instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-12-10
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-12-10
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $3,614.23
  - 60-Day Range: $3,419.94 → $6,596.54
  - 1D Return: 3.97%
  - 7D Return: -12.70%
  - 30D Return: -43.40%
  - Volatility (14d): 5.22%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 164.58
  - Drawdown from Max: -45.21%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [6256.24, 6274.58, 6285.99, 6290.93, 6596.54, 6596.11, 6544.43, 6476.71, 6465.41, 6489.19, 6482.35, 6487.16, 6475.74, 6495.84, 6476.29, 6474.75, 6480.38, 6486.39, 6332.63, 6334.27, 6317.61, 6377.78, 6388.44, 6361.26, 6376.13, 6419.66, 6461.01, 6530.14, 6453.72, 6385.62, 6409.22, 6411.27, 6371.27, 6359.49, 5738.35, 5648.03, 5575.55, 5554.33, 5623.54, 4871.49, 4451.87, 4602.17, 4365.94, 4347.11, 3880.76, 4009.97, 3779.13, 3820.72, 4257.42, 4278.85, 4017.27, 4214.67, 4139.88, 3894.13, 3956.89, 3753.99, 3521.10, 3419.94, 3476.11, 3614.23]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,243.70
  - Crude Oil Price: $51.00
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market shows mixed signals today. Bitcoin experienced a modest recovery, gaining 12% in 72 hours, but traders remain cautious due to lingering bearish sentiment and potential for further drops towards $3,000. Macroeconomic factors like a weaker USD and speculation about the Fed's interest rate policy are providing some support. On the adoption front, Square's Cash App surpassing Coinbase as the top Bitcoin buying app and Gemini's listing of Bitcoin Cash are positive developments. However, industry headwinds are evident with Bitmain closing its Israeli operations due to market woes, indicating ongoing challenges for mining firms.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 17, 'id': 'n33315117c9fe', 'title': 'Bitcoin Price Recovers 12% in 72 Hours While Traders Remain Cautious in Short-Term', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-price-recovers-12...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 14, 'id': 'nf39e0dcaf2b0', 'title': 'California: Midterms See Largest US State Elect Pro-Bitcoin Governor', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/california-midterms-see-largest-us-0045...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.