instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2020-03-19
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2020-03-19
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $5,238.44
  - 60-Day Range: $4,970.79 → $10,326.05
  - 1D Return: 0.25%
  - 7D Return: -33.79%
  - 30D Return: -45.94%
  - Volatility (14d): 11.22%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 448.03
  - Drawdown from Max: -49.27%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [8706.25, 8657.64, 8745.89, 8680.88, 8406.52, 8445.43, 8367.85, 8596.83, 8909.82, 9358.59, 9316.63, 9508.99, 9350.53, 9392.88, 9344.37, 9293.52, 9180.96, 9613.42, 9729.80, 9795.94, 9865.12, 10116.67, 9856.61, 10208.24, 10326.05, 10214.38, 10312.12, 9889.42, 9934.43, 9690.14, 10142.00, 9633.39, 9608.48, 9686.44, 9663.18, 9924.52, 9650.17, 9341.71, 8820.52, 8784.49, 8672.46, 8599.51, 8562.45, 8869.67, 8787.79, 8755.25, 9078.76, 9122.55, 8909.95, 8108.12, 7923.64, 7909.73, 7911.43, 4970.79, 5563.71, 5200.37, 5392.31, 5014.48, 5225.63, 5238.44]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,478.60
  - Crude Oil Price: $25.22
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Bitcoin showed resilience with a 10% surge, outperforming traditional markets and reinforcing its 'digital gold' narrative amidst the ongoing economic uncertainty driven by the coronavirus. However, the crypto market infrastructure creaked under volatility, with some exchanges experiencing issues, and institutional derivatives volume remains low. The upcoming halving event continues to be a key long-term driver, while short-term price action will be influenced by macro sentiment and any further infrastructure stability concerns.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n2fd8e54ef555', 'title': 'Crypto-market infrastructure creaks amid volatility test', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/crypto-market-infrastructure-creaks-amid-064755427.h...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 3, 'id': 'n64da67173df0', 'title': 'Latest Bitcoin price and analysis (BTC to USD)', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/latest-bitcoin-price-analysis-btc-121113406.html', 'summary': ...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.