instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-03-21
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-03-21
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $8,913.47
  - 60-Day Range: $6,955.27 → $12,899.20
  - 1D Return: 3.28%
  - 7D Return: -3.06%
  - 30D Return: -15.53%
  - Volatility (14d): 5.20%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 387.28
  - Drawdown from Max: -30.90%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [12899.20, 11600.10, 10931.40, 10868.40, 11359.40, 11259.40, 11171.40, 11440.70, 11786.30, 11296.40, 10106.30, 10221.10, 9170.54, 8830.75, 9174.91, 8277.01, 6955.27, 7754.00, 7621.30, 8265.59, 8736.98, 8621.90, 8129.97, 8926.57, 8598.31, 9494.63, 10166.40, 10233.90, 11112.70, 10551.80, 11225.30, 11403.70, 10690.40, 10005.00, 10301.10, 9813.07, 9664.73, 10366.70, 10725.60, 10397.90, 10951.00, 11086.40, 11489.70, 11512.60, 11573.30, 10779.90, 9965.57, 9395.01, 9337.55, 8866.00, 9578.63, 9205.12, 9194.85, 8269.81, 8300.86, 8338.35, 7916.88, 8223.68, 8630.65, 8913.47]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,320.70
  - Crude Oil Price: $65.17
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Bitcoin has shown resilience, trading above $9,000 and recovering from recent lows, buoyed by positive sentiment from the G20 summit which offered no immediate regulatory clampdown. However, technical indicators like the 'death cross' risk for Bitcoin and lower trading volumes for Litecoin suggest caution. Macroeconomic factors, including the Fed's rate hike and ongoing tech sector weakness, add to a mixed short-term outlook. Long-term, institutional interest is growing with the approval of Canada's first blockchain ETF, but major financial institutions like Goldman Sachs are issuing strong warnings about crypto market bubbles.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n2c904f7c6bab', 'title': "Bitcoin Returns Above $9K But 'Death Cross' Still a Risk", 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-returns-above-9k-apos-104547440.html', 'summ...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n87b6625e203b', 'title': 'As Stripe backs away from crypto payments, Coinbase offers a new solution for e-commerce', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stripe-backs-away-cr...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.