instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2020-02-16
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2020-02-16
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $9,889.42
  - 60-Day Range: $6,985.47 → $10,326.05
  - 1D Return: -4.10%
  - 7D Return: 0.25%
  - 30D Return: 13.36%
  - Volatility (14d): 2.33%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 179.23
  - Drawdown from Max: -4.23%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [7276.80, 7202.84, 7218.82, 7191.16, 7511.59, 7355.63, 7322.53, 7275.16, 7238.97, 7290.09, 7317.99, 7422.65, 7293.00, 7193.60, 7200.17, 6985.47, 7344.88, 7410.66, 7411.32, 7769.22, 8163.69, 8079.86, 7879.07, 8166.55, 8037.54, 8192.49, 8144.19, 8827.76, 8807.01, 8723.79, 8929.04, 8942.81, 8706.25, 8657.64, 8745.89, 8680.88, 8406.52, 8445.43, 8367.85, 8596.83, 8909.82, 9358.59, 9316.63, 9508.99, 9350.53, 9392.88, 9344.37, 9293.52, 9180.96, 9613.42, 9729.80, 9795.94, 9865.12, 10116.67, 9856.61, 10208.24, 10326.05, 10214.38, 10312.12, 9889.42]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,582.70
  - Crude Oil Price: $52.05
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Bitcoin experienced a significant pullback on Saturday, falling 4.2% and breaking key support levels, indicating a shift to bearish short-term sentiment. This contrasts with Ethereum's 3.79% gain, suggesting some altcoins are still showing strength. Longer-term, the hash rate remains at an all-time high, and Bitcoin's rally to multi-month highs continues, supported by anticipation of the halving and geopolitical factors. However, institutional skepticism and increasing regulatory focus on privacy present potential headwinds.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 2, 'id': 'neccc94e86090', 'title': 'The Crypto Daily – Movers and Shakers – 16/02/20', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/crypto-daily-movers-shakers-16-045832832.html', 'summary': '...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 18, 'id': 'nb8fb2ab29372', 'title': 'Bitcoin’s hash rate reaches all-time high – is a breakout imminent?', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-hash-rate-reaches-time-200042609...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.