instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-07-31
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-07-31
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $8,180.48
  - 60-Day Range: $5,903.44 → $8,424.27
  - 1D Return: -0.46%
  - 7D Return: 6.09%
  - 30D Return: 27.74%
  - Volatility (14d): 3.66%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 191.94
  - Drawdown from Max: -2.89%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [7541.45, 7643.45, 7720.25, 7514.47, 7633.76, 7653.98, 7678.24, 7624.92, 7531.98, 6786.02, 6906.92, 6582.36, 6349.90, 6675.35, 6456.58, 6550.16, 6499.27, 6734.82, 6769.94, 6776.55, 6729.74, 6083.69, 6162.48, 6173.23, 6249.18, 6093.67, 6157.13, 5903.44, 6218.30, 6404.00, 6385.82, 6614.18, 6529.59, 6597.55, 6639.14, 6673.50, 6856.93, 6773.88, 6741.75, 6329.95, 6394.71, 6228.81, 6238.05, 6276.12, 6359.64, 6741.75, 7321.04, 7370.78, 7466.86, 7354.13, 7419.29, 7418.49, 7711.11, 8424.27, 8181.39, 7951.58, 8165.01, 8192.15, 8218.46, 8180.48]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,223.70
  - Crude Oil Price: $68.76
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Bitcoin experienced significant volatility today, dropping to a weekly low below $7,700 before a rapid rebound to over $8,150, showcasing resilience. However, altcoins suffered more pronounced losses, indicating a potential flight to BTC within the crypto market. Negative sentiment persists due to bearish commentary from Nobel laureate Paul Krugman and potential regulatory changes in South Korea regarding tax breaks for crypto exchanges. On the institutional front, news of Northern Trust engaging with crypto hedge funds offers a bullish long-term signal, while the potential for a Bitcoin ETF remains a key catalyst.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 9, 'id': 'n3277c24200bf', 'title': 'Bitcoin drops 5 percent to one-week low, briefly below $7,700', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-drops-5-percent-one-week-low-briefly-14...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 15, 'id': 'ncd24d9e7fe25', 'title': 'Bitcoin Rises as Thailand, Malta, Pass Crypto Regulation Bills', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-rises-thailand-malta-pass-151700352.h...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.