instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-12-14
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-12-14
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $3,313.68
  - 60-Day Range: $3,313.68 → $6,596.54
  - 1D Return: -4.97%
  - 7D Return: -5.89%
  - 30D Return: -47.89%
  - Volatility (14d): 3.86%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 142.77
  - Drawdown from Max: -49.77%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [6596.54, 6596.11, 6544.43, 6476.71, 6465.41, 6489.19, 6482.35, 6487.16, 6475.74, 6495.84, 6476.29, 6474.75, 6480.38, 6486.39, 6332.63, 6334.27, 6317.61, 6377.78, 6388.44, 6361.26, 6376.13, 6419.66, 6461.01, 6530.14, 6453.72, 6385.62, 6409.22, 6411.27, 6371.27, 6359.49, 5738.35, 5648.03, 5575.55, 5554.33, 5623.54, 4871.49, 4451.87, 4602.17, 4365.94, 4347.11, 3880.76, 4009.97, 3779.13, 3820.72, 4257.42, 4278.85, 4017.27, 4214.67, 4139.88, 3894.13, 3956.89, 3753.99, 3521.10, 3419.94, 3476.11, 3614.23, 3502.66, 3424.59, 3486.95, 3313.68]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,237.00
  - Crude Oil Price: $51.20
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: The crypto market is experiencing continued downward pressure, with Bitcoin hitting new yearly lows around $3,200. Weak economic data from China is impacting global markets, contributing to a risk-off sentiment. Concerns about wash trading in Bitcoin volumes are also surfacing, potentially affecting market sentiment and liquidity. However, positive long-term signals include progress on regulatory clarity in Bahrain and Germany's stock exchange planning a crypto trading platform, alongside growing job demand in blockchain development.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 25, 'id': 'n24f73d70b3', 'title': 'Finland Hands Over Info for 2,700 Danish Traders to Denmark’s Tax Agency', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/finland-hands-over-2-700-001243203.ht...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 16, 'id': 'n7e417e13259e', 'title': 'Ohio Begins Accepting Bitcoin for 23 Types of Taxes', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ohio-begins-accepting-bitcoin-23-170219006.html', 'summa...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.