instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-09-21
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-09-21
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $6,519.67
  - 60-Day Range: $6,184.71 → $8,424.27
  - 1D Return: 1.89%
  - 7D Return: 0.04%
  - 30D Return: 0.48%
  - Volatility (14d): 1.81%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 81.93
  - Drawdown from Max: -22.61%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [7711.11, 8424.27, 8181.39, 7951.58, 8165.01, 8192.15, 8218.46, 8180.48, 7780.44, 7624.91, 7567.15, 7434.39, 7032.85, 7068.48, 6951.80, 6753.12, 6305.80, 6568.23, 6184.71, 6295.73, 6322.69, 6297.57, 6199.71, 6308.52, 6334.73, 6580.63, 6423.76, 6506.07, 6308.53, 6488.76, 6376.71, 6534.88, 6719.96, 6763.19, 6707.26, 6884.64, 7096.28, 7047.16, 6978.23, 7037.58, 7193.25, 7272.72, 7260.06, 7361.66, 6792.83, 6529.17, 6467.07, 6225.98, 6300.86, 6329.70, 6321.20, 6351.80, 6517.31, 6512.71, 6543.20, 6517.18, 6281.20, 6371.30, 6398.54, 6519.67]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,196.20
  - Crude Oil Price: $70.78
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Bitcoin experienced a notable surge today, driven by positive regulatory news from Switzerland facilitating crypto company banking access. Anticipation around potential ETF approvals continues to support market buoyancy, despite ongoing SEC delays. However, news of a critical Bitcoin Core bug, though patched, introduced some short-term concern. Mining hardware advancements from Bitmain and expansion plans from a Vancouver firm signal ongoing infrastructure development. Prominent investor Mike Novogratz reiterated his bullish outlook, predicting institutional entry and a crypto 'Renaissance,' which bolstered sentiment.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n106afac73148', 'title': 'Amazon Is Becoming the Third Largest Internet Ad Platform in the U.S.', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amazon-becoming-third-largest-internet-...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n431dc57a12cc', 'title': 'Better Ways of Storing Value Than Bitcoin, Claims Trump’s Fmr. Economic Advisor', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/better-ways-storing-value-bit...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.