instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-07-21
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-07-21
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $7,354.13
  - 60-Day Range: $5,903.44 → $8,041.78
  - 1D Return: -1.51%
  - 7D Return: 17.89%
  - 30D Return: 8.52%
  - Volatility (14d): 3.54%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 163.70
  - Drawdown from Max: -8.55%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [8041.78, 7557.82, 7587.34, 7480.14, 7355.88, 7368.22, 7135.99, 7472.59, 7406.52, 7494.17, 7541.45, 7643.45, 7720.25, 7514.47, 7633.76, 7653.98, 7678.24, 7624.92, 7531.98, 6786.02, 6906.92, 6582.36, 6349.90, 6675.35, 6456.58, 6550.16, 6499.27, 6734.82, 6769.94, 6776.55, 6729.74, 6083.69, 6162.48, 6173.23, 6249.18, 6093.67, 6157.13, 5903.44, 6218.30, 6404.00, 6385.82, 6614.18, 6529.59, 6597.55, 6639.14, 6673.50, 6856.93, 6773.88, 6741.75, 6329.95, 6394.71, 6228.81, 6238.05, 6276.12, 6359.64, 6741.75, 7321.04, 7370.78, 7466.86, 7354.13]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,229.50
  - Crude Oil Price: $70.46
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market is showing mixed signals. While the CFA exam's inclusion of crypto topics and the potential for increased institutional interest from Goldman Sachs' new CEO are long-term bullish indicators, short-term sentiment is clouded by geopolitical tensions (US-China tariffs) and the shutdown of cloud mining service Hashflare, which could dampen investor confidence. Bitcoin Cash is showing bearish momentum, and overall market volatility remains high, with rapid price swings observed. Efforts to improve crypto usability, like the Cryptassist database, offer a glimmer of positive adoption.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'nf51a2dcec3ed', 'title': 'Bitcoin Cash, Litecoin and Ripple Daily Analysis – 21/07/18', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-cash-litecoin-ripple-daily-040834946.html...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 3, 'id': 'n0f89fe419145', 'title': 'Bitcoin Mining Giant Bitmain is Tripling its Development Center in Israel', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-mining-giant-bitmain-tripli...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.