exchange acquisition and Square's rebranding to Block, alongside growing interest in play-to-earn gaming and mainstream integration via platforms like Reddit. However, short-term sentiment is cautious, with rising mortgage rates and darkening economic signs potentially reducing liquidity. Geopolitical tensions from the Ukraine cyberattack and softening derivatives data also point to near-term headwinds. Despite this, strong NFT market activity and high-profile athlete endorsements offer pockets of bullishness.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n4bcecabcaca4', 'title': 'U.S Mortgage Rates Surge in Response to U.S Inflation Figures for December', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-mortgage-rates-surge-response-00...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 4, 'id': 'nea86628073bb', 'title': 'Coinbase Announces Acquisition of CFTC-Regulated Derivatives Exchange', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/coinbase-announces-acquisition-cftc-reg...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.