instruction: You are an expert quantitative crypto analyst. Your tasks:
  1) Analyze the context and decide an actionable stance for BTC-USD: BUY, SELL, or HOLD.
  2) Forecast the NEXT 10 daily CLOSING prices (USD).
  
  CONTEXT DATE: 2018-08-16
  
  ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK:
  • Technical Analysis: Use price trends, volatility, and momentum indicators
  • Macro Analysis: Consider gold/oil prices for broader market context
  • News Analysis: Integrate comprehensive daily news summaries for market catalysts
  
  OUTPUT FORMAT (JSON ONLY):
  Return a single JSON object with EXACTLY these keys:
  {"action":"BUY|SELL|HOLD","confidence":<int 1-99>,"stop_loss":<price 2dp>,"take_profit":<price 2dp>,"forecast_10d":[<10 prices 2dp>]}
  No extra text, no explanations, just the JSON.
input: Daily Context — 2018-08-16
  
  [Technical Price Analysis]
  - Current Price: $6,308.52
  - 60-Day Range: $5,903.44 → $8,424.27
  - 1D Return: 1.76%
  - 7D Return: 0.04%
  - 30D Return: -6.43%
  - Volatility (14d): 3.10%
  - Avg Daily Change (14d): 171.86
  - Drawdown from Max: -25.11%
  
  [Price History (Last 60 Days USD)]
  [6499.27, 6734.82, 6769.94, 6776.55, 6729.74, 6083.69, 6162.48, 6173.23, 6249.18, 6093.67, 6157.13, 5903.44, 6218.30, 6404.00, 6385.82, 6614.18, 6529.59, 6597.55, 6639.14, 6673.50, 6856.93, 6773.88, 6741.75, 6329.95, 6394.71, 6228.81, 6238.05, 6276.12, 6359.64, 6741.75, 7321.04, 7370.78, 7466.86, 7354.13, 7419.29, 7418.49, 7711.11, 8424.27, 8181.39, 7951.58, 8165.01, 8192.15, 8218.46, 8180.48, 7780.44, 7624.91, 7567.15, 7434.39, 7032.85, 7068.48, 6951.80, 6753.12, 6305.80, 6568.23, 6184.71, 6295.73, 6322.69, 6297.57, 6199.71, 6308.52]
  
  [Macro & Commodities Context]
  - Gold Price: $1,176.20
  - Crude Oil Price: $65.46
  
  [Market Context]
  - Bitcoin dominates crypto market as leading digital asset
  - Price influenced by adoption, regulation, and macro factors
  
  [Comprehensive News Analysis]
  Summary: Bitcoin showed signs of a potential short-term bullish reversal, trading up 10% from recent lows, with technical indicators suggesting a move above $6,675 could confirm this. However, broader market sentiment remains cautious due to ongoing geopolitical tensions (Turkey crisis) and trade war concerns, which are impacting emerging markets and strengthening the US dollar. Ethereum co-founder Joseph Lubin's comments about a past crypto bubble also added to a bearish undertone. Regulatory news was mixed, with positive developments in Thailand and Malta for crypto regulation, but also concerns arising from a Bitcoin fraud case in Thailand involving bank staff. The listing of Ethereum Classic on Coinbase provided a localized bullish catalyst for ETC.
  
  Sentiment: neutral
  Market Impact: unknown
  
  Key Events: No key events
  
  Price Drivers: No specific drivers
  
  Risk Factors: No major risks
  
  Opportunities: No specific opportunities
  
  Short-term News: [{'pick_idx': 1, 'id': 'n804be79f8b92', 'title': 'Dollar Takes an Early Hit as Focus Remains on Turkey and Trade', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/dollar-takes-early-hit-focus-024946555.html', ...
  
  Long-term News: [{'pick_idx': 10, 'id': 'ncde4d9e7fe25', 'title': 'Bitcoin Rises as Thailand, Malta, Pass Crypto Regulation Bills', 'url': 'https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-rises-thailand-malta-pass-151700352.h...
  
  Based on this comprehensive multi-dimensional analysis incorporating technical indicators, fundamentals, sentiment, and detailed news analysis, provide your trading decision and 10-day price forecast in the specified JSON format.