instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2022-04-18
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2022-04-18
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $39,716.95
  - 60-Day Range: $37,075.28 → $47,465.73
  - 1D Return: -1.75%
  - 7D Return: -5.90%
  - 30D Return: -4.99%
  - Volatility (14d): 2.65%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 941.68
  - Drawdown from Max: -16.32%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [40538.01, 40030.98, 40122.16, 38431.38, 37075.28, 38286.03, 37296.57, 38332.61, 39214.22, 39105.15, 37709.79, 43193.23, 44354.64, 43924.12, 42451.79, 39137.61, 39400.59, 38419.98, 38062.04, 38737.27, 41982.93, 39437.46, 38794.97, 38904.01, 37849.66, 39666.75, 39338.79, 41143.93, 40951.38, 41801.16, 42190.65, 41247.82, 41078.00, 42358.81, 42892.96, 43960.93, 44348.73, 44500.83, 46820.49, 47128.00, 47465.73, 47062.66, 45538.68, 46281.64, 45868.95, 46453.57, 46622.68, 45555.99, 43206.74, 43503.85, 42287.66, 42782.14, 42207.67, 39521.90, 40127.18, 41166.73, 39935.52, 40553.46, 40424.48, 39716.95]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,982.90
  - Crude Oil Price: $108.21
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Bitcoin is consolidating around the $40,000 mark, showing signs of stabilization after recent declines, with some analysts pointing to potential seasonal strength in April/May. However, persistent macroeconomic fears, including inflation and potential recession, continue to weigh on the market, leading to significant losses in meme coins. A major DeFi exploit further adds to security concerns. Despite the bearish macro backdrop, the anticipation of a spot Bitcoin ETF and positive developments like AMC accepting crypto payments offer pockets of bullish sentiment, while specific altcoins are being watched for potential short-term gains.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 4, 'id': 'n6c764f460ca0', 'title': 'A Matter Of When Not If For Spot Bitcoin ETF – Grayscale CEO', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/matter-not-spot-bitcoin-etf-112421272.html', 'su...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 12, 'id': 'nc34db075c544', 'title': 'With Demand Curve Growing Bitcoin May Behave like Apple Stock: Exec', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/demand-curve-growing-bitcoin-may-1352275...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.