instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2019-02-09
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2019-02-09
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $3,666.78
  - 60-Day Range: $3,236.76 → $4,134.44
  - 1D Return: 7.86%
  - 7D Return: 5.13%
  - 30D Return: -9.13%
  - Volatility (14d): 2.49%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 49.29
  - Drawdown from Max: -11.31%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [3424.59, 3486.95, 3313.68, 3242.48, 3236.76, 3252.84, 3545.86, 3696.06, 3745.95, 4134.44, 3896.54, 4014.18, 3998.98, 4078.60, 3815.49, 3857.30, 3654.83, 3923.92, 3820.41, 3865.95, 3742.70, 3843.52, 3943.41, 3836.74, 3857.72, 3845.19, 4076.63, 4025.25, 4030.85, 4035.30, 3678.92, 3687.37, 3661.30, 3552.95, 3706.05, 3630.68, 3655.01, 3678.56, 3657.84, 3728.57, 3601.01, 3576.03, 3604.58, 3585.12, 3600.87, 3599.77, 3602.46, 3583.97, 3470.45, 3448.12, 3486.18, 3457.79, 3487.95, 3521.06, 3464.01, 3459.15, 3466.36, 3413.77, 3399.47, 3666.78]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,313.70
  - Crude Oil Price: $52.72
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market is experiencing a significant bullish surge today, with Bitcoin breaking past $3,700 and leading a broader rally. This positive momentum is supported by reports of increasing investor optimism and the potential for lower mortgage rates to drive investment. However, ongoing regulatory uncertainties, such as the predicted denial of a Bitcoin ETF in 2019, and concerns about blockchain's systemic risk from traditional finance institutions, present long-term headwinds. Short-term, the market appears to be recovering from recent lows, with key exchanges like Bitfinex experiencing brief outages amidst the activity.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n43a73779a99f', 'title': 'Bitcoin Bulls Stampede Past $3,700 & Wider Crypto Market Rallies with Them', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-bulls-stampede-past-3-0008...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'nea5657055ad2', 'title': 'Fortnite Store Accepts Crypto – But Only Monero', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fortnite-store-accepts-crypto-only-053023237.html', 'summary'...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.