instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2021-08-19
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2021-08-19
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $44,801.19
  - 60-Day Range: $29,807.35 → $47,793.32
  - 1D Return: 0.24%
  - 7D Return: -1.74%
  - 30D Return: 45.37%
  - Volatility (14d): 3.45%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 1189.74
  - Drawdown from Max: -6.26%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [35698.30, 31676.69, 32505.66, 33723.03, 34662.44, 31637.78, 32186.28, 34649.64, 34434.34, 35867.78, 35040.84, 33572.12, 33897.05, 34668.55, 35287.78, 33746.00, 34235.20, 33855.33, 32877.37, 33798.01, 33520.52, 34240.19, 33155.85, 32702.03, 32822.35, 31780.73, 31421.54, 31533.07, 31796.81, 30817.83, 29807.35, 32110.69, 32313.11, 33581.55, 34292.45, 35350.19, 37337.54, 39406.94, 39995.91, 40008.42, 42235.55, 41626.20, 39974.89, 39201.95, 38152.98, 39747.50, 40869.55, 42816.50, 44555.80, 43798.12, 46365.40, 45585.03, 45593.64, 44428.29, 47793.32, 47096.95, 47047.00, 46004.48, 44695.36, 44801.19]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,780.20
  - Crude Oil Price: $63.69
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market is experiencing mixed signals today. Macroeconomic concerns, driven by FOMC minutes suggesting potential Fed tapering, are pressuring risk assets like Bitcoin, causing it to pull back towards support levels. However, strong on-chain data indicating reduced exchange balances and growing institutional interest from major banks launching Bitcoin funds provide a bullish undertone. Security concerns remain with the Liquid exchange hack, but Bitcoin's resilience suggests limited immediate impact. Overall, the short-term outlook is cautious due to macro headwinds, while long-term adoption trends remain positive.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n920e8f89756c', 'title': 'Crypto ETPs’ Fees Cost Up to 6 Times More Than Third-Party Custodians’', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/crypto-etps-cost-institutions-6-093000...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 11, 'id': 'n4b5171953263', 'title': 'U.K. police seize $250 million worth of crypto in money-laundering probe', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-k-police-seize-250-155039560.html...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.