instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2019-02-12
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2019-02-12
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $3,648.43
  - 60-Day Range: $3,236.76 → $4,134.44
  - 1D Return: -1.13%
  - 7D Return: 5.47%
  - 30D Return: -0.35%
  - Volatility (14d): 2.33%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 44.32
  - Drawdown from Max: -11.76%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [3242.48, 3236.76, 3252.84, 3545.86, 3696.06, 3745.95, 4134.44, 3896.54, 4014.18, 3998.98, 4078.60, 3815.49, 3857.30, 3654.83, 3923.92, 3820.41, 3865.95, 3742.70, 3843.52, 3943.41, 3836.74, 3857.72, 3845.19, 4076.63, 4025.25, 4030.85, 4035.30, 3678.92, 3687.37, 3661.30, 3552.95, 3706.05, 3630.68, 3655.01, 3678.56, 3657.84, 3728.57, 3601.01, 3576.03, 3604.58, 3585.12, 3600.87, 3599.77, 3602.46, 3583.97, 3470.45, 3448.12, 3486.18, 3457.79, 3487.95, 3521.06, 3464.01, 3459.15, 3466.36, 3413.77, 3399.47, 3666.78, 3671.20, 3690.19, 3648.43]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,309.20
  - Crude Oil Price: $53.10
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market is showing signs of cautious optimism, with Bitcoin trading slightly up and many top cryptocurrencies experiencing modest gains. Institutional interest is a key theme, with news of pension funds investing in crypto funds and positive commentary on the eventual approval of a Bitcoin ETF. Technical indicators suggest a potential short-term rally for Bitcoin. However, ongoing concerns about security breaches and regulatory developments in various countries add a layer of uncertainty.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 4, 'id': 'na0bbd62ef1b7', 'title': 'Newsflash: Why This Virginia Police Department’s Pension Just Invested in a $40 Million Crypto Fund', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/newsflash...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 15, 'id': 'nacc57b11185c', 'title': 'Bitcoin Falls as South Africa Mulls Tighter Regulations', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-falls-south-africa-mulls-005300717.html', 's...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.