instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-12-30
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-12-30
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $3,820.41
  - 60-Day Range: $3,236.76 → $6,530.14
  - 1D Return: -2.64%
  - 7D Return: -4.83%
  - 30D Return: -10.71%
  - Volatility (14d): 5.28%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 159.14
  - Drawdown from Max: -41.50%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [6317.61, 6377.78, 6388.44, 6361.26, 6376.13, 6419.66, 6461.01, 6530.14, 6453.72, 6385.62, 6409.22, 6411.27, 6371.27, 6359.49, 5738.35, 5648.03, 5575.55, 5554.33, 5623.54, 4871.49, 4451.87, 4602.17, 4365.94, 4347.11, 3880.76, 4009.97, 3779.13, 3820.72, 4257.42, 4278.85, 4017.27, 4214.67, 4139.88, 3894.13, 3956.89, 3753.99, 3521.10, 3419.94, 3476.11, 3614.23, 3502.66, 3424.59, 3486.95, 3313.68, 3242.48, 3236.76, 3252.84, 3545.86, 3696.06, 3745.95, 4134.44, 3896.54, 4014.18, 3998.98, 4078.60, 3815.49, 3857.30, 3654.83, 3923.92, 3820.41]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,279.90
  - Crude Oil Price: $45.33
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market is ending 2018 on a subdued note, with Bitcoin struggling to maintain the $4,000 level after a brief rally. Analysts are looking towards 2019 with cautious optimism, anticipating institutional inflows that could stabilize the market. However, short-term price action remains bearish, with altcoins showing significant weakness and internal project developments like the Bitmain leadership concerns adding to market uncertainty. Regulatory sentiment remains mixed, with some positive developments like Ohio accepting Bitcoin for taxes, but also ongoing skepticism from traditional finance.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n604b4a5c03d5', 'title': 'It\'s Official: Your Non-Beer Beverage Maker May Now Be Considered A "Craft Brewer"', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/apos-official-non-beer-be...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n743abc1f4d6c', 'title': 'Expect the SEC to Target More Token Exchanges After EtherDelta', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/expect-sec-target-more-token-223020137.html', ...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.