instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2020-09-30
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2020-09-30
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $10,844.64
  - 60-Day Range: $10,131.52 → $12,254.40
  - 1D Return: 1.26%
  - 7D Return: 2.91%
  - 30D Return: -7.40%
  - Volatility (14d): 2.18%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 158.78
  - Drawdown from Max: -11.50%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [11759.59, 11053.61, 11246.35, 11205.89, 11747.02, 11779.77, 11601.47, 11754.05, 11675.74, 11878.11, 11410.53, 11584.93, 11784.14, 11768.87, 11865.70, 11892.80, 12254.40, 11991.23, 11758.28, 11878.37, 11592.49, 11681.83, 11664.85, 11774.60, 11366.13, 11488.36, 11323.40, 11542.50, 11506.87, 11711.51, 11680.82, 11970.48, 11414.03, 10245.30, 10511.81, 10169.57, 10280.35, 10369.56, 10131.52, 10242.35, 10363.14, 10400.92, 10442.17, 10323.76, 10680.84, 10796.95, 10974.91, 10948.99, 10944.59, 11094.35, 10938.27, 10462.26, 10538.46, 10246.19, 10760.07, 10692.72, 10750.72, 10775.27, 10709.65, 10844.64]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,887.50
  - Crude Oil Price: $40.22
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market is showing mixed signals today. Long-term, the potential for the Fed to tolerate higher inflation and the increasing institutional interest via ETFs and new listings on European exchanges are bullish indicators. However, regulatory actions like the SEC's charges against a rapper for ICO promotion and the ongoing DeFi correction introduce some caution. Short-term, the addition of USDT trading on Bitcoin Global and the BitFlyer expansion are positive for liquidity, while the general price action indicates consolidation. The debate around CBDCs and corporate policies at exchanges adds to the nuanced market sentiment.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n26dadd49f422', 'title': 'USDT Trading Arrives on Bitcoin Global', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/usdt-trading-arrives-bitcoin-global-153000152.html', 'summary': "Bitco...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 25, 'id': 'n0bea3bdd779d', 'title': 'First Mover: As Fed Nears Inflation Rubicon, Analysts See $50K Bitcoin in Play', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/first-mover-fed-nears-inflati...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.