instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2024-01-12
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2024-01-12
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $46,368.59
  - 60-Day Range: $35,537.64 → $46,970.50
  - 1D Return: -0.56%
  - 7D Return: 4.95%
  - 30D Return: 11.87%
  - Volatility (14d): 2.82%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 833.63
  - Drawdown from Max: -1.28%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [36502.36, 35537.64, 37880.58, 36154.77, 36596.68, 36585.70, 37386.55, 37476.96, 35813.81, 37432.34, 37289.62, 37720.28, 37796.79, 37479.12, 37254.17, 37831.09, 37858.49, 37712.75, 38688.75, 39476.33, 39978.39, 41980.10, 44080.65, 43746.45, 43292.66, 44166.60, 43725.98, 43779.70, 41243.83, 41450.22, 42890.74, 43023.97, 41929.76, 42240.12, 41364.66, 42623.54, 42270.53, 43652.25, 43869.15, 43997.90, 43739.54, 43016.12, 43613.14, 42520.40, 43442.86, 42627.86, 42099.40, 42156.90, 42265.19, 44167.33, 44957.97, 42848.18, 44179.92, 44162.69, 43989.20, 43943.10, 46970.50, 46139.73, 46627.78, 46368.59]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $2,046.70
  - Crude Oil Price: $72.68
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The primary catalyst for today's market remains the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs, which saw significant trading volume and mixed investor reactions. While some ETFs experienced strong inflows, major financial institutions like Vanguard are restricting access, creating a bifurcated market. Regulatory caution from the SEC and critical commentary from traditional finance figures like Goldman Sachs introduce uncertainty, contrasting with continued institutional interest shown by Cathie Wood's investment. Macroeconomic data on inflation and jobless claims also contributed to a choppy trading day.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n21c9d92126dc', 'title': 'Biggest Bank-Stock Rally Since 2021 Raises Bar for Earnings', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/biggest-bank-stock-rally-since-163832654.html', '...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 4, 'id': 'n5dca8c41dcdf', 'title': 'Bitcoin ETFs Secure Approval Exactly 15 Years After Hal Finney’s Iconic ‘Running Bitcoin’ Tweet', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-etfs-...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.