instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2020-02-04
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2020-02-04
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $9,293.52
  - 60-Day Range: $6,640.52 → $9,508.99
  - 1D Return: -0.54%
  - 7D Return: 4.31%
  - 30D Return: 25.41%
  - Volatility (14d): 2.20%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 147.81
  - Drawdown from Max: -2.27%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [7547.00, 7556.24, 7564.35, 7400.90, 7278.12, 7217.43, 7243.13, 7269.68, 7124.67, 7152.30, 6932.48, 6640.52, 7276.80, 7202.84, 7218.82, 7191.16, 7511.59, 7355.63, 7322.53, 7275.16, 7238.97, 7290.09, 7317.99, 7422.65, 7293.00, 7193.60, 7200.17, 6985.47, 7344.88, 7410.66, 7411.32, 7769.22, 8163.69, 8079.86, 7879.07, 8166.55, 8037.54, 8192.49, 8144.19, 8827.76, 8807.01, 8723.79, 8929.04, 8942.81, 8706.25, 8657.64, 8745.89, 8680.88, 8406.52, 8445.43, 8367.85, 8596.83, 8909.82, 9358.59, 9316.63, 9508.99, 9350.53, 9392.88, 9344.37, 9293.52]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,550.40
  - Crude Oil Price: $49.61
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Bitcoin shows signs of waning momentum, with technical indicators suggesting a potential short-term pullback towards the $9,150 support level and the 200-day moving average. However, long-term bullish factors remain, including the upcoming halving and increasing adoption, supported by positive analyst sentiment and the potential for Bitcoin to act as a safe-haven asset amidst global uncertainties like the coronavirus outbreak. The launch of new derivatives products and regulatory developments add to the short-term volatility.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n6b73da8e18fa', 'title': 'BitMEX to launch XRP perpetual swap tomorrow, with up to 50x leverage', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitmex-launch-xrp-perpetual-swap-074512...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 6, 'id': 'n735d9c6b82af', 'title': '60% of Bitcoins haven’t moved for more than a year', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/60-bitcoins-haven-t-moved-150018091.html', 'summary': 'A s...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.