instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-02-21
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-02-21
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $11,403.70
  - 60-Day Range: $6,955.27 → $17,527.00
  - 1D Return: 1.59%
  - 7D Return: 32.63%
  - 30D Return: -1.69%
  - Volatility (14d): 5.76%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 493.39
  - Drawdown from Max: -34.94%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [13657.20, 14982.10, 15201.00, 15599.20, 17429.50, 17527.00, 16477.60, 15170.10, 14595.40, 14973.30, 13405.80, 13980.60, 14360.20, 13772.00, 13819.80, 11490.50, 11188.60, 11474.90, 11607.40, 12899.20, 11600.10, 10931.40, 10868.40, 11359.40, 11259.40, 11171.40, 11440.70, 11786.30, 11296.40, 10106.30, 10221.10, 9170.54, 8830.75, 9174.91, 8277.01, 6955.27, 7754.00, 7621.30, 8265.59, 8736.98, 8621.90, 8129.97, 8926.57, 8598.31, 9494.63, 10166.40, 10233.90, 11112.70, 10551.80, 11225.30, 11403.70]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,330.00
  - Crude Oil Price: $61.68
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market is experiencing a broad downturn today, with Bitcoin down 10% and other cryptocurrencies following suit, despite no specific negative catalysts being identified. This suggests a general market correction or profit-taking. Meanwhile, positive regulatory signals are emerging from South Korea, with regulators shifting towards promoting blockchain technology. However, operational issues at Japanese exchanges like Zaif continue to surface, highlighting ongoing risks in the ecosystem. Anticipation of US FOMC minutes adds to market uncertainty.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 11, 'id': 'neaf735104e38', 'title': 'South Korea regulator flags better deal for cryptocurrency industry', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/south-koreas-cryptocurrency-industry-wel...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 9, 'id': 'n403dd1af41e1', 'title': 'Bitcoin rallies as South Korea quells fears of a cryptocurrency ban', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-rallies-south-korea-quells-144553...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.