instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2023-01-18
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2023-01-18
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $21,161.52
  - 60-Day Range: $15,787.28 → $21,169.63
  - 1D Return: -0.04%
  - 7D Return: 21.30%
  - 30D Return: 26.28%
  - Volatility (14d): 2.13%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 338.71
  - Drawdown from Max: -0.04%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [16711.55, 16291.83, 15787.28, 16189.77, 16610.71, 16604.46, 16521.84, 16464.28, 16444.63, 16217.32, 16444.98, 17168.57, 16967.13, 17088.66, 16908.24, 17130.49, 16974.83, 17089.50, 16848.13, 17233.47, 17133.15, 17128.72, 17104.19, 17206.44, 17781.32, 17815.65, 17364.87, 16647.48, 16795.09, 16757.98, 16439.68, 16906.30, 16817.54, 16830.34, 16796.95, 16847.76, 16841.99, 16919.80, 16717.17, 16552.57, 16642.34, 16602.59, 16547.50, 16625.08, 16688.47, 16679.86, 16863.24, 16836.74, 16951.97, 16955.08, 17091.14, 17196.55, 17446.29, 17934.90, 18869.59, 19909.57, 20976.30, 20880.80, 21169.63, 21161.52]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,904.40
  - Crude Oil Price: $79.48
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Bitcoin has shown remarkable resilience, erasing FTX-related losses and surpassing the $21,000 mark, driven by positive inflation data (PPI and retail sales). This macro backdrop suggests a potential pivot from the Federal Reserve, fueling a risk-on sentiment across crypto markets, with altcoins like SHIB also seeing significant gains. However, concerns linger regarding potential regulatory actions (DOJ announcement) and hawkish Fed commentary, which caused a sharp intraday reversal and liquidations, highlighting the market's sensitivity to these factors. The impending options expiration (OPEX) adds to potential short-term volatility.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n83475ac9b2cd', 'title': 'Are Falling Wholesale Prices Good for Bitcoin?', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/falling-wholesale-prices-good-bitcoin-183700961.html', 'summar...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n75ff11a0943c', 'title': "El Salvador passes law for bitcoin-backed 'volcano bonds' and eyes expanding to other cryptocurrencies", 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/el-sal...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.